Environment

Highest temperatures in 40 years recorded in the Mediterranean in 2024

Describing the scenario is the study carried out by researchers from ENEA with those from CNR and the MedSharks association

by Davide Madeddu

2' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

2' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

The effects of climate change are being felt. Even in the Mediterranean where, in 2024, record temperatures and intense heat waves and eddies of the last 40 years have been recorded. Describing this scenario is a study carried out by researchers from ENEA with those from CNR and the MedSharks association, and also published in the journal Frontier in Marine Sciences.

Maximum value for the last 40 years

The experts analysed in detail the 'spatio-temporal variability of the 2024 thermal anomaly and the mechanisms that determined it'. The study shows that record temperatures were recorded in the western and eastern Mediterranean "coupled with a significant increase in the mean kinetic energy of currents, with 2024 recording the highest value in the entire historical series (40 years)".

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A complex analysis

The analysis was based on a broad set of multidisciplinary observations, including satellite observations measuring temperature and sea level, meteorological data providing information on heat exchange between the atmosphere and the sea, as well as in situ coastal temperature measurements collected through citizen science activities and data obtained from oceanographic models.

"If the progressive warming of the basin has been ongoing since the early 1980s," is the comment of project coordinator Ernesto Napolitano of ENEA's Climate Models and Services Laboratory, "since 2022 the increase in sea surface temperatures has taken on exceptional characteristics, culminating in 2024, the hottest year ever recorded.

Anomalous warming in 2024

In 2024 the 'anomalous warming', the study points out, was preceded by a prolonged phase of heat accumulation between spring 2022 and summer 2023, followed between autumn 2023 and spring 2024 by reduced heat loss to the atmosphere, which kept the sea temperature well above the seasonal average. "In February 2024, the sea surface temperature exceeded 15 °C in the western Mediterranean," continue Enea, "and 18 °C in the eastern Mediterranean, while at the end of August the waters of the eastern basin touched 29 °C, leading to an extraordinary marine heat wave. The presence of a superficial mixed layer, i.e. the most superficial layer of the sea, which is unusually thin, favoured the accumulation of heat in the most superficial layers, accentuating and prolonging the anomaly'.

A significant increase in the mean and turbulent kinetic energy of the currents was recorded in the Algerian, northwestern and Levantine basins.

The trend seems to continue into 2025

Confirming the steady growth of the kinetic energy of the surface current system are the altimetric data of the last 30 years (1993-2024). The year 2024 records the highest value of the entire historical series,' well above the long-term trend.

"In 2024, atmospheric factors and internal sea dynamics led to unprecedented warming, and initial analyses indicate that 2025 also seems to continue the trend of the last three years, albeit with values slightly lower than last year's peak," the researcher continues. The recent temperature anomalies measured from 2022 to 2024, put in context with the variability of temperature and circulation in recent decades, highlight the profound change taking place in the basin'.

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