Budget

Pensions in 2027: the proposals on the table – a baby bonus, retirement at 64 and higher minimum pensions

In the run-up to the new Budget Law, the proposals on social security put forward by INPS, the ruling parties and the opposition are intertwined with the need to find resources for the revaluation of benefits, to comply with the Constitutional Court’s ruling on the severance pay (TFS) of civil servants and the possible extension of the ‘social APE’ scheme

 (Adobe Stock)

4' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

4' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

A pension allowance for newborns, designed to support them as they enter the world of work, through a funded scheme financed by the State and family members: this proposal from INPS is not the only one in the pension sector ahead of the 2027 Budget Bill. The League, through its Under-Secretary for Labour Claudio Durigon, has proposed extending the option to retire at the age of 64 to workers who paid contributions before 1996, with pensions recalculated under the contributory system.Forza Italia has revived Silvio Berlusconi’s long-standing proposal to increase minimum pensions.

Setting aside the parties’ wishes, it must be borne in mind that the resources required for the pensions section of the 2027 budget are substantial; for the adjustment of pension payments, the realised inflation rate for 2026 stands at 2.9 per cent, and it will be necessary to comply (at least in part) with the Constitutional Court’s ruling on the TFS for civil servants.

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Changes in 2027: the raising of pension eligibility requirements and the end of the ‘Ape sociale’

The PD, AVS and M5S are calling for a freeze on the increase in the state pension age and pension eligibility requirements due to come into effect next year, as set out in the 2026 Budget. From 1 January 2027, the age requirement for an old-age pension will be 67 years and 1 month (with a further 2 months to be added from 2028), whilst for the standard early retirement pension, men will need 42 years and 11 months of contributions, and women one year less (again, a further increase of two months is planned from 2028).

With the main flexible retirement options removed from the previous Budget Law (the ‘Women’s Option’, Quota 103)), the ‘Social APE’ – the early retirement scheme for those aged 63 years and 5 months, with at least 30 years’ contributions (36 years for those in arduous occupations) and falling into one of four specific categories (the unemployed, carers, those with a civil disability rating of at least 74 per cent, or workers who have been carrying out arduous work for many years): the scheme expires on 31 December 2026. The ‘Social APE’ scheme allows these categories of workers to retire early and receive a benefit from the INPS (a maximum gross monthly amount of 1,500 euros for 12 months).

A state pension allowance for newborns

The proposal put forward by INPS President Gabriele Fava for a ‘savings account for newborns’ is aimed at securing the pensions of future generations. The name of the scheme currently being developed by experts from INPS and the Ministry of Labour is expected to be the ‘Public Pension Endowment’, which the State would contribute to with one thousand euros a year. This pension savings scheme would be topped up annually by the State from birth until the individual enters the labour market, and is designed to grow over time through a capitalisation mechanism, with voluntary contributions made by family members and by the account holder themselves once they have entered the labour market. The INPS president explained that ‘it would not replace the first public pillar but would strengthen it, for those who currently risk a meagre pension’.

Based on the latest Istat figures showing around 355,000 new births, the estimated cost for the first year is 355 million euros. If this number of newborns is confirmed, the cost in the second year would be 1 billion 65 million euros and in the third year 2 billion 130 million euros. In view of these costs, discussions are taking place within the government and the INPS regarding possible funding arrangements and the amount of the state contribution.

Lega: retirement at 64 and recalculation of the pension under the contribution-based scheme

With the main routes to flexible retirement having been gradually closed off by the Meloni government, the Lega is seeking to revive the issue by focusing on the contributory early retirement scheme, which allows ‘pure’ contributory pensioners to retire, that is, workers aged 64 who began paying contributions on or after 1 January 1996, have at least 20 years of actual contributions and are entitled to a pension amounting to three times the social allowance (€1,639). The proposal from the Under-Secretary for Labour, Lega member Claudio Durigon, is to allow workers who began paying contributions before 1996 and are in the so-called ‘mixed’ scheme to opt for retirement at 64, though they would have to accept a financial penalty, as their pension would be calculated entirely under the contributory system. The estimated cost of creating a scheme for early retirement at 64 exceeds 5 billion euros spread over three years, potentially affecting a total of 180,000 pensioners.

The CGIL has rejected this proposal and estimates that the recalculation of contributions would result in an average reduction of 10 per cent in pension payments.

Forza Italia: raising the minimum pension to 800–850 euros

Forza Italia has proposed an increase in minimum pensions to bring them to between 800 and 850 euros net per month, at an estimated cost of around 1 billion euros. To provide a point of comparison, the revalued minimum amount for 2026 stands at 611.85 euros, rising to 619.80 euros gross with the supplement. The increase in minimum pensions is part of Forza Italia’s election manifesto; indeed, one of Silvio Berlusconi’s key campaign promises was precisely to gradually raise minimum pensions to €1,000, even for those who have never paid contributions and receive a pension entirely funded by the state. This objective remained in Forza Italia’s manifestos but was not implemented as it was deemed too costly for the state coffers.

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