The IMF report

AI puts 60 per cent of jobs in Europe at risk: Italia is in the middle of the rankings

According to the report presented to EU finance ministers, Europe is more vulnerable than other regions of the world

from our correspondent Beda Romano

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(da sinistra a destra) Valdis Dombrovskis, Commissario europeo per l’Economia e la produttività, l’attuazione e la semplificazione; Christine Lagarde, Presidente BCE;  il ministro greco dell’Economia e presidente Eurogruppo Kyriakos Pierrakakis e il capo economista e membro del cda del MES e EFSF Rolf Strauch  EPA

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

DUBLIN – The report presented yesterday by the International Monetary Fund to the European Union’s finance ministers, meeting here in Dublin, is one that takes a cautious view of the risks associated with artificial intelligence. Among other things, the international organisation explains that in Europe, 60 per cent of jobs are exposed to particular risks. In the field of artificial intelligence, Italia ranks in the middle of the table in terms of both productivity and preparedness to cope with technological change.

“Although – as the Fund warns – the potential of artificial intelligence appears considerable, the overall implications in terms of productivity, labour demand, inequality and public finances remain highly uncertain.” In this context, the international organisation continues, “it will be essential to manage both the opportunities and the risks in an agile manner, simultaneously and through coordination between different countries”. The IMF’s analysis comes at a time when doubts about the dangers of AI are also growing amongst companies in the sector.

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Artificial intelligence is likely to disrupt many balances in the labour market. The IMF expects demand for skilled workers to rise, whilst more routine jobs are likely to be affected by the advent of new technologies. In terms of productivity, the countries currently benefiting most from artificial intelligence are Norway, Luxembourg and Switzerland. At the bottom of the ranking are Romania, Bulgaria and Poland.

In terms of readiness to cope with technological change, the leading countries are Denmark, the Netherlands and Estonia. Those faring worst are Bosnia and Herzegovina, Belarus and North Macedonia. As mentioned, in both areas – namely productivity growth and the level of preparedness – Italia ranks roughly in the middle of the table, but still lags behind the other major EU countries: Germany, France and Spain.

Among other things, the IMF explains that in Europe, 60 per cent of jobs are exposed to particular risks, more so than in other regions of the world – the global average is 40 per cent. However, the international organisation notes that even for those in highly exposed occupations, the impact of artificial intelligence can vary significantly. ‘Around half of highly exposed jobs are occupations in which AI can support workers and boost their productivity.’

Furthermore, it is crucial for individual Member States and for the European Union as a whole to also assess the geopolitical risks posed by artificial intelligence, which could create divisions between countries and consequently lead to international tensions. At the same time, and more specifically, it will be necessary to strengthen the electricity grid, given the high energy consumption of data centres, which are essential to the operation of artificial intelligence programmes.

Finally, the report also addresses the issue of taxation, which will need to be adjusted so as not to penalise labour in favour of capital. This issue is at the heart of a recent academic article (Automation and Repression, MIT). According to Daron Acemoğlu, A. Arda Gitmez and Mehdi Shadmehr, as AI shifts income generation from labour to capital, mitigating the risk of social unrest will require ever-greater income redistribution. The risk, however, is that some countries may opt for repression.

Commenting on the report, many finance ministers emphasised the need for Europe to strike a balance between seizing opportunities and managing risks. Valdis Dombrovskis, Commissioner for the Economy, emphasised: ‘It is important that the European Union does not miss out on the artificial intelligence revolution (…) If we look at the previous revolution (…), essentially the internet revolution, it could be said that it missed that opportunity.’

(This article was updated at 4.00 pm on 19 September 2026)

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