A new technical, languages and digital programme to bridge the gap between school and work
Between 2025 and 2029, there will be a need for around two million high school leavers and STEAM graduates. The spotlight is on the 4+2 programme, new courses and more career guidance
In a country that loses 110–120,000 students a year due to the falling birth rate, and where, even today, 15,000–20,000 graduates each year choose to go abroad to improve their lives and careers, raising awareness of all the opportunities – or at least the main ones – that the education system offers our young people could be more useful than ever. Because whilst it is true that between 2019 and 2026 around 520,000 young people have been ‘brought back’ into the classroom, the flip side of the coin shows that we still have 13.3 per cent of young people aged between 15 and 29 who are neither in education nor in employment (the so-called ‘NEETs», a figure that rises to 15.6 per cent when looking at the 15–34 age group) and more than four in ten school leavers, if they could go back, would change schools or study programme (23.9 per cent would even do both).
Not to mention the ‘mismatch’ – that is, the misalignment between the skills candidates possess and those required by companies – which is cited as a problem by practically two in three firms and affects over 40 per cent of planned recruitments. A grave problem, especially for the manufacturing sector, which forms the backbone of the country and is grappling with momentous changes, from AI to the green revolution, which increasingly require ‘well-trained’ professionals. Above all, technicians and experts in STEAM (science and technology subjects, with the addition of ‘A’ for art). It is estimated that around two million such professionals will be needed between 2025 and 2029.
In short, we are in the midst of a new era of technological humanism, and education is adapting to this, with rather significant changes to the school curricula; with the full implementation of the new and innovative technological-vocational pathway, the so-called 4+2 model (four years of upper secondary school plus two years at ITS Academies); and with substantial investment in the Northern and Southern Agendas, as well as in languages and digital skills.
Central guidance
The starting point is guidance for families and young people. For the past two years, in the run-up to Christmas, the Minister for Education and Merit, Giuseppe Valditara, has been sending parents a detailed letter setting out all the scenarios on the labour market. Because if enrolment trends (which now consistently see over 50 per cent of pupils choosing sixth-form college) do not reverse, every year we risk having, on the one hand, up to 110,000 vacant places and, on the other, 60,000 sixth-form students without jobs.
The reasons for this are revealed by the Excelsior data from Unioncamere and the Ministry of Labour: from 2025 to 2029, companies will require a total of approximately 1.6–1.8 million workers holding a secondary school qualification (310,000–360,000 on average per year). The vast majority of these will be graduates from technical and vocational schools: between 160,000 and 186,000 will be needed annually. However, assuming enrolment rates remain unchanged, only 153,000 will enter the labour market. This will result in a shortfall of workers with technical or vocational diplomas ranging from 7,000 to 33,000 per year. The sectors most affected are the fields of mechanical and mechatronics, and energy sectors – not coincidentally those most affected by Industry 5.0: businesses will require between 19,000 and 22,000 of these skilled workers. However, only 9,000 or slightly more will graduate from these courses each year. The transport and logistics sector also faces a rather significant skills mismatch: whilst demand stands at 8,700–9,800 young people, the supply is less than half that figure, at 3,900.
Brand connect
Newsletter Scuola+
La newsletter premium dedicata al mondo della scuola con approfondimenti normativi, analisi e guide operative
Abbonati

