Energy

"A2A, new plan focuses on data centres: 1.6 bn investments"

Interview with A2A CEO Renato Mazzoncini: 'We want to think in a European perspective in the two sectors in which we feel strongest: environment and renewables'

by Cheo Condina

RENATO MAZZONCINI CEO A2A

5' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

5' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

The centrepiece of the new plan to 2035? "We play the data centre game seriously, envisaging investments of 1.6 billion, both as an energy partner and as a direct developer". The opening up to foreign countries? "We want to think in a European perspective in the two sectors in which we feel strongest: environment and renewables. The possible opening to financial partners of individual businesses? "We have increased to 23 billion the total investments to 2035, all financed with our cash flows and with a debt at the end of the plan expected to be 2.4 times on Ebitda: we will consider possible minorities to do something more". A2A presented the update of the new 10-year plan, which sees an Ebitda of 3.6 billion and an ordinary net profit of 1.1 billion by 2035: according to Ceo Renato Mazzoncini, this is a key step to capitalise on the efforts made in recent years on the electrification front, "which has now finally arrived and will be able to increase consumption by 80 TWh per year, equally divided between data centres and electric mobility". The nine-month accounts were also approved, with EBITDA down 4% to EUR 1.729 billion, net profit of EUR 581 million, and year-end targets confirmed.

In summary, A2A's new plan envisages the strengthening of its industrial objectives, consistent with the expected growth in demand for electricity. A new positioning in the data centre segment, enhancing distinctive competencies in the energy field, as well as opening up to investment opportunities in European markets. Also on the agenda is the confirmation of the shareholder remuneration policy and the monitoring of financial solidity in order to maintain rating metrics; in parallel, initiatives for a sustainable and competitive transition towards the 2050 Net Zero objective continue. Translated into numbers: investments in the period 2024-35 rise to EUR 23 billion, of which 16 billion for the Energy Transition and 7 billion for the Circular Economy. The target for Ebitda is set at EUR 2.4 billion in 2028 and EUR 3.6 billion in 2035, while ordinary net profit is seen at EUR 0.7 billion in 2028 and above EUR 1.1 billion in 2035. The ratio of net financial position to EBITDA is estimated to remain below 2.8 times over the plan period. Finally, the group's commitment to maintain its current credit rating is confirmed.

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Engineer Mazzoncini, what role do you foresee A2A playing in the development of data centres? 

A2A has strong roots in Lombardy and Milan, where connection requests are hitting record levels. We are in the right place at the right time, thanks in part to the maxi purchase of electricity grids from Enel, and our scenarios, albeit cautious, indicate a strong increase in electricity consumption. A2A wants to participate in this trend in two ways. On the one hand as an energy partner because we can offer our partners in the data centre crucial enablers such as connection to the electricity grid, district heating, water management and energy sales, proposing a 'local' solution that reduces costs, thanks in part to Ppa contracts. On the other hand, we want to become direct developers of data centres and we already have several requests for collaboration in this regard. Even in Apulia and Sicily, where important submarine Internet cables run, we see interesting opportunities.

Translated into numbers?

We are launching a new business line with 1.6 billion in investments between now and 2035 with an estimated Ebitda contribution of over 100 million by 2030 and 400 million by the end of the plan. You are betting on data centres while in the US there are increasing alarm signals about a possible AI bubble, why? There are 10 thousand data centres in the world, half of which are in the US, 2 thousand in Europe and only 168 in Italia. In some areas there is saturation, but in our country we started later. Moreover, I believe that on AI there is an issue of technological sovereignty, on which Europe must take its own path. Furthermore, I believe that the presence of data centres will also help our industry. Industry that, however, demands lower electricity prices to protect its competitiveness against European competitors. Renewables and PPAs are the solution, as well as batteries which, as the latest Macse auctions tell us, have dropped in price, making green sources more competitive all day long. The problem, if anything, is the gap between summer and winter: that is where efficient thermoelectricity is needed, and that is another front on which we are moving.

 In the meantime, however, the installation of renewables in Italia in 2025 has slowed down, why?

The effects of the Superbonus have waned, utility scale plants have not slowed down, although the release of the Eligible Areas Decree remains very important. However, I would like to point out that this government, in the Pniec update, has raised the renewable target to 2030 to its all-time high, 63%, from the previous 55%. And this is good news.

A recent Morgan Stanley report set a target price of EUR 4 for A2A stock, which is now worth EUR 2.5, if the data centre optionality is fully realised.

A2A is undervalued compared to all major competitors: only by realigning the price/earnings ratio should the stock be at 3.25 euro. More important than the numbers, however, is the fact that Morgan Stanley pointed out that A2A has the spirit of a growth company and this makes the current multiples even more discounted. We have the highest total shareholder return in the sector.

In the new plan you have confirmed a dividend per share growth of at least 4% per year. The mayor of Milan, Beppe Sala, hoped for a rising 2025 coupon. 

And so it will be because the company continues to grow, maintains an excellent payout, between 45% and 55%, and continues to invest heavily, maintaining a perfect financial balance. And the dividend rises again this year by 4%.

In the past he had studied a partnership with Ardian to accelerate renewables. Could we see similar operations in the future? 

Our entire plan is financed by cash flow, we will consider opening minorities on individual businesses to do more.

Back to looking abroad, where?

This theme was already present in the 2021 plan, but with the war in Ukraine we had preferred to channel resources to Italia to contribute to its energy security and sovereignty. Now we are returning to a more European logic. We see interesting possibilities in Spain, Portugal and Great Britain on waste to energy and in Germany and Poland on renewables.

In spring your second term will expire, are you available for a third?

Yes, it is a historic moment in which energy transition and circular economy, the two pillars of A2A, are decisive for the future of the country .

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