Large-scale retail

AAA: salad and tomatoes wanted on supermarket shelves

Unusually hot weather, increasingly extreme weather events and invasive insect species: why supermarkets are running short of bagged goods.

 (Imagoeconomica)

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

There’s not much salad or tomatoes. Italian consumers are finding it increasingly difficult to find these two vegetables in supermarkets. The reason? The excessive heat in July and August. Vegetables such as carrots, courgettes and onions are spared, as there is no shortage of them.

The causes

Extreme weather events – such as heavy storms and/or hail – which are becoming increasingly frequent, combined with above-average temperatures and alternating with periods of drought, have increased uncertainty regarding harvests. Lettuce, in particular, and tomatoes, to some extent, are the vegetables most affected by temperature fluctuations: heatwaves have delayed growing cycles and reduced yields in fields and greenhouses. At the same time, the volume of produce unsuitable for sale – waste – is increasing. Another effect of climate change is the emergence of invasive insect species, such as the brown marmorated stink bug, which cause damage to crops.

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Confagricoltura confirms the figures from Unione Italiana Food: agricultural volumes have fallen, product availability has dropped by up to 40 per cent, and waste due to failure to meet quality standards has risen by 20 per cent. This is backed up by estimates from Istat, which show a structural decline in lettuce production in Italia of -10.5% over the period 2019–2023.

Compounding the situation is the rise in production costs linked to the current geopolitical tensions. As Coldiretti points out, agricultural diesel is used not only to power tractors and other machinery needed for harvesting vegetables, but also to operate irrigation systems, which have become indispensable given the now frequent periods of drought.

The consequences

As Davide Vernocchi, president of Confcooperative’s fruit and vegetable sector, explains, this difficult period for ‘fourth-range’ products – fresh, pre-packaged fruit and vegetables ready for consumption, such as bagged salad – could lead farmers to prioritise other crops. This would result in fewer fields being set aside for the production of the former.

Another knock-on effect is rising prices, as a product becomes harder to find. This situation is beginning to unfold in the wholesale markets, from which retail shops source their supplies: according to data from the Italian Electronic Commodities Exchange (BMTI) – a company established by the Ministry of Agricultural, Food and Forestry Policies – head lettuce now costs almost 80 per cent more than last year, cherry tomatoes over 60 per cent more, ‘cuore di bue’ tomatoes around double the price, and red radicchio almost triple the price. Higher prices are therefore also expected to appear on consumers’ receipts.

How to bring the emergency under control

According to Confcooperative’s forecasts, it will take about a month for the decline in sales of bagged salad – specifically, greenhouse-grown salad – to be reversed.

Whilst the president of the Italian Farmers’ Union, Mario Serpillo, calls for people to get used to the seasonal nature of produce again, Coldiretti is calling for ‘a strategic plan’ capable of tackling the challenges ‘linked to climate change, international competition and rising production costs’, in which innovation must play a key role.

In practical terms, to prevent adverse weather events from damaging crops, it is necessary to strengthen ‘active defence’ by using anti-hail nets, anti-frost systems and new protection technologies.

Another key factor is the formation of a pact between agricultural producers and large-scale retailers, which would enable them to plan supplies and share the costs required to manage climate-related risks. “To ensure fresh-cut produce is on the shelves, we must work together to create the conditions necessary for the product to be grown,” urged Massimiliano Giansanti, president of Confagricoltura.

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