The word from the operator: Tcw

'Among the titles I like best is Arista Networks'

For Evan Feagans, the other interesting companies are Symbotic, Vertiv and Reddit

3' min read

3' min read

Evan Feagans, manager of Tcw analyses in detail the outlook for the technology sector in the US in light of all the unknowns dominating the market scenario, from tariffs to inflation

The latest data confirm rising inflation in the US. What is the impact on Ia stocks?

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We expect the impact on inflation to be temporary in nature. Ia is an area of strategic importance to the Trump administration, as evidenced by the recent 'Action Plan for Artificial Intelligence'. Consequently, we expect Ia-related stocks to emerge as the relative winners in the US market.

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What effect could the US-EU trade agreement have for the US tech sector?

The European Union is the largest trading partner of the US and a very important market for many US technology companies. We believe that this agreement is mutually beneficial, as the US and China have made great strides in the development of artificial intelligence, and unrestricted access to US products and services in this field will help Europe catch up in the development of a strategically crucial technology.

Is it time to reduce the weight of the Magnificent 7 in your portfolio?

The Mag 7 could also be called the AI 7, as artificial intelligence underpins the strong results and share performance of each of the seven companies. Artificial intelligence will require decades of development and iterations to reach its full potential, and the very nature of this technology favours large companies capable of investing hundreds of billions of dollars in Ia infrastructure in the coming years. Investors who significantly reduce their exposure to Mag 7 risk underperforming the market as these companies continue to drive the most powerful technology trend of the decade.

I COMPARABLES

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The Ia sector is subject to cycles of enthusiasm and correction: what are the main risks you see in the short to medium term?

One of the main risks is that there is continued progress on the hardware and software front and increased investment. We are also aware of the impact that AI can have on societal perceptions, as widespread job losses could cause a negative reaction from regulators and consumers, slowing down the growth of the sector.

What could be the impact of tariffs on emerging countries supplying materials for Ia?

The supply chain for AI infrastructure is largely located in Asia, with countries such as Taiwan and Korea being the main suppliers of semiconductors. Tariffs on these products would undoubtedly increase costs for US buyers of AI infrastructure, but demand is relatively inelastic, as remaining highly competitive in AI development is critical for these companies. We expect the Trump administration to prioritise the reduction of tariffs on these key AI infrastructures, given the strategic importance of the sector.

The titles you like best?

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Symbotic: provider of warehouse automation systems based on artificial intelligence. Unlike other automation solutions that focus on a single product or process, Symbotic's platform takes care of inventory management in a distribution centre in the round, without the presence of human staff in the main areas of the warehouse. Walmart, the largest retailer in the US, has contracted Symbotic to implement the Sym robotics platform in all its regional distribution centres over time. Vertiv: is a leader in thermal management (cooling) solutions in the data centre market, including advanced liquid cooling systems required by next-generation CPUs. The company has a partnership with Nvidia and is one of the main suppliers that Ia companies turn to when they want to build or expand an Ia data centre. Vertiv's other products (such as power supply) are also aimed at the data centre market, making it a pure beneficiary of the race for Ia hegemony. Arista Networks: is the leading supplier of data centre switches that turn independent servers into a single processing engine, transfer data to and from the Ia models as needed, and provide secure system access. Large language models and other forms of Ia require huge amounts of computing power and data access, and therefore extremely fast networks to minimise training time and costs. Reddit: artificial intelligence models are only as effective as the volume and quality of data they are trained on, and Reddit is one of the best sources of up-to-date textual content on the Internet. In just a few weeks, the platform is able to create as much trainable data as Wikipedia. Reddit has data licensing agreements with OpenAI and Google to provide training data for their large language models, and we anticipate further agreements in the future.

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