IA

Anthropic towards IPO reopens eternal competition with OpenAI

The listing project takes shape in the global race for artificial intelligence

by Biagio Simonetta

ANTHROPIC INTELLIGENZA ARTIFICIALE  AI IA

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

There is the first real financial hit from the new US technology stars. And it was beaten by Anthropic, the Californian company that created the chatbot Claude and is now one of the most aggressive players in the generative wave. The company, considered by some analysts to be OpenAI's real rival, has in fact accelerated towards what could be one of the biggest listings in recent tech history. And it has appointed the law firm Wilson Sonsini to prepare the ground for a possible IPO that could come as early as 2026.

An indicrescence that immediately turned into a decisive step in the - silent but increasingly visible - race between Anthropic and OpenAI to be first on the American public market.

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The news, initially reported by the Financial Times, has an important specific weight. Not least because the choice of law firm, which took place in the last few days, is not trivial: Wilson Sonsini is the same one that over the years has followed debuts on Wall Street such as those of Google, LinkedIn and Lyft. All this while it appears that Anthropic is engaged in a parallel maxi private collection that could exceed 300 billion in valuation. But the move towards a potential IPO signals an intention to test the public markets' appetite for research labs that are burning capital at an unprecedented rate, with model training costs rising exponentially.

But let us take a small step back and enter the heart of Anthropic. Leading the company is Dario Amodei, a former VP of Research at OpenAI. And by his side, there is his sister Daniela Amodei (their Italian origins are clear), who in turn was responsible for operations and safety in the company led by Sam Altman.

In short, Anthropic grew out of an internal split within OpenAI: a group of former employees, in disagreement over OpenAI's strategies and governance, left the former San Francisco start-up in 2021 to found a competing lab. That rift has now become a real industrial competition. Not least because OpenAI - the world's most famous generative AI company thanks to its chatbot ChatGPT - has a recent valuation of around USD 500 billion, and is itself engaged in preliminary work to prepare for an IPO, albeit without a definite timeline.

The IPO rush reflects a landscape in which the AI giants have begun to behave like listed companies: structured balance sheets, strict internal controls, more transparent governance, and above all a spasmodic search for capital to finance the next generation of models. Anthropic, for its part, has started internal work to adapt to market requirements, including the hiring of key figures such as Krishna Rao, formerly of Airbnb and one of the architects of the listing of the home-sharing platform.

Today, clearly, the role of investors is increasingly decisive. Amazon, Microsoft, and Nvidia have already invested billions in the Amodei-led company: the latest 15 billion deal is expected to flow into a round that would push the valuation to between 300 and 350 billion. It is therefore not surprising that the investor front is firmly in favour of an IPO, convinced that a rapid listing would allow the company to 'steal' the sceptre (or at least the primacy) from OpenAI.

Regarding OpenAI, on the other hand, rumours indicate initial work to structure a future Wall Street debut, but no immediate plans. Here again, the paradox of modern AI weighs heavily: overwhelming growth in demand, but business models that are still fluid and development costs that are difficult to predict. A variable that could slow both companies down.

Anthropic, for the time being, maintains cautious tones. 'We already operate as if we were a listed company,' a spokesperson let it be known. 'We have not made any decision on when - or whether - to go public'. A statement that does not hide the obvious: the IPO race has begun, and for the first time in the history of Silicon Valley it concerns not social platforms or marketplaces, but scientific laboratories building the cognitive systems of the future.

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