Sea economy

Antwerp, leading port litmus test of global geopolitical tensions

The Belgian port recorded an interchange of 271 million tonnes, down 5.5 per cent on 2022. Liquids trade decreased by 2.1 per cent. Container transport fell by 6.3 per cent, in tonne terms. At the same time, the port gained market share compared to Rotterdam and Le Havre

by our correspondent Beda Romano

Nuova insegna a Bruxelles, al Belgio la presidenza di turno dell'Ue

3' min read

3' min read

ANTWERP - Lingering international political uncertainty - marked by the war in the Middle East, the conflict in Ukraine and tensions between China and the United States over the future of Taiwan - has become a crucial factor in global port management. Against this increasingly worrying backdrop, the Belgian port of Antwerp/Bruges, one of Europe's most important ports, this week warned about its performance in the current year, following a rather disappointing 2023.

The figures for the year just ended reflect the difficult political and economic situation, both in Europe and worldwide. On the goods side, the port recorded an interchange of 271 million tonnes, down 5.5% compared to 2022. Liquids trade, from oil to gas, decreased by 2.1%. Container transport fell by 6.3%, in tonne terms. At the same time, the port of Antwerp/Bruges gained market share compared to Rotterdam and Le Havre.

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Also connected with northern Italy, the Belgian port centre is among the most important internationally. According to the latest statistics, the Flemish port on the river Scheldt is Europe's leading port in exports and Europe's leading port in vehicle transport. It also hosts the continent's most important chemical platform and is, in absolute terms, the 13th largest port in the world in freight traffic. It is also, unwillingly, one of the main gateways for cocaine into Europe.

Chinese economy under special surveillance

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The gaze runs to 2024. 'A lot will depend on the development of the Chinese and German economies, on which we depend in many areas,' explains the Belgian company's CEO, Jacques Vandermeiren. 'I don't expect big changes in the first part of the year, compared to 2023. We could say we are happy if we manage to register a slight growth in 2024'. In truth, the fear is that we will see a blockage of routes through the Red Sea or the Formosa Strait.

"All ship owners are looking for alternatives to the routes they usually use," adds the Belgian executive. "It is inevitable that the continuing uncertainty will have an impact on routes. We certainly cannot exclude that some ports will be, so to speak, skipped." Via the Red Sea, the journey of a ship between Shanghai and Antwerp is 35-40 days. It rises to 55 days if the ship has to circumnavigate the Cape of Good Hope off South Africa.

LE ROTTE

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According to Drewry's index, with which transport costs are monitored, the price of sending a 40-foot container has risen by 90 per cent compared to pre-pandemic values in 2020. More precisely, the rate for sending the same container from China to Europe has risen to around $4,000. This is a 248% jump from $1,148 on 21 November, the week when Yemeni Huthi attacks on Western ships began.

The importance of maritime military power

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In a recent article in the Journal of Transport Geography, scholars Hassan Noorali, Colin Flint and Seyyed Abbas Ahmadi argue that 'maritime transport is now intimately linked to military power over the seas'. They go on to emphasise the political significance of a port: 'In fact,' they write, 'it is the nodes that enable a country to exert political influence beyond its territory'. The country, at this juncture, is not so much or not only Belgium, but the European Union itself.

At a time when Europe is trying to reduce its dependence on China and repatriate some production lines, ports are being called upon to adapt. Notes Erwin Verstraelen, head of digital innovation at the Belgian company: 'Since 2018, geopolitics has become a driving factor in our business strategy. In addition to the factors prevalent today, in recent years we have had to deal with American trade restrictions, sanctions against Moscow, and the UK's exit from the Union."

In this context, the Belgian company increased the use of drones to tighten security in a port covering over 14,000 hectares. When crossing the English Channel, it has decided to transport goods in trailers only, to avoid customs delays in Great Britain blocking the entire truck across the border for too long. The environmental front is also strategic: the port is adapting to hydrogen transport and the demands of energy sustainability.

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