Technology and the future/5

Artificial intelligence and platforms: opportunities for new employment

Jobs. According to the World Economic Forum by 2030 there will be a net positive balance of 78 million jobs created and eliminated globally

ILLUSTRAZIONE DI GIOVANNI GASTALDI

5' min read

5' min read

Specialists in big data, engineers who are experts in technology applied to finance, and personnel specialised in artificial intelligence and machine learning. These are the three professions that will experience the strongest growth in the next five years according to the World economic forum's 'Future of Jobs Report' 2025. The names are complicated and may discourage workers already well into their careers. But the good news - at least according to this report - is that the great labour revolution currently underway, which is inextricably linked to the digital, environmental and demographic transition, should result in an overall positive balance in terms of employment. Specifically, the World Economic Forum estimates that 170 million new jobs will be created globally by 2030, while 92 million roles could be eliminated (8 per cent of total employment), a net increase of 78 million jobs. In between these two extremes, and without prejudice to the critical issues for workers who risk being cut out of the market (see also Paolo Benanti's article in Il Sole 24 Ore of 20 August), there are millions of positions and roles (78% of global employment) that may be destined to change by virtue of technological evolution, but at least not to disappear.

"Employment balances will be better where, as a territory, companies and people, we prepare for the new era by really investing in technologies and skills," explains Marco Bentivogli, an expert on innovation, industry and labour, and former member of the commission on artificial intelligence at the Ministry of Economic Development from 2019 to 2021. 'If we look at the last three stages of technological evolution,' he continues, 'advanced robotics, in itself, clears and generates jobs with a positive balance. The countries with the highest density of robotics, i.e. with a higher number of robots per 10,000 workers, are those with the lowest unemployment. Digitalisation erases routine and repetitive tasks and enhances those with greater cognitive engagement. The advent of artificial intelligence shakes up the scenario again. And the issue is much more serious than 'how many jobs we will lose'. It is about using a method to understand trends. Out of the 804 professions that ISTAT censuses in Italy,' Bentivogli continues, 'artificial intelligence will have three different levels of impact: it will generate new professions that are unknown today, it will delete others, and finally it will integrate, enhance and support existing professions. The third effect,' he concludes, 'will be the most relevant'.

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Help and challenges of Ia

In the draft of the Guidelines for the implementation of AI in the world of work, put out for consultation in recent months by the Ministry of Labour and still being drawn up, the impact that artificial intelligence can have on a number of professions is outlined. This is the case, for example, with machine learning (a branch of AI that enables computer systems to learn from data) in the health sector, which could support doctors in the early diagnosis of diseases, predictive analysis and personalised medicine. In finance, machine learning can help traders in risk management and fraud detection, while in marketing it can help to personalise advertising campaigns and perform predictive analysis on consumer behaviour.

Generative artificial intelligence can help trainers in education to create interactive and customised learning materials. Computer vision, which allows systems to analyse and interpret images and videos, can be used in the field of security for surveillance and biometric recognition, while in mobility and automotive it can help create autonomous vehicles and driver assistance systems.

These are all examples of how artificial intelligence could integrate and improve work: the main challenges remain to ensure the accessibility of Ia systems to all companies, including small and medium-sized ones (e.g. through Ia Competence Centres spread throughout the territory), and to support the training of workers, in order to avoid a gap between those who can develop new skills and those who cannot, remaining cut off from the market. And of course, promoting responsible, inclusive use of artificial intelligence in line with workers' rights and protections. However, it remains to be shown that the replacement of human labour by automated systems, for example in customer service, is as effective and efficient as the support provided by staff and leads to a real increase in productivity.

'The challenge posed to us by artificial intelligence,' continues Marco Bentivogli, 'is also and above all educational: to educate on artificial intelligence and spread awareness; to educate with artificial intelligence, which helps to personalise learning methods; and finally to educate artificial intelligence, i.e. to train the algorithms to protect the human-centric perspective of this development.

Digital platforms

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Another face of the digitisation of work is that of digital platforms, i.e. the intermediation between demand and supply of services via the Internet. Platforms are active in delivery (such as Deliveroo, Glovo, Just Eat), in transport (Uber), in offering services by freelancers (Freelance.com, Fiverr.com), in training (Coursera.com, Udemy.com). The number of workers operating via digital platforms in the EU was 28 million in 2022 (slightly less than the manufacturing workforce) and the Council of the European Union estimates that it will rise to 43 million by 2025 (+53% in three years).

By 2 December 2026, the EU states have to transpose Directive 2024/2831, in force since 1 December 2024, which aims to improve working conditions within digital platforms, into their legal systems. Among the objectives, in addition to the correct qualification of employment relationships, there is also the avoidance of fully automated decisions impacting on the lives of workers, from the determination of remuneration to personnel selection to the end of the relationship.

"We welcome the approval of the European directive," explains Daniele Contini, country manager of Just Eat Italia, which is part of a multinational company active in 17 countries and has signed a supplementary agreement to the Ccnl logistics, goods transport and shipping with the most representative trade unions, providing for the hiring of its delivery staff with a subordinate employment contract. 'We believe,' he adds, 'that this is an important step towards a fairer and more competitive market, in which all platforms operate under the same rules. Clear, effective and shared rules are now urgently needed. This is why we call for the opening of a round table involving institutions, social partners and sector players, to build together a fairer, more sustainable and truly inclusive digital ecosystem'.

As for workers' protections, Marco Bentivogli, who has long dealt with the new professions on several fronts, points out that 'in Italy more than elsewhere, work is represented by a two-lane highway: dependent or self-employed. Judgments, contracts, EU directives say that platform-related work is dependent work. The reality,' he adds, 'is that in practice the actual conditions of disintermediation determine a relationship more akin to self-employment. It will be necessary, precisely in the light of these transformations,' he adds, 'to start again from the construction of a set of social rights to be made enforceable for all, regardless of the contractual form applied'.

Artificial intelligence is also entering digital platforms, alongside the algorithms already in use. "We are hiring people who are native to AI," says Sharon Steiner, head of human resources at Fiverr.com, an international platform with 750 employees, which provides freelance services, charging workers and companies a fee to cover the costs of the platform. "This means that these new workers," she continues, "don't just use AI, but build workflows around it.

For Marcelo Modica, head of personnel at Coursera.com, a US training platform with 1,350 employees and 175 million subscribers worldwide, 'artificial intelligence plays a supporting, rather than a primary, function. At the corporate level,' he explains, 'we have not required all employees to use generative artificial intelligence in their daily activities, although basic training on this topic is required for most teams'.

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