Markets

Oil at $100 a barrel and bond yields send stock markets into the red; Eni surges in Milan

According to experts, the Governing Council of the European Central Bank is set to announce a 25 basis point rise in interest rates. Milan is at its lowest level since the end of July. The yen is at its highest level since February.

 LAPRESSE

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

(Il Sole 24 Ore Radiocor) - The latest rises in the price of oil, with Brent crude back at $100 a barrel, and gas, which costs €78 per megawatt-hour in Amsterdam, are causing concern amongst the European stock markets, which are awaiting the outcome of the ECB Governing Council meeting on Thursday. The market expects a 25-basis-point rise in interest rates, but traders will be closely assessing any indications regarding the central bank’s next moves, whilst the new tit-for-tat attacks on energy infrastructure in the Persian Gulf between the United States and Iran risk keeping price pressures high.

The FTSE MIB on the Milan Stock Exchange has been hit hard by selling, in line with other major European indices. The Milan stock exchange has fallen to its lowest level since 30 July.

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Meanwhile, on the subject of monetary policy, the countdown has also begun for the meeting of the FOMC – the Federal Reserve’s operational arm – scheduled for next week. According to CME FedWatch data, the market considers a 60 per cent probability of a quarter-point rise in US interest rates.

Wall Street falls as oil prices rally

Wall Street is down, following yesterday’s poor performance, due to the continued rise in oil prices. Prices have risen as a result of escalating tensions between the United States and Iran, which are fuelling fears of further disruptions to energy supplies in the Middle East. No major economic data or corporate quarterly results are due today. Over the course of the week, traders will be monitoring inflation figures, which will influence the Federal Reserve’s forthcoming decisions on interest rates.

Buying in oil stocks; banks weak

Among the leading stocks on the Milan stock exchange, high crude oil prices continue to bolster energy shares, led by Eni . Attention remains focused on the banks, which are generally down, on the eve of the AGM of Intesa Sanpaolo which is set to give the green light to the capital operation in support of the takeover bid for Banca Monte Paschi Siena . As for the Siena-based bank, on Tuesday, as expected, non-executive directors Gianluca Brancadoro and Alessandro Caltagirone were co-opted onto the board.

All eyes are also on the tech sector and Stmicroelectronics , on the day Apple is set to unveil its new foldable iPhone. Finally, Telecom Italia in the final days of the takeover bid launched by Poste Italiane , following the upward revision of the cash price per share.

Outside the main index, Webuild is losing ground outside the main index; however, the company has described press reports regarding a request to the Government for 22 billion to cover additional costs as ‘entirely without foundation’. The company also clarified that the communications sent to the relevant authorities concern contractual obligations that have already fallen due.

Spread at 82 points, BTp yield rises to 4.2%

In the bond market, yields on Eurozone government bonds rose at the start of trading, with energy prices soaring following the latest US-Iran clashes in the Middle East and expectations of an ECB rate rise at tomorrow’s meeting. The yield on the benchmark 10-year BTp, maturing on 1 July 2036, has returned to 4.20 per cent (from 4.17 per cent last night), remaining at its highest level in around three years. The spread against the German Bund has risen slightly to 82 basis points from 81 last night.

I mercati a metà seduta

Euro nears 1.17 dollars

In the currency markets, the euro is holding steady at 1.1641 dollars (having closed at 1.163 dollars on Tuesday). The yen is strong, remaining close to its highest levels since February ahead of next week’s moves by the Bank of Japan, which may raise interest rates to defend the national currency. The Japanese currency is trading at 178.15 to the euro (down from 179.33) and 153.00 to the dollar (down from 154.2).

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