Markets

Stock markets rebound as crude oil falls to $100. Tech and banking sectors lead the way in Milan

Wall Street is also up. Attention remains firmly on bonds. All eyes are on the US-China summit: on Thursday, Chinese leader Xi will be at the White House

 IMAGOECONOMICA

4' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

4' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

(Il Sole 24 Ore Radiocor) - Gains are consolidating on European stock markets are consolidating their gains in the first trading session of the week, against a backdrop of falling oil prices and bond yields, thanks in part to the boost from the tech sector. Yields on government bonds continue to cause concern, although, as we mentioned, the fever surrounding government bond yields has cooled slightly. According to the Financial Times, the major US investment banks estimate that the United States could raise around 1,000 billion dollars through new short-term debt over the coming year, increasing its reliance on 12-month Treasury bills. Furthermore, there are fears that inflation will continue to rise, driven by high energy prices. Oil, however, continues its downward trend, with Brent hovering around the $100 mark. This week, the spotlight will also be on the meeting between US President Donald Trump and his Chinese counterpart, Xi Jinping, scheduled to take place in Washington on Thursday. All eyes will also be on the UN General Assembly, during which Trump will meet with the leaders of the Gulf states.

Thus, the FTSE MIB in Milan is trading higher, although it has been affected by a fractional 0.07% following the coupon payments by Eni and St. The CAC 40 in Paris and the DAX 40 in Frankfurt, despite the results of the regional elections, which saw another defeat for the CDU, Chancellor Merz’s party. Merz described the results as ‘a disaster’, but has no intention of stepping down.

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Wall Street on the rise

Stock indices on Wall Street were on the rise, again thanks to the fall in oil prices and Treasury yields. Last week, the Dow Jones fell by 1.7%, recording its worst performance since March; the S&P 500 fell by around 0.1 per cent. Only the tech-heavy Nasdaq closed higher, up 0.7 per cent. Analysts at JPMorgan recently noted that oil flows ‘remain surprisingly strong’, despite the latest disruptions, thereby contributing to the fall in crude oil prices. In the equity market, technology stocks stood out, including Intel. Strong Strategy, buoyed by bitcoin’s latest rally to $85,000, as it is one of its largest holders. Warner Bros Discovery is gaining ground after the Wall Street Journal reported at the weekend that Paramount and the California Attorney General had discussed the details of a settlement regarding the lawsuit blocking the merger between the two media giants.

Bessent: ‘US-China talks very positive, focus on AI’

The intensive eight-hour talks in New York between US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Chinese Deputy Prime Minister He Lifeng have concluded with a ‘very positive’ outcome. The marathon summit, hosted the day before at JPMorgan Chase’s headquarters, laid the operational groundwork ahead of the crucial summit scheduled for Thursday in Washington between US President Donald Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping. The visit was confirmed by Beijing itself in an official statement. “We have just concluded a highly successful meeting with the Chinese,” said Bessent. “We discussed the creation of a mutual notification mechanism for security incidents and threats. It will be called the ‘US-China Dialogue on AI’ and we have agreed to meet again,” explained the Treasury Secretary.

I mercati a metà seduta

Tech and banking stocks perform well on the Milan Stock Exchange

On the Milan Stock Exchange, tech shares are in the spotlight, with STMicroelectronics among the top performers on the market. Banks are also performing well, buoyed by the figures released by the French bank Societe Generale on the day it unveiled its plan for 2029. Leading the gains on the Milan stock exchange was Banco Bpm was also driven by rumours that Unicredit and Credit Agricole are reportedly in the early stages of talks to explore a joint move on Piazza Meda. A solid debut for Technoprobe on its first day of trading on the main Milanese index, replacing Diasorin. Selling pressure on some oil stocks as oil prices fall: Eni slips to the bottom of the list.

Oil prices continue to fall, with Brent nearing $100

Oil prices continue to fall, with Brent heading for its longest run of declines since June. Traders continue to monitor diplomatic efforts to end the conflict between Iran and the United States, whilst ships continue to pass through the Strait of Hormuz. As a result, Brent is trading at around $100 a barrel and WTI at around $97. Gas prices are also falling, with the price in Amsterdam at around 74 euros per megawatt-hour. According to the New York Times, US President Donald Trump has decided not to bomb the Houthis in Yemen, even though everything was in place to attack them; furthermore, on Fox News, he stated that he would ‘probably’ be willing to meet his Iranian counterpart, Masoud Pezeshkian, on the sidelines of the United Nations General Assembly in New York this week.

Spread falls to 87 points, bitcoin at $85,000

The spread between BTps and Bunds is narrowing. The yield differential between the benchmark 10-year BTp and the German bond of the same maturity stands at 87 basis points , down from 92 points at Friday’s close. The yield on the benchmark 10-year BTP has also fallen sharply, dropping to 4.32 per cent from 4.44 per cent at the previous close. The German 10-year bond has fallen to 3.45 per cent, whilst the US Treasury yield remains around 4.96 per cent.

On the foreign exchange market, the euro is trading at 1.148 dollars, up on Friday’s close (1.1468). The single currency is also trading at 180.6 yen (179.99), whilst the euro/yen exchange rate stands at 157.3 (156.93). Despite the Bank of Japan having raised interest rates to a 31-year high of 1.25 per cent, the yen remains extremely weak. Meanwhile, bitcoin continues its rise, reaching $85,000.

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