Markets

Stock exchanges, brilliant week with truce in Iran. Milan (+4.3%) tops since 2000

The brightening in Iran allowed Piazza Affari to mend its losses from the start of the war in the Middle East. Oil fell double digits in the eighth, with Brent crude down 11.3% to $96 a barrel

by Paolo Paronetto and Ivan Torneo

La Borsa in un minuto

4' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

4' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

(Il Sole 24 Ore Radiocor) - European stock exchanges closed a "short week" on the back of the Easter holiday, the keystone of which was the announcement of the truce in Iran ahead of the peace talks that will start tomorrow. The rally by the stock markets on Wednesday thus enabled the eighth week to end on a positive note, despite doubts about the durability of the ceasefire and the progress of the negotiations. The pink jersey went to Piazza Affari, where the Ftse Mib soared 4.3% bringing the balance since the beginning of the year to +5.9%. Paris (+3.7%), Madrid (+3.7%), Frankfurt (+3%) and London (+1.6%) followed, while the Eurostoxx 50 rose 4%. Purchases were led by the banking sector (+6.5% the Stoxx sub-index), while the only sector with a weekly balance sheet in the red was the energy sector (-0.6%), hit by sell-offs due to the slowdown in oil prices.

The Greece, on the other hand, recorded a 10.8% drop in the week for Wti and 11.3% for Brent. Natural gas also fell sharply, retracing 11.7% in Amsterdam. Returning to Milan equities, the best performers were StMicroelectronics (+16.5%), Prysmian (+14.4%), Buzzi (+9.7%), UniCredit (+9.4%) and Mediobanca (+9.3%). Realizations instead on defence, with Leonardo down 9.6%, partly due to doubts over the change in governance, and Avio down 3.9%. Also in the red were Eni (-3%), Recordati (-2.3%) and Diasorin (-0.9%). Among the European biggies, Siemens (+11.7%), Schneider Electric (+10.2%), Infineon (+9.9%) and Asml (+9.4%) stood out. Rheinmetall (-6.8%), Sap (-6.4%) and Wolters Kluwer (-4%) performed poorly. Spot gold was up 1.8%, Bitcoin up 8.6%. Finally, the spread between BTp and Bund fell by eight points to 78 points from 86 last Friday.

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Positive Friday in Europe, Piazza Affari (+0.6%) to top since 2000

The European stock exchanges close Friday's session with cautious optimism and bet on the holding of the truce between Washington and Tehran, on the eve of the start of negotiations in Pakistan. However, deep divisions remain, starting with the issue of the Strait of Hormuz, which Iran wants under its control allowing only 15 ships a day to pass through. The possibility of transit tolls also hangs over the thorny issue of Iranian uranium enrichment. The fragile ceasefire keeps the price of oil below 100 dollars a barrel, while the expected rise in US inflation in March did not exceed analysts' forecasts. Wall Street also moved up cautiously, with the S&P 500 heading for its best week since May.

Thus, at the end of the last session of the week, Milan (+0.59%) posted a good rise, regaining its highest level since November 2000 at 47,609 points. Paris (+0.2%), Madrid (+0.5%) and Amsterdam (+0.5%) also did well, while Frankfurt was stable. President Trump also returned to attacking Tehran, calling the blockade of cross-strait oil 'embarrassing': 'this is not the deal we have,' the tycoon wrote on the social Truth. Against this backdrop, oil is slowing down but not stopping, with the Brent rising slightly to around 96 dollars per barrel and Wti rising to 98 dollars. Gas in Amsterdam, on the other hand, fell sharply below EUR 44 per megawatt-hour.

“In attesa delle trattative sulla pace, l’inflazione Usa ruba la scena”

Wall Street contrasts little move, consumer confidence at lows

Wall Street closed mixed. The Dow Jones gave up 0.56 per cent to 47,916.57 points, the Nasdaq gained 0.35 per cent to 22,902.89 points and the S&P 500 dropped 0.11 per cent to 6,816.89 points

US inflation +0.9%, energy prices at highest since 2005

In March, US inflation rose in line with expectations, with a +0.9% month-on-month (the highest since March 2022) and +3.3% year-on-year. The 'core' figure, i.e. excluding food and energy prices, rose by 0.2%, again in line with expectations. Compared to a year earlier, the 'core' figure rose to 2.6 %, against 2.7 % expected. Energy prices rose by 10.9%, the largest increase since September 2005. The petrol index rose 21.2% over the month, the largest monthly increase since the data were published in 1967.

I Mercati a metà seduta

In Milan, Buzzi and Cucinelli run, down defence

At Piazza Affari, Buzzi (+5.6%) did well with the rest of the sector, and St (+3.5%) in the wake of Tsmc, boosted by good results. Prysmian (+3.6%), which was promoted by Ubs, was also widely bought, while Cucinelli (+5.2%) rallied after the release of its quarterly accounts, which reported above-expected revenue growth and confirmation of its 2026 guidance. Defence stocks lagged behind, with Leonardo (-5.4%) followed by Avio (-5.2%) and Fincantieri (-1.8%). Leonardo itself was in the spotlight with the confirmation of the exit of Roberto Cingolani, who was replaced by Lorenzo Mariani - head of Mbda Italia and previously co-general manager of Leonardo - who will be the CEO, while Francesco Macrì is a candidate for the presidency. Returning to the appointments, Claudio Descalzi - in his fifth mandate as CEO - was confirmed for Eni (-1.9%), while Giuseppina Di Foggia, current CEO of Terna (+0.1%) was nominated for the presidency. Looking at Enel (-0.1%) new mandate for both CEO Cattaneo and chairman Paolo Scaroni.

Euro back above $1.17

On the currency, the euro rose above $1.173 (from $1.168 at the start and $1.17 on the eve). The euro/yen exchange rate rose to 186.7 (from 186 at the start), while the dollar/yen cross rose slightly above 159. Gas in Amsterdam fell sharply to below €44 per megawatt hour. Spot gold rose slightly as it approached the $4,800 per ounce mark. Bitcoin is also on the rise, travelling at around 73,000 dollars.

Spread stable at 77 points, 10-year yield rises to 3.82%

The spread between the BTp and Bund closed stable. At the end of the session, the yield differential between the benchmark ten-year BTp and the German Bund of the same duration stood at 77 points, in line with yesterday's close. On the upside, however, the yield on the benchmark ten-year BTp rose to 3.82% from 3.78% at the eve's close.

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