Markets

Stock markets: bonds benefit as tech stocks face a rough week. Milan up 0.2 per cent. On Wall Street, Brent crude above $110; Nasdaq down 2.1 per cent

Fears over AI and inflation are shaking the markets, but are helping to halt the long run-up in yields. On the Milan Stock Exchange, Technoprobe plummets by 22 per cent, whilst ST and Prysmian fall by 11 per cent

La Borsa, gli indici del 16 ottobre 2026

5' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

5' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

(Il Sole 24 Ore Radiocor)- The search for a safe haven in government bonds is accompanying heavy selling in tech stocks, whilst the reduced likelihood of a Fed rate hike in October is boosting European stock markets, which have recorded a positive week, albeit a volatile one. Fears over AI and inflation are unsettling the markets on the one hand, but have also helped to halt the long run-up in yields: US Treasuries have had their best week since February, with the 10-year yield falling to 5.1% after surpassing its 2002 highs of over 5.3%.

The focus across the five trading sessions was on US inflation and the resulting outlook for interest rates, which triggered a sell-off in AI-related shares, amplified by concerns over the debt of some of the sector’s giants, such as Coreweave. The picture was further complicated by the start of the quarterly results season, which has so far yielded mixed results, both for US banks and for the luxury sector, where Cucinelli’s growth was offset by signs of weakness from LVMH in China.

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Thus, Milan posted a gain of 0.2%. Other stock markets fared better: Paris +2%, Frankfurt +2.1%, Amsterdam +1.1%, Madrid +1.5% and London +3.1%. And amongst the sectors in Europe , the tech sector fell by 3.4%, whilst buying activity favoured food and drink (+7.6%).

In Milan, Technoprobe was the worst performer of the week, down 22.4%

On the Milan Stock Exchange, the slump in the semiconductor sector is taking its toll: from Technoprobe (-22.4%) to St (-11.6%) and Prysmian (-11.2%). Offsetting the sell-off Campari (+8.7 per cent) and Cucinelli (+8.3 per cent), with the latter benefiting from a further upward revision of its 2026 forecasts. Leonardo (+7.7%) and Avio (+6.1%) are also on the rise, amid fresh momentum for the defence and European satellite sectors. Meanwhile, the ‘Risiko’ scenario remains in the spotlight, with MPS’s (+1.7%) defensive strategy against Intesa’s (+0.5%) OPAS appearing to have lost momentum, ahead of the major board meeting at the end of the month. Meanwhile, BPM fell by 6.3% this week. The sector has also received confirmation that the Budget Bill provides for a contribution of 5 billion euros.

Oil prices rise, relief over bond yields

Tensions in the Middle East remain in the background, both between the US and Iran and between the Houthis and Saudi Arabia. Oil prices surged in New York, where Brent, the international benchmark, rose above $110 for the first time since 20 May, thanks to a rise of more than 3.8 per cent. WTI, the US benchmark, rose by 3.68 per cent to 101.58. TTF gas prices also surged, up 8.9 per cent to 88.6 euros per MWh in Amsterdam. On the currency markets, the euro stood at $1.123 (up from $1.1203).

The recovery in the bond market has also provided relief for government bonds, with the yield on the 10-year BTP falling to 4.50 per cent from 4.59 per cent, and that on the German Bund to 3.43 per cent from 3.49 per cent. The spread has thus narrowed to around 107 basis points, down from 110 previously.

The flight from tech benefits the ‘old economy’ during the trading session on 16 October

European stock markets closed higher on the final trading day of the week, buoyed by buying in ‘old economy’ stocks, whilst selling in tech shares continued. However, the markets drew confidence from the comments of Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh, who, speaking in Bangkok, refrained from advocating a more restrictive monetary policy. “The markets welcomed the absence of aggressive rhetoric,” summarised Deutsche Bank, whilst the likelihood of a tightening as early as October has fallen sharply in the projections.

Thus, the FTSE MIB in Milan closed up 0.93%, whilst the CAC in Paris (+0.29%) and the DAX in Frankfurt (+0.94%) also posted gains. It was also a buying session for the AEX in Amsterdam (+0.91 per cent), the IBEX in Madrid (+0.7 per cent) and the FTSE 100 in London (+0.34 per cent).

Borse Europee positive, ma non il tech: ecco perché

Wall Street down, further sell-off in chips

Wall Street closed lower, weighed down by further falls in major technology stocks and, in particular, those linked to artificial intelligence. The S&P 500 index fell by 1.1 per cent, whilst the Nasdaq Composite dropped by 2.1 per cent; for both, this was their worst week since June. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fared slightly better, falling by 0.3 per cent. The semiconductor sector suffered a further decline, fuelled by growing doubts about the sustainability of the euphoria surrounding the development of artificial intelligence: Micron Technology lost 5.6 per cent and Intel 5.8 per cent. The semiconductor sector struggled this week due to fears over competition from China.

Shares in Tesla are rising after the electric vehicle manufacturer unveiled its next-generation Roadster, a ‘flying’ car. Meanwhile, on the macroeconomic front, industrial production rose by 0.7 per cent in September on a month-on-month basis, against estimates of a 0.4 per cent increase.

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Luxury goods and defensive sectors perform well in Milan, whilst the tech sector remains down

Turning to the equity market, on the Milan main index, buying activity boosted Brunello Cucinelli by +4.28% following better-than-expected results the previous day and an upward revision of its guidance for 2026. The defence sector also rose, with Leonardo up 4.73% and Fincantieri up 3.39%. Unicredit closed up 1.4%, having received the ECB’s green light for the acquisition of a controlling stake in Commerzbank. The banking sector is generally performing well: MPS closed up 1.16 per cent and Intesa up 0.94 per cent, whilst developments on the ‘Risiko’ front are awaited. The government’s request that credit institutions, together with insurance companies, contribute to the budget with a contribution of 5 billion in 2027 and nearly 11 billion over the three-year period is therefore not causing concern. Tech shares continued to be sold off, with STMicroelectronics down 0.59 per cent and Prysmian down 0.36 per cent. Technoprobe (-5.15 per cent) fared even worse, having lost 14 per cent since joining the FTSE MIB.

The euro strengthens, oil prices surge

In the currency markets, the euro is recovering to 1.1247 dollars (1.1203 at the close the previous day). The single currency is also trading at 177.57 yen, whilst the dollar/yen exchange rate stands at 157.89. On the energy front, oil prices are surging, with Brent crude approaching $110 a barrel and WTI at around $100. “Uncertainty in the Middle East and fears over the sustainability of oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz are causing the market to factor a significant risk premium into prices,” warn ING analysts. The price of gas in Amsterdam is also rising again, climbing back above 88 euros per megawatt-hour.

Borsa a metà seduta

Spread down slightly, 10-year yield at 4.46%

A session characterised by low volatility on the secondary market for government bonds. At the close of trading, the yield spread between the Italian 10-year benchmark bond and its German counterpart stood at 106 basis points, one point lower than the previous day’s close. The yield on the 10-year BTp also fell slightly, closing at 4.46 per cent down from 4.47 per cent at the previous close.

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