Analysis

Biden or Trump? The world has lost faith in America

The first has to take a step back but does not want to. The other is a serial liar but this time he has a team that will realise his instincts

FILE PHOTO: Democratic Party presidential candidate U.S. President Joe Biden and Republican presidential candidate former U.S. President Donald Trump speak during a presidential debate in Atlanta, Georgia, U.S., June 27, 2024 in a combination photo. REUTERS/Brian Snyder/File Photo

3' min read

3' min read

When Americans choose a president, they determine such an important part of our lives that we allies should also be allowed some form of vote. For example, Europeans, Japanese, Koreans and Australians in a single electoral college with at least one large voter: less than Vermont, which has 600,000 inhabitants and three electoral votes.

It is therefore understandable that for all those who still believe in the importance of the American role in the world, last week's debate between Joe Biden and Donald Trump caused concern. It became day after day a permanent anxiety, with the Democratic president's stubbornness to continue the fight. "Only the Lord Almighty" would convince him to drop out of the electoral race, Biden said last night in an interview with the ABC network. A stubbornness that a geriatrician could easily explain and moderate but which in the world of politics is tantamount to suicide.

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However, it is not only Joe Biden's rapid ageing, which was evident long before the televised debate (on 6 June in Normandy at certain moments the president was mingling with veterans of the landings) that is frightening US allies. The real big concern was the two alternatives offered in front of the CNN cameras: a man incapable of running an election campaign; or an arrogant serial liar, convicted by the court but protected by the Supreme Court.

The former is too old and inadequate to cope with the pressures of another four years as president; the latter, almost the same age, is incapable of possessing the necessary balance that a superpower must have in the crises it faces. The one that began eight years ago was a chaotic presidency because Donald Trump did not expect to win. This time he will be surrounded by knowledgeable aides who will turn his instincts into policies.

This is the choice the United States offers at a time of great challenges to world stability. Two wars to be stopped, more devastating ones to be prevented; a trade system to be rewritten and nuclear proliferation no longer controlled by diplomacy; Russia and China, but also the new emerging players with their political, military and economic agendas that reveal ambitions suppressed by the Cold War.

In terms of the age of the two candidates, today's America is reminiscent of the Soviet gerontocracy. First Leonid Brezhnev, party secretary for 18 years, then Yurij Andropov and finally Konstantin Cernenko. By the time the 54-year-old Mikhail Gorbachev arrived, it was too late to save the USSR.

"Foreigners' impression of America is largely conditioned by their perception of its presidents," explains Bruce Stokes of the German Marshal Fund. "The European public liked Bill Clinton, felt dislike for George W. Bush, loved Barak Obama and detested Trump." Today, all polls - those of Freedom House, Economist Intelligent Unit, Pew, Eurasia Group, State Department and others - done in friendly countries and in those that are not allies but not enemies either, give the same results: the world has lost trust in America. It was high in 2000; it plummeted in 2008 after the invasion of Iraq and the financial crisis; it rose again during the Obama presidency and plummeted again in the Trump presidency.

"We shall be a city on a hilltop," Puritan John Winthrop had said in 1630 in his sermon to the inhabitants of the Massachusetts Bay Company. The perfect city represented the New World as an alternative to the old (then only Europe) with its endless religious wars. This figurative image would become the epitome of American political and moral ambitions, followed by 'manifest destiny', 'American exceptionalism', the 'indispensable nation'.

If not quite another American century like the previous one, the 21st will still be dominated by the United States. But what kind of power will it be? How well will it be able to deal with challenges in a balanced manner, while maintaining the values of decency? After watching the disastrous election debate, Polish Foreign Minister Radoslaw Sikorski compared Joe Biden to Marcus Aurelius who started the decline of the Roman Empire by 'messing up its succession'.

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