Biden versus Trump, America divided chooses its future

In the polls Donald Trump has a slight lead over incumbent President Joe Biden in the 'swing states' in the balance, i.e. those states capable of deciding with their preferences who will be the next president of the United States: Michigan, Georgia, Arizona, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Nevada and North Carolina.

In the national polls, on the other hand, six months after the vote Trump has returned slightly to the lead in recent days, after Biden had overtaken him, reversing a trend in favour of the Republican that had lasted several weeks. The latter figure has limits, however: in American elections it is indeed possible for a candidate to win the most votes nationally - as Hillary Clinton did in 2016 - but be defeated by the Electoral College.

Between now and 5 November, the day of the vote, it is possible to get an idea of the central issues in the election campaign and the positioning of the candidates with a series of trends that emerge thanks to the support of FinScience, the fintech company of the Datrix Group that, in the field of Data Monetisation, develops artificial intelligence applications to extract value from data. The data is provided exclusively to Sole 24 Ore for the creation of an online page on Lab24 that with constantly updated numbers and graphs will accompany us up to the vote. There are polls, funding and a series of less traditional but more dynamic data, such as the popularity and sentiment of the candidates with respect to issues and industries, the pulse of Wall Street. Finally, key dates, an explanation of how the electoral system works, candidate profiles and historical data.

Finscience collects non-standard data to analyse financial markets with artificial intelligence systems. And in the run-up to the elections, Finscience, for Lab24, is constantly monitoring news sources, many local, data and polls, social, and discussion forums, as Fabrizio Milano D'Aragona, ceo and co-founder Datrix, explains: 'Thanks to this way of extracting and interpreting data, artificial intelligence helps us because otherwise we would not be able to investigate such a large number of sources while also doing a significant amount of work on classifying information.

Commenting on the first results, Alessio Garzonio, Principal at Finscience, emphasises: 'As far as the individual states are concerned, we see an attempt by Biden to consolidate in Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, seeking a re-confirmation compared to four years ago. At the same time, Trump focuses on Georgia, trying to win it over from four years ago, and Florida, to consolidate. Both campaigns focus on Nevada and Arizona, which have undergone major changes from four years ago. Nevada seems to be moving towards Trump'.