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BMW: to grow, more AI, fewer managers, new electric models and a large SUV

Fewer employees, more artificial intelligence, a streamlined product range and models tailored to different markets.

4' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

4' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

BMW is overhauling its industrial strategy with the aim of restoring profitability and bringing the automotive division back to the levels that have characterised the Munich-based group for years. For 2026, the manufacturer forecasts an automotive EBIT margin of between 1 and 3 per cent, whilst in 2028 the target will rise to 3–5 per cent. A return to the 8–10 per cent range is forecast for the start of the next decade, when the automotive division’s free cash flow is expected to exceed €7 billion, compared with the more than €5 billion forecast for 2028 and the €2.5 billion projected for 2026. The plan presented at the Capital Market Day follows a challenging period. In the second quarter, the automotive EBIT margin fell to 2.3 per cent, whilst weakness in the Chinese market and US tariffs led the Bavarian manufacturer to revise its outlook on several occasions. On the stock market, the share price has lost over a third of its value in a year, falling back to its lowest levels in over six years.

Fewer managers and a simpler structure

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By mid-2027, BMW will reduce the number of divisions and the associated managerial roles by 20 per cent, with a similar reduction at the levels immediately below. Over one hundred senior management positions will be cut, including around one-fifth of the 65 senior vice-presidents. The reorganisation goes hand in hand with the programme agreed with employee representatives, which aims to reduce the total workforce by around 8,000 by the end of 2027, primarily through voluntary redundancies in administrative and development roles, whilst excluding production staff. The aim? To streamline decision-making processes whilst simultaneously shortening development times. Artificial intelligence will therefore play an increasingly significant role in vehicle development, procurement, production, sales, marketing and after-sales service.

More artificial intelligence in development

The group aims to move from using AI for individual applications to a system in which digital agents can handle an increasing proportion of the development process – from defining technical requirements through to testing and final validation – whilst leaving engineers in control of the outcome. Between 2026 and 2027, investments of around 200 million euros are planned for artificial intelligence programmes, from which BMW expects to generate around 1.2 billion euros in value by 2028. In some processes that have already been digitised, the group reports reductions of over 90 per cent in processing times, whilst a common software platform is set to enable the new digital architectures to be rolled out across more than 40 models by the end of 2027.

Fewer variants and more high-margin models

The review also covers the model range. The Munich-based brand will phase out less profitable versions and models, focusing its investment on cars capable of generating higher profit margins. The 2 Series Active Tourer will not be succeeded by a new model, whilst the proportion of more profitable products will increase.

The further development of the M range and the arrival in 2027 of the first BMW Alpina model – derived from the 7 Series and positioned at the top end of the range – are steps in this direction. The strategy will also be less uniform. Europe, the United States and China will have model ranges more closely tailored to local demand, whilst continuing to share platforms, software and technologies.

A new compact electric car for Europe

In Europe, one of the most significant developments will come in 2028 with a new electric car in the entry-level segment. It will be a compact model based on Neue Klasse technologies and will bring solutions – initially introduced on higher-end cars – to the lower end of the range. The aim is to increase the brand’s presence in the higher-volume segments, complementing the Mini electric range with this new offering. The Neue Klasse remains at the heart of the product strategy. The group reports having received over 100,000 orders in Europe for the new iX3 and notes strong interest in the i3 and the new X5 as well. The electronic architecture, software and management systems will be progressively rolled out across the rest of the range.

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In the United States, an SUV larger than the X7

The group is developing a new SUV for the US market, positioned above the current X7 and designed for American customers. The model has not yet been formally confirmed for production, but it forms part of the plans outlined at the Capital Market Day to increase the share of high-margin vehicles. The decision is also linked to the Spartanburg plant in South Carolina, which is currently operating at full capacity thanks to demand for the X family. BMW aims to increase local production of SUVs whilst simultaneously reducing its exposure to tariffs and logistics costs.

China: increasingly local

The change in China will be even more far-reaching. BMW will increase local production of its highest-volume models and limit imports to cars with the highest profit margins.

By 2030, at least 95 per cent of locally manufactured cars will have to be developed specifically for Chinese customers, compared with a figure of just under 90 per cent today. The group is also considering using China as a production base from which to export cars to certain markets in South-East Asia. Technology and software will follow the same path. BMW will increase its partnerships with Chinese companies in the areas of driver assistance, software and digital services, reducing development times by granting greater autonomy to local operations. The plan set out by the new CEO, Milan Nedeljković, therefore addresses costs, organisation and product. Profitability will remain a key factor, as the 3–5 per cent forecast for 2028 still leaves a significant gap compared with the 8–10 per cent announced as the target for the start of the next decade.

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