Sales tripled to 1.9 billion in March

Drug exports to the US boom in anticipation of possible tariffs

Istat data: +5.8% for the month, Europe also ahead. Progress of over three points in the first quarter.

by Luca Orlando

3' min read

3' min read

Ships and pharmaceuticals. It was these two sectors that pushed up exports to the United States in March, growing by over 41%. Added to the preliminary data are now the ISTAT sectoral surveys which see in transport equipment (here there are one-off orders for ships) data up by 180%. If here, however, we are dealing with spot, non-repeatable orders, the bullish effect can certainly be seen in the maxi-shipments of pharmaceuticals to Washingron, which almost tripled in the month to EUR 1.9 billion, almost a third of the total shipped worldwide in this category.

Another likely 'anticipatory' choice was in the food sector, with growth of 10.3%, which is a few points above the sector's ordinary progress. Elsewhere in reality, the duty effect is hardly visible and in fact, net of ships and pharmaceuticals, Istat explains, exports to the USA in the month would fall by 4.1%.

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In any case, this boost is important to bring up the average, which in the month sees a 5.8% progress for Italian products, with 3.7% growth in EU markets (for Germany +1.5%) and 8.2% in non-EU markets.

The balance for the first quarter is thus broadly positive, a 3.2% increase that, if confirmed in the rest of the year, would take Italian products to a new historical record over EUR 640 billion.

In detail

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In March 2025, exports are estimated to have decreased slightly (-1.0%) and imports are estimated to have remained essentially stable (+0.2%). The month-on-month decrease in exports is due to lower sales to the EU area (-5.0%), while exports to the non-EU area grow by 3.3%.

In the first quarter of 2025, compared to the previous quarter, exports grew by 4.6%, imports by 4.7%.

In March 2025, exports grew year-on-year by 5.8% in monetary terms and 1.9% in volume terms. The trend growth of exports in value is stronger for non-EU markets (+8.2%) than for EU markets (+3.7%). Imports recorded a tendential increase in value of 7.6%, which affected both areas, EU (+6.8%) and non-EU (+8.8%); in volume, it grew by 2.9%.

Sectors contributing most to the trend growth in exports include: pharmaceutical, chemical-medical and botanical articles (+59.8%), transport equipment, excluding motor vehicles (+47.5%), basic metals and metal products, excluding machinery and equipment (+8.1%) and food, beverages and tobacco (+6.6%). Exports of coke and refined petroleum products (-38.3%), sporting goods, games, musical instruments, jewellery, medical instruments and other products not elsewhere classified (n.e.c.) (-15.7%) and motor vehicles (-8.8%) declined year-on-year.

On an annual basis, the countries making the largest contributions to domestic export growth are the US (+41.2%), OPEC countries (+25.0%) and France (+4.2%). In contrast, Turkey (-30.1%) and China (-8.3%) made the largest negative contributions.

In the first quarter of 2025, exports recorded a trend increase of 3.2%, contributed mainly by higher sales of pharmaceuticals, chemical-medicinal and botanical products (+41.9%), transport equipment, excluding motor vehicles (+21.2%), basic metals and metal products, excluding machinery and equipment (+5.8%) and food, beverages and tobacco (+5.5%). Negative contributions, however, came from lower exports of coke and refined petroleum products (-27.0%) and motor vehicles (-12.2%).

The trade balance in March 2025 is +3,657 million (it was +4,296 million in the same month of 2024). The energy deficit stands at -3,894 million, from -3,807 million a year earlier. The surplus in non-energy trade decreased from 8,102 million in March 2024 to 7,551 million in March 2025.

In March 2025, import prices decreased by 1.0% on a monthly basis and increased by 0.6% on an annual basis (from +2.2% in February).

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