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EU stock markets on the rise; in Milan, speculation about a move by UniCredit boosts Banca Generali

Uncertainty over OpenAI’s earnings is fuelling concerns about spending on artificial intelligence, triggering falls in Asia and the US, with knock-on effects on oil and government bonds

 KPs Photography  - stock.adobe.com

2' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

2' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

(Il Sole 24 Ore Radiocor) - European stock markets are back on the rise in the final trading session of the week, as turbulence in the government bond and energy markets eases and the focus shifts back to tech investments following OpenAI’s revenue estimates. Meanwhile, Asia is seeing mixed results (Tokyo’s Nikkei is flat), with investors keeping an eye on the slowdown in the decline in household spending in August. All this is taking place in a session characterised by low trading volumes due to the bank holidays. Speculation over OpenAI’s revenue has reignited fears regarding the boom in spending on artificial intelligence, weighing on US tech shares. The price of oil is also falling.

Asian indices: Tokyo -0.02%

The Japanese Nikkei index closed the session flat (-0.02 per cent), with SoftBank Group – an investor in the company behind ChatGPT – down by around 4.4 per cent. The broader MSCI Asia Pacific index fell by 0.2 per cent, whilst the markets in South Korea and Taiwan – regional leaders in the chip sector – remained closed for public holidays.

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OpenAI hits Wall Street

The Nasdaq 100 index, which is heavily weighted towards technology stocks, fell by 1.4 per cent, whilst a US index tracking chip manufacturers lost 3.4 per cent following a Financial Times article claiming that OpenAI’s annualised revenues were $20 billion lower than previously indicated. The company is on track to reach around $50 billion, according to sources familiar with the matter. Furthermore, Firmus Grid, an Australian data centre company backed by Nvidia, has scrapped its plans for an IPO.

Intelligenza artificiale: a San Francisco la protesta all'esterno della conferenza di OpenAI

Oil prices fall

Brent crude fell by 0.6 per cent to around $103.70 a barrel after President Donald Trump stated that the United States would not attack Iran before the mid-term elections in November. US government bonds (Treasuries) held on to their gains from the US trading session, whilst a Bloomberg dollar index remained stable.

Anticipation builds ahead of US quarterly results

Questions surrounding OpenAI’s revenue have fuelled concerns about AI spending, at a time when high financing costs are making it more difficult to justify substantial investment in data centres and computing infrastructure. Next week’s quarterly results will serve as a crucial test: investors will be looking for confirmation that revenue and profits can keep pace with the capital required to develop and operate AI models.

OpenAI, Anthropic and other companies in the AI sector have often publicised their annualised revenue – a projection of annual sales based on a shorter period – as a key indicator of growth. However, not all companies use the same method of calculation. Anthropic’s annualised revenue reached $65 billion at the end of July. Meanwhile, US government bonds held steady across the yield curve during early Asian trading, as investors assessed whether yields, which were close to multi-year highs, represented a buying opportunity.

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