Markets

The Anthropic effect isn’t enough; European stock markets are weak. Ferretti is struggling in Milan

Attention is now turning to the Fed and the ECB, and to the quarterly results of US Big Tech firms. Oil prices are rising, with all eyes on the elections in Israel. Asia is performing well, buoyed by the tech sector

 IMAGOECONOMICA

4' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

4' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

(Il Sole 24 Ore Radiocor) - The the Anthropic effect on European stock markets, which are trading weakly in the second session of the week, whilst attention is gradually shifting towards central banksand the quarterly results of US Big Tech firms. In Milan, the FTSE MIB is attempting to hold the 49,000-point mark, whilst Paris is also down (CAC 40 ) on the day of the vote on the budget bill and against a backdrop of stagnation in bond yields. Frankfurt (DAX 40 ) and Madrid (IBEX 35 ) were also weak.

The Old Continent is therefore not keeping pace with the strong performance of the Asian stock markets, which have instead risen, buoyed by tech companies, following in the wake of Wall Street’s rebound. On the eve of trading, buying was fuelled by renewed optimism for the artificial intelligence sector following the Nasdaq listing application by the American giant behind Claude. The company led by Dario Amoderi is preparing for what could be one of the largest IPOs on the US stock market, with a target of $100 billion and a valuation of between $1,500 and $2,000. Attention will now turn to Alphabet and Microsoft’s quarterly results (on Wednesday), followed on Thursday by Amazon and Intel, which will provide a more complete picture of whether the technology sector can recover from its recent weakness.

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On the international geopolitical front, the Brazilian stock market is also worth keeping an eye on following yesterday’s sharp fall, triggered by Lula’s victory in the presidential elections. In the Middle East, all eyes are on the parliamentary elections in Israel, regarded as a referendum on Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.

All this comes on the eve of the announcement by the Federal Reserve and the ECB, with most market participants expecting interest rates to remain unchanged.

Tech shares perform well in Milan, whilst banks struggle. Stellantis brings up the rear

On the Milan Stock Exchange, utilities are holding their ground whilst tech shares are on the rise: on the podium Italgas , Snam and Stmicroelectronics . Bringing up the rear are Stellantis , with banks performing poorly, whilst the government is finalising the 2027 Budget Bill, which could lead to an increase in the tax burden on the sector. All eyes are also on the risk game: Banco Bpm may decide not to attend the general meeting of Banca Monte Paschi Siena general meeting, which is set to vote on the dual takeover bid launched by CEO Lovaglio. Meanwhile, Unipol has successfully completed the capital increase to fund the acquisition of the Siena branches, should the transaction involving Intesa Sanpaolo .

Outside the main index, Ferretti following its nine-month results and a downward revision of its profitability guidance – the second profit warning of 2026.

Brent crude above $116

The price of oil is rising slightly, whilst new diplomatic efforts in the Middle East are fuelling hopes of containing a further escalation of the conflict between Washington and Tehran. On the energy front, the December Brent futures contract is trading above $116 per barrel (+0.25 per cent) and the December WTI futures contract is trading at around $102 (+0.3 per cent). Gas prices in Amsterdam are also continuing to rise, standing at 96.7 euros per megawatt-hour. In the currency markets, the euro/dollar exchange rate is down slightly at 1.1161 (from 1.1181 at yesterday’s close), whilst the euro/yen is little changed at 176.17 and the dollar has risen to 157.85 (from 157.5).

BTp/Bund spread rises to 117 points, yield climbs back above 4.5%

A slight rise was seen in the spread between BTp and Bund bonds. The yield spread between the benchmark 10-year BTp and the German bond of the same maturity is rising from 113 the previous day (when it had fallen by 10 points compared with Friday’s figure). The yield on the benchmark 10-year BTp is also rising, above 4.5 per cent, compared with 4.48 per cent the previous day.

This morning’s opening appears to be mixed once again, as markets await the scrutiny of the new French budget bill, but also in the run-up to this week’s central bank decisions. Meanwhile, the busy schedule of government and corporate bond issues continues. This week, US auctions of 2-, 5- and 7-year bonds totalling $183 billion are expected, whilst on the corporate front, issuances are estimated at around $30 billion, a figure that is likely to rise as companies emerge from the lull associated with the quarterly results season.

Tokyo Stock Exchange: Nikkei index up 1.73 per cent at close, tech and AI euphoria

The Tokyo Stock Exchange closed sharply higher. The Nikkei 225 index rose by 1.73 per cent to close at 63,268 points, bringing an end to a run of three consecutive days of losses and following the overnight rebound on Wall Street, fuelled by renewed optimism in the artificial intelligence sector following Anthropic’s IPO filing. Investors are also awaiting this week’s financial results from South Korean chipmakers Samsung and SK Hynix, as well as those from major US technology firms such as Amazon, Alphabet and Microsoft, for further indications on the outlook for demand in the AI sector. Japanese technology shares and those linked to artificial intelligence led the gains: Advantest jumped 9.6 per cent, Ibiden Co. rose 9.1 per cent, SoftBank Group gained 5.2 per cent, Lasertec rose 5.1 per cent and Tokyo Electron recorded a 2.6 per cent increase.

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The Topix broad-based index rose by 0.61 per cent to 3,997.37 points.

In Seoul, the Kospi index surged, closing the session up 3.09 per cent at 5,638.34 points.

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