Markets

US banks are not driving European stock markets higher, but Milan is holding steady at 50,000

Tech shares are under pressure as fears about the sector resurface. The IMF’s growth forecasts offer some reassurance, although inflation remains a concern. The price of Brent crude is falling, whilst gas prices have risen above 87 euros per megawatt-hour

 KPs Photography  - stock.adobe.com

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

(Il Sole 24 Ore Radiocor) - Mixed results from major US banks, coupled with pressure on artificial intelligence chip stocks, are holding back buying activity on the stock markets. European stock markets closed below par, whilst Wall Street continued to trade weakly, with indices weighed down by tech shares. Milan is holding its own, with the FTSE MIB (+0.04%) managing to defend the 50,000-point mark (50,057), which it had regained the previous day.

Once again, it was the  doubts surrounding the resilience of the semiconductor sector that stole the limelight from the US credit giants. Cxmt’s technological advances in memory chips have, in fact, reignited fears about Chinese competition, with China ‘potentially taking business away from some of the best-known companies’, as the experts at Dakota Wealth explain. This prospect was enough to trigger a sell-off in chip stocks across Asia – particularly among the leading South Korean giants Samsung and SK Hynix – as well as on Wall Street and in Europe.

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Not even the encouraging projections from the International Monetary Fund, which forecasts global GDP growth of 3.1 per cent for this year. However, concerns remain about inflation, which is set to halt its steady decline, mainly due to the negative supply shock caused by the war in the Middle East.

The FTSE MIB in Milan closed flat, whilst the CAC 40 in Paris and the DAX 40 in Frankfurt, with German inflation in September standing at 3.3 per cent year-on-year, accelerating from 2.9 per cent in August.

Wall Street closes slightly lower: DJ down 0.33 per cent and Nasdaq down 0.15 per cent

Wall Street closed slightly lower, following the start of the earnings season for major US banks, weighed down by tech stocks. The Dow Jones fell by 0.33 per cent, the S&P 500 was down 0.01 per cent, and the Nasdaq was down slightly by 0.15 per cent.

JPMorgan Chase reported third-quarter profits and revenue below analysts’ expectations, but the share price is up at the start of trading, thanks to a positive outlook on margins. Wells Fargo’s share price, on the other hand, is down slightly due to mixed third-quarter results, whilst Goldman Sachs has jumped 2.7 per cent after its third-quarter revenue exceeded expectations. These early quarterly results could set the tone for an earnings season with high expectations. According to FactSet, analysts on average forecast earnings growth for S&P 500 companies of nearly 30 per cent compared with the same period last year. September’s inflation figures are due to be released later this week, which could send Treasury yields – recently at multi-decade highs – soaring.

Tech shares fall on the Milan Stock Exchange; focus on Risiko and luxury goods

Technoprobe (-5.1 per cent) and St (-3.85 per cent) thus ended up at the bottom of the FTSE MIB. At the other end of the scale, TIM enjoyed a brilliant trading session (+2.99 per cent). CEO Pietro Labriola, in a message sent to staff following his first meeting with Poste’s senior management, assured them that ‘regardless of the future listing structure’, the telecoms company would continue to ‘operate autonomously, with its own industrial, managerial and economic responsibilities’. Investors’ attention is focused on the banking risk, following the response from MPS (+0.45 per cent), which came late in the evening the day before, to the revised bid from Intesa Sanpaolo (+0.18 per cent). Despite the criticism of the bid from the bank led by Carlo Messina, MPS’s chief executive, Luigi Lovaglio, has so far not announced any concrete counter-measures nor changed the date of the shareholders’ meeting, as some investors had expected. The spotlight was also on the luxury sector, with Brunello Cucinelli (+0.6%) and Moncler (-0.6%), after the French giant LVMH (-0.12%) reported its revenue for the first nine months of the year, which some analysts deemed disappointing.

Crude oil prices fall, but gas prices rise above 85 euros/MWh

On the currency market, the euro has strengthened slightly but remains at around 1.12 dollars. On the energy front, the price of crude oil is slowing despite ongoing tensions in the Middle East: Brent is back at $105 a barrel. WTI is rising again, hovering around $94. natural gas in Amsterdam continues to rise, exceeding 87 euros per megawatt-hour.

Borsa in un minuto

Spread falls to 106 points; 10-year yield drops

The easing of tensions in the energy markets has led to a widespread fall in yields across the European yield curve. Italian government bonds are also benefiting, recouping some of the ground lost last week. At the close, the spread between BTps and Bunds stood at 106 basis points, compared with 109 points the previous day. The same trend was seen for the yield on the 10-year BTp, which closed at 4.52 per cent, compared with 4.57 per cent the previous day.

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