The word from the manager: Comgest

'There is great potential in European luxury and healthcare stocks'

Europe offers investors brands such as Ferrari or Hermès, while in pharma there are very innovative companies such as Novo Nordisk

Pierre Lamelin, Comgest.

3' min read

3' min read

An exposure to the US market could be an effective move, while in sector terms, luxury is attractive because it can offset possible Chinese trade retaliation. Here is a summary of some of the variables outlined by Pierre Lamelin of Comgest, a 100% employee-owned management company that manages assets of €29.2 billion.

The political theme in Europe after the recent elections is now more focused than ever on the US and the new scenario ahead of the presidential elections in November. What will be the impact on European stock markets?

Generally, it is always fundamentals that trump politics. The real political trigger however remains the US and Trump, who if he wins the race with Harris and is elected will want to massively reduce corporate taxes and this will attract investment to the US if combined with the Inflation Reduction Act.

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IL TITOLO IN BORSA

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So what?

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Therefore, it is better to have companies with strong US exposure in the portfolio.

In Europe there are great historical quality brands; will European equities be affected by the trade war with China? What are the most interesting sectors and brands?

We are not exposed in the OEM segment, i.e. automotive original equipment manufacturers, for which the risk of retaliation is high after the EU decided to impose import duties on Chinese electric vehicles. We are exposed to luxury and beauty brands. The most prestigious and regionally diversified brands will be the most protected. The luxury sector remains exposed to China, but it is also one of the most successful European sectors in the US market, which can offset Chinese trade retaliation. We are less concerned about a trade war with China because our quality companies do not sell mass-market or consumer products that would encourage retaliation from China.

I COMPARABLES

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Tech has recently taken centre stage with the boom in artificial intelligence. Is this trend set to deflate or will it continue to drive the stock markets?

Artificial intelligence is boosting all sub-segments of the technology sector, i.e. semiconductors (Asml), software (Sage, Sap, Dassault Systèmes Se), database providers (Relx, Experian) and even industrial groups (Schneider Electric).

And what about luxury? What are the prospects?

Europe offers investors the best consumer brands. The management of brand value and heritage in cases like Hermès or Ferrari is unique. These companies are able to drive their profits because they have created an exclusive global circle that customers want to belong to. Healthcare is also a historically important segment in Europe that at the same time is characterised by a high degree of innovation.

IL CONFRONTO

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What specifically are you betting on and how can the European market make a difference in competing with the US market?

We invest from pharma to hearing aids; European companies do not need to hide behind their US counterparts. In pharma, Novo is one of the leading global companies, together with Eli Lilly. Tradition is also very important in medtech. Think of the lenses and optical technologies that go into Swiss Alcon's precision eye surgery equipment, Carl Zeiss Meditec or Asml's lithography. They come from Carl Zeiss and Trumpf in Germany, two companies with over 300 years of tradition in lenses, optics and laser technology. US companies are too young to compete in these fields.

You invest in quality growth companies. What does that mean in concrete terms?

Governance and social factors play a key role in our quality/Esg analysis; understanding a company's human assets, its corporate culture, is crucial to assessing its quality and, thus, its potential for earnings growth.

The titles you like best at the moment?

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Ferrari. One of its main strengths is the demand for its vehicles and the long waiting lists, which help to limit the company's vulnerability to market trends. It is a luxury company that also has strong pricing power, particularly with its limited edition models. and customisation of its products. Asml, the Dutch semiconductor chip manufacturer dominates the global market for lithography equipment used in the semiconductor industry with an overall market share of more than 80% and a 100% share on Euv machines, which produce advanced microchips that power smarter smartphones, biotechnology, artificial intelligence. Novo Nordisk, the Danish healthcare company has seized opportunities in adjacent markets that benefit from its drug therapies, ranging from insulin to Glp-1 to obesity products. Through constant innovation, the latter market has opened up a whole new avenue of growth.

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