Bubbles

Champagne, sales decline continues. But for importers it is 'a return to normality'

Champagne Experience kicks off in Modena: after the post-Covid boom and the jump in price lists, the market is abruptly slowing down: the crisis is affecting spending power, especially for mid-range labels and in restaurants, where mark-ups are very high

by Emiliano Sgambato

Anche gli champagne più ricchi piangono: bollicine a prezzi stellari

7' min read

7' min read

If it has now become a mantra to repeat that in a difficult context for the global wine market, it is the bubbles that suffer the least, it is also true that champagne, which has always been the bubbly par excellence, is certainly not in one of its most brilliant moments.

According to Comité Champagne figures, 7% fewer bottles were shipped from France to Italy in 2023. The drop did not make much noise because 2022 had seen a strong increase in sales compared to pre-Covid (10.6 million bottles compared to 8.3 in 2019), among other things with a noteworthy price increase. A sprint of more than 25% due on the one hand to the phenomenon of so-called revenge spending, i.e. the increased propensity to spend after Covid to 'celebrate' the return to normality, and on the other hand to the rush to accumulate stocks, given the post-pandemic uncertainties. Then the aftermath of the war in Ukraine and the global economic crisis led to a drop in sales, with distributors and restaurants already finding their cellars full.

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The problem is that the figures for the first half of 2024 are also downwards: assuming that the Italian trend follows the general trend, there is a -15% drop in shipments compared to the same period in 2023 with a substantial return to pre-Covid levels (in the Comité's forecasts about 280 million bottles, less than in 2029). And list prices for fine wines are also falling. However, producer representatives are confident, declaring that they are focusing on quality rather than quantity, with the most prestigious bottles maintaining high prices while resisting the demand crisis better. To understand whether this is a real crisis and to find out who paid the highest price, therefore, we will have to wait the next few months to see if the descent will really stop as expected or if it will fall well below pre-pandemic levels.
In the meantime, in the US it is record for the import of Italian sparkling wines, prosecco and all the other charmants included, has surpassed that of champagne for the first time also in value and not only in volume.

In Modena, visitors are on the rise

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It is in this context that Champagne Experience opens in Modena, a kermesse organised by Excellence, Srl that brings together 21 of Italy's leading importers and distributors of wines and spirits. More than 900 labels representing 167 realities between historic maisons and small vignerons will be on tasting.

"Visitors this year are on the rise, confirming Italy as one of the most interesting markets and with volumes that are still important (it is the fifth largest destination country, ed.) especially for premium labels," says Excellence President Luca Cuzziol. But he does not hide the difficulties: "I see the glass as half full and believe that by 2025 the situation will stabilise," he says, "but the moment is certainly not the best. Ahead of the Christmas period, which is very important for the sector, after the first half-year downturn the hoped-for rebound is still not in sight. In addition to the anomalies that have troubled the market in recent years, the roots of the slowdown are to be sought elsewhere: from the decline in wine consumption in general (especially among young people and due to a greater focus on healthy consumption patterns) to firm wages in the face of prices that have probably risen too high. A bottle of a well-known brand in a restaurant does not cost less than 120 euro, and the number of those who are not prepared to spend this amount is increasing'.

Excessive prices in restaurants?

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The members of Excellence sell 90% of their imported sparkling wines to restaurants, whichhave raised their prices a lot in recent years, driven also by the increases practised by the maisons, and are now struggling to turn back. "We distributors have an important mediating role that allows us to obtain better results than those who act on their own,' says Cuzziol, 'but we must all pull in the same direction and understand that if a restaurant triples the price of a mid-range bottle from 40 to 120 euros, which is the one that suffers the most, the bottle will remain unsold and nobody will make a profit.

The competition of Italian bubbles

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According to Alessandro Rossi, national category manager wine at distributor Partesa, 'a process of normalisation is underway that is returning champagne to pre-pandemic trends. Consumer choices are now more oriented towards products with a better quality-price ratio. Starting with classic Italian wines, which continue to improve in quality, without forgetting the growing attention for sparkling wines from Southern Italy. In addition, foreign tourists with more money are also feeling the effects of the difficult economic situation and have limited their purchases of expensive bottles.

Brand prestige and novelty, double track

Pietro Ghilardi, CEO of Ghilardi Selezioni of Bergamo, which distributes Taittinger and Henri Giraud in Italy, also speaks of a 'return to normality' rather than a crisis: 'The post-Covid years were exceptional, but it was always clear that it was a transitional phase. 2023 served to restore some normality in the market, but I don't see a long-term crisis there at all'. And on Taittinger, Ghirardi - who has focused on the mission of increasing the historic brand's 'tricolour quotas' - adds: 'We are at the beginning of our adventure with the maison, but the brand is strong and is positioning itself particularly well. We expect a slight decline in the number of bottles compared to 2023, which was still an exceptional year, but I believe the market share will be better than in previous years. The contraction of the champagne market will favour brands like Taittinger, which combine quality with great drinkability and pleasantness'.

"The year 2024 has shown much more clearly how consumer spending power has declined. Talking about our brands in general we are maintaining our positions,' says Corrado Mapelli, General Manager of Gruppo Meregalli, 'but it is obvious that products like Bollinger, which has an extremely strong visibility and identity, does not suffer from these consequences while all the new brands that need to gain visibility and brand awareness are slightly more affected. Our catalogue is positioned in the medium-high band, we have few products in the low band, and if we talk about the super-premium band we have no signs of suffering, indeed we have signs of growth. It has to be said, however, that the super-premium bracket is normally determined by the allocations that each market receives according to the availability of the maison, so it is a number that leaves time for the moment; if we had more bottles, we would certainly sell more.

Trends reward mixology and sustainability

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Increasingly important for the world of wine in general and bubbles in particular is the link with aperitifs and mixology. "We formed a partnership with the Bacardi Group this year and in detail with Santa Teresa, one of the most renowned and iconic rum producers in the world, which we wanted to partner with Bollinger, because we believe they are two products that go hand in hand," notes Meregalli's managing director.

Telmont, which a few weeks ago presented its new cuvée Réserve de la Terre in Italy, described as 'an ode to purity and organic farming'. The maison of the Rémy Cointreau group distributed in Italy by Molinari - and in which Leonardo DiCaprio has also decided to invest for its green commitment - also boasts of using the lightest bottle in the world in the champagne field (developed with Verallia).
"Telmont stands out in this bearish market, enjoying a double-digit growth from 2020 thanks to our strong commitment to sustainability, regenerative and organic farming," says President Ludovic du Plessis. "We want to make a significant impact in Italy, a key market for wine lovers. We intend to establish our presence city by city, giving priority to establishments that align with our values, both gastronomic and environmental. Our goal is to maintain 80 per cent high-end restaurants and hotels, 10 per cent premium wine shops and 10 per cent direct sales'.

Medium range off, room for vintage

"The price increases that affected the entire market showed the first signs of contraction as early as the second half of 2023 and the phenomenon became more acute in 2024. The trend, however, mainly affected the small companies, the recoltant manipulants, while the established and recognisable brands felt the slowdown less. Added value in our country is theinterest in all the references and vintage of the maison and not just the cuvée sans année as happens in other markets," comments Antonio Guerra, sales director of Compagnia del Vino, which distributes Pol Roger, Winston Churchill's favourite champagne that just turned 175 years old.Italy has become the fifth largest market in recent years and 2023 closed with about 4 million in sales and 90 thousand bottles sold.

"In a difficult context in which, however, considering our entire catalogue, we have managed to maintain the same turnover as in 2023 for the same period, the Champagne item is among those that are suffering the most: I confirm the 15% drop already communicated by the Comité," testifies Alessandro Sarzi Amadè, who brings five maisons to Modena (Alexandre Bonnet, François Bedel, Henri Goutorbe, De Sousa and Christian Gosset. "Analysing the individual sales brackets," he continues, "I find a slight drop for the most important cuvèes, the high-end ones, and, on the other hand, a discrete trend for the lower-priced champagnes. This is both confirmation and a response to the suffering of the wine sector and the consecutive reduction in volumes. However, it should also be considered that champagne is subject to sales peaks in the last two months of the year'.

"We are still in a growth phase and we should not see a drop in sales," points out Arnaud Fabre, CEO of Domaine Alexandre Bonnet. "We are still benefiting from a novelty effect on the market and customers are curious and interested in our range of terroir wines, which are different from traditional brands. Values are still fortunately a sales driver, in addition to quality and name. In the Italian market we are still performing very well andwe will end 2024 with an increase over 2023.

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