Market Day

Stock exchanges sniff the ECB's stop to new cuts, Milan (+0.74%) with banks. Tesla goes down on Wall Street

Frankfurt lowers inflation forecast and Lagarde warns on rates: 'We are reaching the end of a monetary policy cycle'. Phone call between Trump and Xi 'rekindles' US stock markets. In Piazza Affari turmoil for the risiko. Euro tops in November 2021, oil rises

by Enrico Miele and Chiara Di Michele

Aggiornato il 5 giugno 2025, ore 17:35

La Borsa, gli indici del 5 giugno 2025

4' min read

4' min read

(Il Sole 24 ore Radiocor) - A lively end to the session for the European stock markets, which remained uncertain until the very end (but in the end only Paris closed in "red", with Milan posting a final performance). The FTSE MIB ended wearing the "pink jersey" at 40,379 points, driven by the banking risiko. The day was marked, on the one hand, by the widely expected ECB rate cut and, on the other hand, by the surprise words of Lagarde, who predicted the end of the rate reduction cycle. In the background was the phone call between US President Donald Trump and his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping, who allegedly reached a compromise on tariffs. According to the tycoon, it was a "very positive" conversation that focused "almost entirely" on trade, which will soon be followed by new summits. Glimpses that also gave momentum to Wall Street, with the US indices lengthening their stride.

Le Borse oggi, 06 giugno 2025

Wall Street penalised by Trump-Musk clash, Tesla collapses

Wall Street prices were penalised by the clash between Donald Trump and Elon Musk, after they appeared to be rekindled when US President Donald Trump declared, after speaking with his Chinese counterpart, Xi Jinping, that US and Chinese trade officials will soon meet at a yet-to-be-determined location to restart the dialogue on trade. The "very positive" call between the two leaders lasted about 90 minutes and focused "almost entirely" on trade, Trump wrote on Truth. Meanwhile, in the US on the macro front, the number of workers claiming unemployment benefits for the first time in the week ending 31 May rose by 8,000 to 247,000 (seasonally adjusted), against expectations for a figure of 236,000. This was the worst figure since October. With Musk, however, the controversy was over the tax law, which was harshly criticised by the Tesla CEO.

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The tensions weighed particularly heavily on the Tesla stock, which lost more than 14% at the close: $140 billion burned in just a few hours. Trump Media and Technology Group, the US President's company, also suffered a heavy backlash from the quarrel, losing 8%. Overall, the Wall Street stock markets saw the Dow Jones index drop 0.25 per cent, the S&P500 0.52 per cent and the Nasdaq 0.83 per cent.

In Milan risiko pushes banks, Campari and luxury goods weak

At Piazza Affari, the credit risiko continues to hold sway, driving the prices of the main institutions involved in the various takeovers. At the top of Milan's main list, in fact, stands Banca Mps on the day when it emerges that partner Caltagirone has moved to around 10 per cent of the capital of Mediobanca, an institution in the sights of the Siena-based bank. Meanwhile, the CEO of Rocca Salimbeni, Luigi Lovaglio, during an interview with Sky, clarified that the ops of Mps on Mediobanca and that of Mediobanca on Banca Generali are not mutually exclusive. The manager, however, has been critical of Piazzetta Cuccia's plan, believing that the 'economics' of the operation are not clear. Also running among industrialists are Buzzi Unicem and Leonardo - Finmeccanica.

On the opposite front, slides Davide Campari, preceded by the luxury of Brunello Cucinelli and Moncler. Weak were the main utilities (such as Italgas) and the car with Stellantis.

Euro on highs since November 2021, touches $1.15

On the exchange rate fronts, the euro strengthened further and returned to its highest level since November 2021 in the exchange rate against the dollar, touching 1.15, which had been reached in April. Contributing to the strengthening of the single currency were the words of ECB President Christine Lagarde, who explained that "we are reaching the end of a monetary policy cycle", hence a possible stop to interest rate cuts. The single currency is also worth 164.49 yen (from 163.32 at the close on 4 June), while the dollar stands at 143.66 yen (142.94). The Bitcoin gave up 0.87 percent and is worth about $104,000.

Spread closes at 98 points, BTp yield at 3.57% post-Lagarde

Eurozone government yields rose sharply in the afternoon after ECB President Christine Lagarde surprised markets by referring to the 'end of a monetary policy cycle' now near. The yield on the benchmark 10-year BTp, which had closed the previous session at 3.51 per cent and hit a low of 3.46 per cent after the expected ECB rate cut announcement, then rose in line with other government bonds, closing the session at 3.57 per cent and returning to levels seen at the start of the week. The spread with the German Bund dropped to 98 points from 99 on the eve of the meeting.

Oil barrel recovering, gas +2%

Partially recovering were the oil prices after declines of about 1 percent on the eve of the event. Keeping crude oil prices under pressure were rumours by Bloomberg that Saudi Arabia intends to push for continued high OPEC+ production in August and potentially September to regain market share. Moreover, Saudi Arabia - the world's largest oil exporter - slashed crude prices for Asian customers in July, bringing them almost to their lowest level in four years.

Also weighing on the eve's session was the higher than expected increase in US stocks of gasoline and distillates, which showed weaker demand in the world's largest economy. Finally, gas traded at EUR 36.38 per megawatt hour in Amsterdam, up 2%.

Gold stable pending US unemployment

Little moved, finally, the price of gold, which hovers below several-week highs reached earlier this week. Investors prefer not to take a position while waiting for the US unemployment data in May. "The precious metal continues to find support thanks to lingering uncertainty over US tariffs policy, a weak global economic outlook and ongoing geopolitical tensions - all of which reinforce gold's attractiveness as a safe haven asset," say analysts at ActivTrades.

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