Market Day

Stock exchanges, Milan (+6.3%) rises in May amid US-China truce and Merz effect

Europe generally did well, with Frankfurt gaining 7%. In Piazza Affari Leonardo (+20%) and Iveco (+24%) stand out, the financial sector also did well, with banks posting +7.6%, while the resurgence of the sector is becoming more and more intense.

by Chiara Di Michele and Martina Soligo

La Borsa, gli indici del 30 maggio

4' min read

4' min read

(Il Sole 24 Ore Radiocor) - European stock exchanges reared their heads again in May with the treaty between the United States and China on tariffs, which eased tensions towards the middle of the month, although it is now back on the table due to Trump's accusations against Beijing, accompanied by the legal battle in the United States. The climate therefore remains uncertain and volatile, but the monthly balance is positive, with the Ftse Mib (+6.3%) reaching levels not seen since 2007 (above 40,000 points). New highs were also reached by Frankfurt's Dax (+7%) buoyed by the effect of the installation of the new Merz government followed by defence decisionism never seen in recent German history. This was followed by Madrid (+6.8%), Paris (+4.1%) and London (+3.3%) for an overall Euro Stoxx 600 gain of +2.8%. On the other hand, the weekly balance was negative for Milan (-1.4%) and Paris (-1.7%) while Frankfurt gained one percentage point.

Returning to the performance in May, the industrial sector (+9.5%) shone above all, with Leonardo shares up 20% (+10% in the last week), boosted by European plans to increase defence spending, and the sprint of Iveco (+24% in the month and +5.7% in the eighth) with its Defence division which received a takeover bid from Leonardo itself along with Germany's Rheinmetall. A decisive contribution also came from the financial sector, with banks up +7.6% as the sector's resurgence comes increasingly into focus. Among the banks suffers, however, Banca Mps posted -4.7% (-10% in the last week). Amolifon and Prysmian also rose strongly in May. Pirelli stood out, which has not yet reached an agreement with its Chinese partner Sinochem to bring its governance into line with US regulations, but in the meantime Marco Tronchetti Provera is strengthening in the Bicocca group.

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On the exchange rate front, the euro fell slightly in May against the dollar (-0.9%) but was up 1.7% in the last week, while gold lost ground (-0.7% in May and -2% in the eighth), which nevertheless remained at record levels. Oil rose 1.2%, while gas soared 15% this month. Lastly, there was a sharp reduction in the spread between Btp and Bund with a drop of about 2.5% in May.

EU stock exchanges resilient in 30 May session, Milan +0.2%

European stock exchanges held up in the final session of the week, with Milan's Ftse Mib up 0.26% to reach 40,000 points. Instilling confidence in the marketwas US inflation, which fell more than expected in April. However, theissue of tariffs still holds sway, with the judicial chaos triggered by the US Trade Court blocking the trade tariffs imposed by Donald Trump's administration because they are considered "illegal". On the other hand, the Court of Appeals decided overnight to temporarily suspend the verdict.

Thus, in Europe, only the Paris Cac (-0.3%) and the Amsterdam Aex (-0.2%) closed below parity, while the Frankfurt Dax (+0.3%), the Madrid Ibex (+0.2%) and the London Ftse 100 (+0.7%) held their ground.

Le Borse oggi, 30 maggio 2025

Wall Street closes contrasted

Wall Street closed mixed. The Dow Jones rose 0.13 per cent to 42,270.07 points, the Nasdaq lost 0.32 per cent to 19,113.77 points and the S&P 500 gave up 0.01 per cent to 5911.69 points. All this after Donald Trump's new accusations against China. The US president said that Beijing "completely violated our trade agreement", which had helped ease tensions between the two countries over the past two weeks. The spotlight was on inflation data: consumer prices rose 0.2 per cent in April and PCE inflation came in at +0.1 per cent month-on-month and year-on-year at +2.1 per cent, below estimates. The annual 'core' figure stood at 2.5%. The market, therefore, is wondering whether these continued small steps might be enough to push the Fed closer to the first rate cut in 2025.

Energy well in Milan, banks under observation

In terms of stocks, energy companies are up well at Piazza Affari, with Italgas (+2.6%) in the front row: Snam (+0.7%), a shareholder of the group led by Paolo Gallo with 13.5% of the capital, finalised an Accelerated Bookbuild on part of the rights as part of the Italgas capital increase aimed at the integration of 2i Rete Gas. A2a and Hera also did well (both +1.3%). Banks were still under observation, with Mediobanca up 0.05% ahead of the shareholders' meeting of 16 June on the voluntary total takeover bid for Banca Generali (-0.4%). Still on the banking front, Bper closed at +0.9% after the board of directors gave the go-ahead for the capital increase to service the takeover bid for Popolare di Sondrio (+0.7%) and the clarifications - requested by the Valtellina-based bank - on certain requirements imposed by the ECB. Bought also on Poste Italiane (+0.5%) which finalised the purchase of an additional 15% stake in Tim (-1.7%) from French Vivendi, thus becoming the main shareholder of the telecommunications group with 24.8% of the capital. In the tail St (-1.9%) after the eve's rises in the wake of Nvidia's accounts.

I mercati a metà seduta

Spreads up slightly, 10-year yield at 3.48%

The BTp-Bund spread closed slightly higher, rising one point to 98 basis points from 97 basis points on the eve of closing, when it had fallen to the lowest since July 2021. The 10-year BTp yield stood at 3.48%, unchanged from the eve's close, marking the lowest since late February.

BTp Italia: 2.257bn raised on final day of offer, closes at 8.7bn

On the fourth and final day of the placement, reserved for institutional investors, the orders for the new BTp Italia amounted to EUR 2.257 billion. The figure is in addition to the EUR 6.52 billion raised through retail demand closed on 29 May, for an overall total of the issue of EUR 8.77 billion. In the previous placement in March 2023, the issue reached a total of EUR 9.916 billion. The bond has a maturity set for 04/06/2032, a duration of seven years, offers a guaranteed yield of 1.85% and an extra final premium of 1% for those who hold it to maturity.

Euro weakens slightly, oil falls

On the currency side, the euro weakened slightly against the dollar and traded at 1.135 (from 1.136 on the eve). The euro/yen exchange rate was little moved at 163.74, while the dollar/yen cross rose to 144.6. Oil traded lower with Wti at $60.8 a barrel (-0.15 percent) and Brent crude trading at $64 (-0.2 percent). Gas fell to EUR 34 per megawatt hour (-2.4%). Gold also fell to below $3,300 an ounce (-0.9%), and Bitcoin to $105,580..

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