Markets

Stock markets: Europe in positive territory ahead of the US mid-term elections. Oil prices fall

The focus remains on the tech sector as the quarterly results season continues. The euro is trading close to $1.12, with the spread at 116 points

 Chi è Danny - stock.adobe.com

2' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

2' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

(Il Sole 24 Ore Radiocor) - European stock markets have opened November on a positive note, whilst markets await the US mid-term elections, scheduled for tomorrow. The markets are being buoyed by the fall in oil prices, with Brent crude back at $110 on hopes that talks between Qatar and Iran may lead to an end to the conflict between Tehran and the US. However, the technology sector remains in the spotlight, having fallen sharply in recent days as investors question the sustainability of massive investments in artificial intelligence. The FTSE MIB in Milan is thus gaining ground against a backdrop of general progress amongst the indices of the Old Continent.

On the macroeconomic front, this week will also see the Bank of England’s interest rate decision on Thursday, US employment figures and the European inflation figures on Wednesday. The quarterly results season also continues on both sides of the Atlantic.

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Turning back to the equity market, amongst the leading shares listed on the Milan Stock Exchange, technology stocks are attempting a recovery, led by Stmicroelectronics . Banks are also performing well, with Unicredit leading the way, whilst A2a and Moncler and oil companies.

Lottomatica up, utilities down

Buying in Lottomatica Group on the eve of its quarterly results. The market is assessing the impact of the measures set out in the Budget Law for the gaming and betting sector, judging it to be ‘manageable’ overall.

Analysis of the budget bill, however, shows that utility companies are being penalised; in particular, they are bearing the brunt of the increase and extension of the IRAP surcharge for energy companies, set at 5 points in 2027 and 3 points in 2028–29. In addition to A2A, Hera .

Spread falls to 116 points

In the bond market, the spread between BTps and Bunds is down slightly. The yield spread between the benchmark 10-year BTp and its German counterpart stands at 116 basis points, down from 118 basis points at Friday’s close. The yield on the benchmark 10-year BTp has also fallen, to 4.49 per cent, from 4.50 per cent recorded the previous day.

Euro close to 1.12 dollars, crude oil down sharply

In the currency markets, the euro is strengthening, with the euro/dollar exchange rate at 1.1191 (up from 1.1162 at Friday’s close). The single currency is also trading at 176.61 yen, whilst the dollar/yen cross-rate stands at 157.81. Bitcoin continues to fall to $77,063, despite Binance resuming operations following the cyber-attack in recent days.

On the energy front, the prospect of dialogue between Washington and Tehran, as mentioned, is pushing down energy commodity prices. Brent crude has thus fallen by 6.4 per cent to $110 a barrel (after reaching nearly $118 on Friday), whilst WTI is trading at $100.7 (-3.2 per cent). Gas prices are also down at €101.6 per megawatt-hour (-2.1 per cent).

Tokyo closes lower, Nikkei down 0.33%

Meanwhile, the Tokyo Stock Exchange closed on a weak note, with mixed performance. The main Nikkei index fell by 0.33 per cent to close at 63,081.86 points. Concerns about the soundness of the outlook for artificial intelligence weighed on the Japanese stock market.

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