Trade, investments up to 35 billion by 2025
Scenari Immobiliari's forecasts follow the sector's trend in Europe in 2024, with 30 billion euro volumes
3' min read
3' min read
The European and Italian commercial real estate market is showing signs of growth and resilience, with investment volumes expected to reach up to €35 billion in 2025. This is what emerges from the new Report 2025 on the commercial real estate market in Europe and Italy by Scenari Immobiliari, presented in Milan during the conference "The other side of the coin - Retail: from high street success to opportunities in secondary markets" on Wednesday 7 May.
In 2024, the volume of business investment in Europe reached EUR 30 billion, with the UK leading the way (EUR 7.5 billion), followed by Germany (6.7), France (4.5), Italy (2.6) and Spain (2.5). By 2025, an increase of 20 per cent is estimated, driven by a possible rate cut by the ECB, falling inflation and increased household purchasing power.
European high streets are once again attracting capital, benefiting from the boom in tourism and the reconversion of leasing models, which are now more flexible. Well-positioned, modern shopping centres remain attractive, thanks to more competitive yields compared to other asset classes.
The Italian market
.In Italy too, 2024 marked a clear recovery, despite the abrupt halt recorded for real estate developments within the city of Milan: almost 2.6 billion euro invested, more than three times as much as in 2023. And 2025 is off to a good start: in the first three months, €550 million has already been allocated, thanks to major transactions on outlets in Tuscany and Liguria and high street properties in Milan and Florence. It is the best first quarter in the last five years.
As far as turnover is concerned, some EUR 8.7 billion was recorded, an increase of more than 40% compared to 2023. The large commercial areas (Gsc) are again the protagonists, but also the shopping streets - from Monte Napoleone to Via Roma in Turin - show a positive dynamic, interrupting a ten-year trend that favoured out-of-town areas.
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