Property

Investment in the commercial sector is on the rise, with more focus on data centres, self-storage and sport

According to Kroll Advisory Spa, investment rose by 22 per cent year-on-year in the first nine months compared with the same period in 2024

Original public domain image from Flickr rawpixel.com / U.S. Department of Energy (Source)

5' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

5' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

Investment in the non-residential property sector is growing, with an increasingly significant focus on alternative assets, ranging from data centres to sports facilities. In the first nine months of 2025, investment in Italian commercial property totalled approximately €7.9 billion, marking an increase in volume compared with the same period in 2024 (+22 per cent year-on-year). This is according to Kroll Advisory Spa.

From the second half of 2024 onwards, investor confidence has improved, buoyed by the normalisation of the ECB’s monetary policy. Investment activity is expected to continue in the first half of 2026, with a greater focus on the segments most influenced by the macro-trends dominating the market. Among the most dynamic asset classes are data centres, which require significant parallel investment in energy infrastructure; the continued expansion of the hospitality sector, which is increasingly moving towards product diversification to broaden its offering; and the emergence of alternative housing solutions targeting two distinct groups: young people, students and young professionals, and older people.

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Investment volumes

In terms of investment volumes, the retail sector stands out with around €2.2 billion, accounting for 28 per cent of total investment since the start of the year, up 38 per cent on the same period last year. In second place is the hospitality & healthcare sector, which recorded around €2 billion (25 per cent of the total), marking a 54 per cent increase on the previous year. In third place, tied at 15 per cent of the total transaction value, are the Office and Logistics sectors, with around €1.2 billion. Finally, the residential sector recorded around €750 million in investment (+9 per cent year-on-year).

“2025 will end with a result that will confirm the significant recovery in the property market in Italia; it is highly likely that the total volume will exceed 10 billion euros for the first time since 2022, thanks to the completion of numerous transactions scheduled for the final quarter of the year, particularly in the logistics, retail, office and residential sectors,” said Paola Ricciardi, Country Manager at Kroll Advisory. Market participants’ confidence is underpinned by positive economic indicators and renewed investor interest in both high-quality assets and those requiring repositioning. The stabilisation of inflation has prompted the ECB’s Governing Council to continue its policy of cutting interest rates, taking action at its meetings in February, March, April and June, before keeping them stable. ‘This trend has helped to keep borrowing costs down, making the market more competitive and attractive.’

Focus on special and emerging assets

This category generally includes property assets linked to niche sectors such as telecommunications and energy infrastructure, data centres, car parks and sports facilities. These asset classes present a very limited risk of vacancy – both currently and in the future – due to the scarcity of properties suitable for specific uses relative to user demand. In particular:

As Kroll’s analysis explains, the data centre market is experiencing unprecedented growth, both in terms of geographical expansion and volume, driven by the growing demand for computing capacity, fuelled by e-commerce and new emerging technologies such as deep learning, machine learning and generative algorithms. In recent years, the data centre sector in Italia has seen significant growth. According to the AGICI study, by 2030 the European data market will be worth around one thousand billion euros, with 190 billion invested in new data centres. Italia has promising growth prospects, thanks to competitive factors such as industrial sites suitable for conversion, a modern electricity grid, abundant renewable energy and strategic undersea connections. The sector could triple its installed capacity, rising from 600 MW to 2 GW, generating 18 billion in investment by 2030. Electricity demand will grow from 7 to 20 TWh, accounting for 6 per cent of national consumption. This growth will also benefit the entire industrial supply chain and foster synergies with energy utilities, promoting integrated and sustainable business models.

Another asset class to monitor closely is self-storage. The sector benefits from inherently non-cyclical demand, low investment requirements and a reduced risk of obsolescence. In Europe, where the UK alone accounts for a third of the sector, the market is still in its early stages of development, with significant opportunities for growth, including in Italia, where the market has the potential for strong expansion, driven by changing lifestyles, urbanisation and new consumer needs. Growth is also being driven by the e-commerce boom, the reduction in living space and rising house prices: in this context, self-storage offers a practical and cost-effective solution for managing excess belongings. Properties used for this purpose require fewer major repairs than other asset classes, and demand is driven primarily by life events, meaning it is less affected by the performance of the wider economy.

Further specialised asset classes are emerging and becoming established in the country, particularly in the sports and leisure sector. This trend is underpinned by a calendar of major international events, including the 2026 Milan-Cortina Winter Olympics and Paralympics, for which numerous sports facilities are being built in various locations, to be followed by the 38th America’s Cup in Naples in 2027 and the 20th Mediterranean Games in Taranto, which will further enhance the country’s appeal. Italia will also host the Davis Cup from 2025 to 2027 and the ATP Finals from 2026 to 2030, which will take place in Turin and Milan. Meanwhile, Milan and Inter have acquired ownership of the Giuseppe Meazza Stadium and the surrounding areas, with an investment of over 210 million euros, to launch the project for a new shared stadium. Work will begin after the Olympics, marking a further step towards enhancing the region’s sporting and infrastructure facilities.

Investments in renewable energy – Kroll’s analysis continues – help to accelerate the megatrends of the energy and environmental transition, combining strong returns with sustainability objectives. The sector is playing an increasingly central role within the asset classes of property funds, responding to growing demand from institutional investors for opportunities aligned with ESG objectives. Sustainability and energy efficiency, in fact, help to increase the value of property assets. In the first half of 2025, the Italian renewables market recorded an 18 per cent decline compared with the same period in 2024; the difficulties stem from an unstable regulatory framework, which hinders investment and could undergo further changes following discussions with the European Commission. Should this downward trend continue, only 6 GW of new capacity is expected to be installed by the end of the year – well below the 10 GW needed to meet the 2030 targets – marking the first setback after four years of growth.

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