First simulations

Preventive agreement 2026-2027, activities with price increases of up to 10 per cent

The change in the proposal is also physiological, for the revision Isa

by Mario Cerofolini, Lorenzo Pegorin and GianPaolo Ranocchi

 Adobe Stock

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

First simulations of the Biennial Preventive Agreement (Cpb) 26-27 with differing trends depending on the type of business and with price increases that can even reach over 10% for certain sectors. However, the increase is also affected by the biennial revision of ISAs, which leads to the application of new models compared to those used for the first option. Finally, as in the other years, grade 10 will be reached gradually: half in 2026 and then complete in 2027.

The software released late in the evening of 13 May arrived shortly before the Senate approved Decree-Law 38/26 (dl fiscale), which introduced a series of measures to make the concordat more attractive. The 2026/2027 proposal will, in fact, undergo a 'capping' of the proposed increase in income. The increase may not exceed certain percentages compared to the starting figure even for taxpayers with a grade below 8. The software will therefore have to be updated at least to take this change into account.

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In the examples presented, unchanged accounting and non-accounting data between 2023 and 2025 were taken into account. The comparison suffers from the fact that some data (e.g. trends in inventories) require a continuous picture that does not fit well with the simulated data. However, net of the aforementioned variables, appropriately sterilised in the analysis, the trend presented offers a differentiated cross-section depending on the type of business being measured.

IL CONFRONTO

Dati in euro

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But not only that. It allows one to touch on what was already apparent from a plain reading of the methodological note attached to the Decree approved the technical modalities for determining CPB 26-27, about the fact that no connection develops between the first accession (24-25) and the second (26-27).

For those who, after opting for the first two-year period, will renew the proposal for 26-27, no different solutions/conditions apply than for those who will join the CPB for the first time. Further measures are being considered on this point and will be included in a new decree under consideration (see other article on page) . Returning to the examples, the affected businesses are a company that manufactures metal structures for awnings, an engineer, a retailer of leather goods and travel goods, and a café.

As mentioned, the simulated Isa (2025) is new and different from the starting Isa (2023). There is therefore a physiological change in the proposal due to the biennial revision of the models. Then the economic corrections provided for each year (Art. 9 bis co. 2 of the decree establishing the Isa) must be considered.

Secondly, the mechanism governing the calculation of the CPB has remained unchanged in its construction but also differs from year to year in the different value of certain coefficients that make up the final outcome. On the merits of the numbers, it can be seen that the awning metal structure manufacturer and the bar are presented with a downward concordat compared to the first proposal, with the same economic data, CPB proposal 26-27 is lower than CPB proposal 24-25. The trend is upward, on the other hand, for the engineer with an increase in the second year of 9.20% and for the leather and travel goods retailer for whom the increase in the second year rises to 13.96%.Like last year, the drag to grade 10 Isa over the two-year period will however occur gradually for those who accept the concordat proposal: half in 2026 and then full in 2027.

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