Residential market

Buying a house in the metropolis, Madrid the most affordable (followed by Rome)

A study by Casavo compares four cities (in addition to those mentioned, also Paris and Milan), for those aspiring to purchase with a 2,000 euro salary and a 30-year mortgage at 80 per cent

Una veduta di Madrid

5' min read

5' min read

Paris is unreachable. Milan is on the same path. More affordable, on the other hand, are Madrid but also Rome (in the suburbs). Casavo has conducted an analysis comparing Milan, Rome, Madrid and Paris to see what kind of house one can afford to buy earning 2,000 euros a month and taking out a 30-year mortgage at 80 per cent.

New Buildings

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Of the four European cities, Madrid is the one that offers the most opportunities in the centre: in districts such as Arganzuela or Salamanca, it is possible to buy a new flat of an average of 33 square metres, while with the same parameters in Milan in districts such as Sant'Ambrogio and Parco Sempione the square metres are around 20, in Rome if one chooses areas such as Celio and Monti one reaches 30 square metres.
Still considering new buildings, but looking at the more peripheral areas, it is Rome that offers the most square metres (an average of 55 in neighbourhoods such as EUR and Colli Portuensi), followed by Madrid (around 47 square metres in neighbourhoods such as Hortaleza or Ciudad Lineal), and finally Milan (25 square metres for a new studio apartment in areas such as Forlanini and Lorenteggio).
Paris seems to play a league of its own, the square metres available are always negligible and the difference between the centre and the suburbs is practically non-existent: they range from 12 square metres for a new studio apartment in the 4th arrondissement, through 15 square metres in the 15th, to a maximum of 17 square metres in the 19th arrondissement.

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Property for renovation

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If the house is in need of renovation to new, the square metres increase in all cities, and it is always Madrid that makes the biggest difference. In the city centre, one can buy a 42 square metre flat to renovate (thus gaining 9 square metres compared to a new flat), while for the same type of property one can afford 25 square metres in Milan (+5 square metres) and 33 square metres in Rome (+3 square metres).
Looking at the suburbs, anyone earning 2,000 euro a month can afford to buy up to a two/three-room apartment to renovate. A three-room apartment of 74 sqm, for example, can be bought in the suburbs of Rome in areas such as San Paolo and Cinecittà, or in districts outside the M-30 in Madrid (the ring road considered to be the watershed between the centre and the suburbs in the city), such as Moratalaz or San Blas. In Milan, one can afford a two-room flat of 50 m2 in areas such as Lorenteggio and Gorla, while in Paris one only touches 20 m2 for flats to be renovated in the 19th and 20th arrondissements.

'The cities we analysed,' observed Victor Ranieri, chief operating officer of Casavo, 'have completely different peculiarities and characteristics. Paris is a metropolis that is already proving to be unaffordable - values per square metre exceed 13,000 euro in the most central arrondissements - and we also expect that the Olympics coming up in July will further increase the attractiveness (and therefore the prices) of some areas. Madrid and Rome are interesting markets for considering a purchase, especially for those who are willing to choose properties to renovate in areas that are not strictly central. Milan is in constant turmoil: despite constantly rising prices (we are talking about +3.7% in January 2024 compared to the same month a year ago), the city offers interesting investments, especially in areas where strong redevelopment is expected in the next 5-10 years. After a complex 2023 in terms of buying and selling volumes, Ranieri added, 'we expect the residential property market to gradually recover thanks to the stabilisation of interest rates and inflation. In this phase of uncertainty, we are even more convinced that we can add value to our clients, supporting them at all stages of the process of selling and buying their home, starting from the decision-making moment'.

Madrid, dynamism and projects

Overall, the residential property market in Madrid has experienced steady growth, driven by factors such as population growth, urbanisation and low interest rates. In January 2024, an average price of EUR 4,100 per square metre was demanded for residential property for sale, an increase of 7.8 per cent compared to January 2023 (EUR 3,800 per square metre). Madrid saw significant activity in new construction projects to meet the demand for quality housing and office space. Real estate development is particularly focusing on innovative and sustainable projects, such as the futuristic Madrid Nuevo Norte, an urban regeneration project in the north of the capital that aims to position the city as a transformation model worldwide.

In Milan, prices are rising. In Rome they are stable

Milan has seen a steady increase in prices in both residential and commercial real estate, driven by factors such as rising demand, limited supply in prime locations, and investment interest from national and international buyers. The city is constantly evolving thanks to major urban redevelopment projects that are revitalising entire areas and neighbourhoods (such as Porta Nuova, which has become an international example of sustainability, or Scalo Farini, the largest regeneration project of the former railway yards), constantly re-evaluating a city undergoing circular expansion. In January 2024, an average price of €5,300 per square metre was demanded for residential property for sale, an increase of 3.7% compared to January 2023 (€5,100 per square metre). Unlike Milan, Rome experienced a market stagnation in 2023: prices have been fairly stable over the last two years, with an increase of almost 0%. The average price per square metre is 3,300 euros per square metre.

Compared to the relatively more affordable Milan, Rome and Madrid, buying a house in Paris is considered a luxury for the few, but one must also take into account the difference in salaries, which are on average up to 60 % higher than in Milan. The average price per square metre for a property in Paris varies depending on the arrondissement: for example, for a flat in districts such as the 19th and 20th arrondissements, located in the north-eastern part of the city, it amounts to around 8,800 euros compared to almost 13,000 euros in the Marais (4th arrondissement). Paris remains a major destination for international real estate investors, attracted by its status as a global financial and cultural centre. Foreign investors, particularly from countries such as China, the United States and the Middle East, continue to show interest in Parisian property for investment diversification and capital preservation.

The importance of energy efficiency

One of the points, however, that Ranieri emphasises is also the importance of energy efficiency. "In the last couple of years," he explains, "the topic of energy saving, attention to building performance, utility costs and therefore the size of the bills have become part of the buyer's selection requirements. They reveal an awareness of the subject and are already beginning to influence the market'.

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