The data

Countdown to financing sustainable targets by 2030

Reductions in international aid threaten health care and emergencies in fragile countries

by Lab24

2' min read

2' min read

3,400 billion. This is the enormous annual funding gap the world needs to bridge to achieve the UN Sustainable Development Goals by 2030.

At the beginning of July, in Seville, during the Fourth International Conference on Financing for Development, a package of 130 reforms and actions - known as the Seville Compromise - was approved with the aim of reducing this gap.

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However, in a context marked by growing conflicts and increasing political and trade barriers, the prospects for a real revival of economic support to the Global South appear increasingly dim.

One of the most worrying signals came from the United States, which not only refused to sign the outcome document, but also deserted the conference. A significant absence, considering that for decades the US has been the world's largest donor of official development aid, contributing between 25% and 30% of the global total.

This choice is not entirely unexpected: it follows the drastic 92% cut in funding for the US Agency for International Development (USAID) decided by the Trump administration.

The disengagement does not only affect Washington. In recent months, Belgium, France, the Netherlands, Sweden, Switzerland and the UK have also announced significant reductions in their foreign aid budgets.

Underlying these announcements is often the desire to increase military spending in response to the new European geopolitical scenario.

In 2024, official development assistance from developed countries thus decreased by 9% in net terms, while early estimates OECD for 2025 indicate a further contraction of between 9% and 17%.

According to estimates by Oxfam, between 2024 and 2026 the G7 countries - responsible for about three quarters of global official aid - will have reduced their development funds for the Global South by 28%.

TREND STORICO E PREVISIONE FUTURA DEGLI AIUTI PUBBLICI ALLO SVILUPPO PER SETTORE

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The cuts will hit crucial sectors such as health hard, putting key programmes such as HIV programmes at risk. Among the hardest hit countries are Kenya, Mozambique, Uganda, South Africa and Tanzania, the main recipients of public development aid for the health sector.

Emergency humanitarian interventions will also suffer severe contractions, with funds cancelled for populations fleeing conflicts such as those in the Democratic Republic of Congo or Sudan.

Goal 17 of the UN Agenda 2030 requires that OECD countries allocate at least 0.7 per cent of their gross national income to official development assistance. Today at the aggregate level we are stuck at 0.33%, and only a few countries - Norway, Germany, Luxembourg, Sweden and Denmark - exceed this threshold.

Yet never before have these funds been so essential: in a world marked by growing debt, 3 billion people live in countries that spend more on paying interest on debt than on health or education.

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