Economic survey

Csc: expectations of large companies improve in January

The overall expectation is for a stable industrial production trend, but labour availability forecasts remain

by Nicoletta Picchio

2' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

2' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

The overall expectation is for a stable industrial production trend: the January quick survey carried out by the Centro studi Confindustria among large member companies shows an improvement in expectations compared to the previous month.

More than half of the companies, 54.5%, expect production to remain unchanged, while more than a third, 35%, expect an increase. At 10.5%, the share of those reporting a moderate decline remains moderate.

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Looking at the quarterly dynamics, in Q4 2025, almost a quarter of the respondents, 24.2%, expected a contraction in activity, compared to 45.5% who expected stable production and 30.3% who anticipated an increase.

With the January survey, which opens the current quarter, an improvement in the economic situation can be observed, which can be attributed in particular to a reduction in the share of companies expecting a contraction in production.

The main strength supporting production is the balance on demand and orders: in January the balance improved to 3.8%, after 2.0% in December.

On the other hand, companies' expectations on labour availability remained firmly in negative territory: the balance for January was -1.2% after -1.4% in the previous survey. The balance of production costs in January confirmed the sharp deterioration of December (-4.6% from -5.0%).

Judgments regarding financial conditions worsened, while remaining weakly positive, compared to the previous month: +0.1 per cent from +2.1 per cent.

As for the opinions on material availability, the balance of responses consolidated in the current month, rising to +1.5 per cent from +0.9 per cent. On the other hand, those on equipment availability worsened in the current month's survey (+0.4 per cent after +1.4 per cent in December).

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