The summit

Electoral law: here’s what’s changing following the agreement on preferential voting and gender alternation

The agreement between the sherpas was endorsed by the leaders gathered at Meloni’s residence. The Prime Minister is closing ranks with her allies on the recovery agenda

4' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

4' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

And so an agreement was reached. The centre-right has reached a consensus on the new electoral law: a ‘yes’ to the preferential voting system favoured by Fdi and Noi Moderati, with the addition of gender alternation as called for by female MPs, primarily from Forza Italia. Following yesterday’s lunch in Via della Scrofa with the sherpas, it was the leaders’ turn to meet: the final summit before the summer recess between Giorgia Meloni, Antonio Tajani, Matteo Salvini and Maurizio Lupi ratified the truce on the Stabilicum, took stock of measures due to expire and set out the priorities for the resumption of work and the run-in to the end of the parliamentary term. One priority above all: closing ranks ahead of the budget bill.

The mini-compromise on electoral reform

The compromise reached yesterday on the electoral law – the technical meeting lasted about an hour and a half – essentially provides for the adoption of the Fdi-Nm amendment that was rejected on 14 July by a single vote in a secret ballot: Following the model used in Tuscany, therefore, the lists for the election of MPs under the proportional representation system will feature a fixed lead candidate on the ballot paper and six other names listed, with voters able to express a maximum of three preferences by ticking boxes (at least one in three must be of a different gender).

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The second name on the list, of a different gender

The new provision is that gender alternation must also apply to the top candidates on the list, in the sense that the second name on the list must be of a different gender, whereas the original version of the amendment required alternation only from the third candidate onwards.

The 60/40 rule applies only to premium schedules

The 60/40 rule applies (60 per cent as the cap for the over-represented gender) applies only to the other closed lists – the constituency lists submitted for the purposes of the majority bonus for the 70 seats in the Chamber of Deputies and the 35 in the Senate to be allocated to the coalition that exceeds 42 per cent of the votes by the widest margin. Furthermore, the requirement introduced in the Chamber of Deputies remains in place, whereby candidates on lists linked to the bonus must also be lead candidates on the proportional representation lists.

The possibility of a run-off has been reconsidered and ruled out

During the debate, the possibility of a run-off vote was reconsidered in the event that no candidate reaches the 42 per cent threshold – as a safeguard to avoid the risk of a return to the proportional representation system of the First Republic. This proposal was championed by ‘reformist’ experts who are not opposed to a system with a bonus, such as Stefano Ceccanti, Francesco Clementi and Roberto D’Alimonte. However, it was, once again, rejected. According to the MPs present – including Giovanni Donzelli and Angelo Rossi for Fdi, Roberto Rosso for Fi, Alessandro Battilocchio and Stefano Benigni; for the Lega, Minister Roberto Calderoli and Andrea Paganella; and for NM, Alessandro Colucci – to introduce it without running into ‘paradoxical outcomes’ that could risk unconstitutionality.

The new amendment signed by all the parties

The new amendment will be signed by all parties and must be tabled with the Senate’s Constitutional Affairs Committee by the deadline of 1 September. The text will then go before the full Senate: the vote is already scheduled for 15 September. But the real test will be the third reading in the Chamber of Deputies, where the uncertainty surrounding a secret ballot could resurface.

The ‘Autumn Pact’

Meloni’s (new) call for unity yesterday is already looking ahead to that event. And it is no coincidence that the ‘autumn pact’ symbolically signed yesterday with her allies comes after Parliament gave the green light to the majority resolutions on the statements by the Minister for the Economy, Giancarlo Giorgetti, which paved the way for the use of the national safeguard clause on energy and defence. Not without some tension. This is also why the party line was to focus on the 14.4 billion energy package over three years, which is far more popular than the rearmament package, which is particularly unpalatable to Salvini’s Lega.

Shielding the centre-right from Vannacci’s attacks

Security and growth: the twin mantras that must guide the path leading up to the general election (spring remains the most likely timeframe) in an attempt to shield the centre-right from attacks from the right by General Roberto Vannacci – thereby ruling out alliances in both the general election and the local elections due to take place this spring in major cities such as Rome and Milan – and, above all, so as not to squander, in terms of public support and in the face of the divided broad coalition, the unique opportunity presented by the final budget of the Meloni era and the breathing space afforded by EU flexibility.

Setting the priorities for the budget

Meloni’s message is clear: as early as the beginning of September, Fdi, Fi, Lega and Nm will have to agree in advance on the key policy proposals they intend to prioritise, ranging from taxation to pensions. The aim: to avoid falling into the trap of internal rivalry. Because unity and stability – which Meloni’s supporters are set to celebrate on 4 September in Bari as part of the celebrations marking the government’s record-breaking tenure – “have been the driving force behind these past four years and will continue to be so”.

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