The data

Electric cars down in Europe. Tesla and Vw lose ground. Bmw and Chinese brands grow

New car registrations in Europe grew more than battery vehicles in the first half of the year, according to statistics from the British Institute Jato Dynamics. SUVs, compacts, vans and sports cars the most popular car types

by Corrado Canali

4' min read

4' min read

New car registrations in Europe recorded positive results for the first time since the beginning of 2024, while there are worrying signs of deceleration in those that had hitherto ensured growth such as electric cars, which are stuck at 13.8 per cent compared to 14.2 per cent in 2023. Data from the British statistical institute Jato Dynamics monitored in the 28 European countries showed that new car registrations increased by 4.4% from January to June 2024. Growth in Europe remains moderate and far from the levels seen pre-pandemic as the industry grapples with emissions regulations, rising prices and tariffs facing electric cars in the coming months.

Chinese record growth in first half 2024

In the first six months of 2024, registrations of electric cars of Chinese brands amounted to 70,000 units. This represents an increase of 26% compared to the first six months of 2023. Likewise, the market share of electric cars increased from 5.97% to 7.37% in the same period. Among all car groups, the figure of the Chinese brands was the third largest increase in market share, surpassed only by Volvo-Polestar (+ 2.9 points) and the BMW group (+ 2.2 points). The European Union's measures to impose tariffs on imports of electric cars from China accounted for 17 per cent of European registrations in the six-month period, excluding those imported by Tesla.

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Volvo EX30

Electricity prices under scrutiny by EU measures

The Volvo EX30, made in China, was the third most registered electric car in Europe in the first half of 2024. The fourth most popular model was the MG4, also made in China. It is clear that China has played a significant role in driving market growth. Without the competitive pricing of models imported from China, consumers will face higher prices, which means we may see demand fall in the coming months.

The complexity behind the sales of this type of model, the electrics, does not excite potential buyers, who remain wary of having to abandon their thermal cars.Volkswagen still leads in electric car sales In the first half of 2024, the European electric car market was led by the Volkswagen Group with 178,000 units. However, its volume was 14% lower than in the first half of 2023, due to a 24% drop by the Volkswagen brand and a 55% drop by Porsche. While the Volkswagen ID.3 and ID.4 have received updates, both have been on the market for almost five and four years.

In contrast, Bmw and the Chinese brands grew by almost 10 per cent Bmw compared to 7.5 per cent in H1 2023, thanks to models such as the iX1 and i4 and the introduction of the i5, Bmw's best-selling electric car, and the iX2, later joined by the Mini Countryman.

Chinese manufacturers perform well in electric car sales

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Chinese manufacturers did very well in the half-year 2024. The Geely Group, owner of Volvo, Polestar and Lotus, increased registrations of battery-powered vehicles by 52% over 2023, surpassing Hyundai-Kia, Mercedes and the Renault Group. The growth is explained by strong results from the Volvo EX30. Byd registered 17,000 electric cars, 14,000 more than in the first half of 2023. In fact, Byd's rapid growth overtook Nissan, Smart, Toyota, Polestar, Citroen, Dacia, Ford, Mini, Porsche and Mazda. Byd is the 16th best-selling electric car brand in Europe, the second best-selling Chinese brand after MG in eighth place in the ranking of best-selling battery-powered models.

The results of other Chinese manufacturers in Europe

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Xpeng recorded 2,214 electric cars compared to 51 in 1H2023, Great Wall Motors doubled its volumes to 2,123 units, Zeekr secured 821 units compared to 0 in 1Q2023, Hongqi increased its units to 366 units marking a 266% increase, while Voyah sold 225 units compared to 8 units in 1H2023. Domestic competition is the driving force behind growth in China, but it has to contend with market saturation, oversupply and price wars. Expansion abroad will be key to meeting the growth ambitions of the Chinese, who have increased their car exports by 5.4 times between 2020 and 2023.

All the reasons for Tesla's deceleration

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After years of continuous growth, Tesla is showing signs of deceleration. Sales in Europe have dropped from 185,500 units in the first half of 2023, to 161,600 units this year. This is very similar to what is happening in the US and Jato Dynamics explains this for three different reasons. Firstly, we know that any brand cannot maintain growth with a limited product line that is starting to age. Secondly, increased competition from other brands such as Bmw, will have an impact on its registrations, and finally, Tesla's strategy of cutting prices seen in 2023 has not had the same effect since the Chinese are offering competitively priced vehicles.

The three best-selling cars in the semester are not electric

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Although both the Model Y and Model 3 continued to lead the European ranking for electric sales, the Model Y was not the most popular model in Europe at the end of June 2024 as it dropped to eighth position and recorded a 26% drop. The new Model 3, on the other hand, is doing well, as it is up 37 per cent, yet it has to contend with European consumers who do not like sedans. The result is that the three best-selling cars in Europe in the overall ranking are the Dacia Sandero (+16%), the Volkswagen Golf (+43%) and the Renaut Clio (+15%). Citroen's +50% growth is worth mentioning thanks to the new C3, also electric.

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