Airlines

Emirates: passenger numbers on the rise, but half-year profits plunge by 66 per cent

The war in the Middle East is taking its toll on the Gulf-based airline’s finances. The Dubai-based airline is being affected by airspace restrictions and fuel prices

2' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

2' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

The war in the Middle East is also taking its toll on Emirates. Dubai’s leading airline recorded a 66 per cent fall in net profit in the first half of the 2026–2027 financial year, hit by the impact of the conflict between the United States, Israel and Iran on regional air traffic and by the sharp rise in fuel prices.

In the six months ended 30 September, net profit stood at 3.3 billion dirhams, equivalent to approximately 903 million dollars. Revenue also fell, dropping by 13 per cent to 56.9 billion dirhams, despite the positive contribution from the cargo sector and travel demand which the group described as still solid across its various key markets.

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The results were primarily affected by the deterioration in the operating environment in the Gulf region. Restrictions and intermittent closures of airspace in various countries led to flight delays, cancellations and diversions, disrupting international connections and traffic flows through one of the world’s leading aviation hubs.

Gulf companies, which are among the world’s leading operators in the sector, have gradually resumed some of their activities, but the outlook remains uncertain. Recent attacks by the Yemeni Houthis – a movement backed by Iran – on targets in Saudi Arabia have further complicated the prospects of a return to normality.

“The first six months of 2026–2027 presented significant challenges for Emirates’ operations,” said the Dubai-based holding company, Emirates Group, emphasising that airspace restrictions and closures in the region had put the airline’s operational capacity to the test. Government travel advisories also influenced consumer choices, leading to changes in destinations and tourist flows.

By the end of September, Emirates was operating 91 per cent of the route network it had prior to the disruptions. This represents a significant recovery, but it is still insufficient to offset the effects of the crisis on capacity and passenger volumes.

The operational figures highlight the scale of the decline. Over the half-year, available capacity – one of the key indicators in the air transport sector, which measures the number of seats offered in relation to the distance travelled – fell by 17 per cent.

The average seat occupancy rate fell to 72 per cent, compared with 79.5 per cent recorded in the same period of the previous financial year. This is a sign of the difficulty in maintaining high levels of fleet utilisation in a context characterised by suspended routes, altered services and greater uncertainty regarding demand.

In total, Emirates carried 21.8 million passengers in the first six months of the financial year, 22 per cent fewer than in the same period last year.

For Emirates, the challenge over the coming months will be to fully restore its operational capacity and safeguard profitability in a still-unstable international environment. The gradual restoration of its network is a first step, but the return to normal service will depend on how the geopolitical situation develops and on the ability to ensure safe and stable air corridors.

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On the economic front, high fuel prices are putting further pressure on profit margins in a sector already facing high operating costs and the fact that international routes are highly sensitive to geopolitical tensions.

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