Interventions

Energy, time for a European project

by Pierpaolo Mastromarini

 (Adobe Stock)

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

There is a question that European leaders should ask themselves frankly: how many of the current crises - from inflation to wars, from geopolitical instability to industrial competitiveness - have their roots in the lack of a true European energy policy? Common defence summits multiply, billions are discussed to rearm the continent, plans are drawn up to close the technology gap with the United States. But it would also be honest to remember that the war in Ukraine, as well as the tensions in Iran, are today difficult to resolve also because of energy.

Control of energy resources is not only a lever of geopolitical power, but also guarantees a position of strength at any negotiating table. It is clear that alongside investments in defence, therefore, Europe should consider investments to achieve its energy autonomy.

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When foreign stock exchanges threatened the continent's financial sovereignty, Brussels responded with the Capital Markets Union project. With wars on Europe's doorstep, the Twenty-Seven opened the purse strings for common defence. When the technology gap with the big American platforms became abysmal, the Draghi Report sounded the alarm for a relaunch of investment in innovation and competitiveness. But that's not all: Draghi also recommended the creation of an 'Energy Union', but who followed it up?

A divided competence, an unfinished market

The starting point is legal, before being economic. European energy policy is a shared competence between the Union and the member states (Article 194 of the Treaty on the Functioning of the EU: the EU sets the objectives and rules of the internal market, the states retain the right to choose their own energy mix and manage their own resources. In theory, a reasonable balance; in practice, an inexhaustible source of conflict and inefficiency.

The mechanism that was supposed to address these imbalances is called 'Market Coupling' and is mainly based on Regulation (EU) 2019/943 , which is mandatory for all Member States to converge prices between countries and allow cheaper energy to flow where it costs more. This mechanism, however, only works up to the physical limit of the interconnection cables. When that capacity runs out - and in Italia it happens systematically at peak hours - markets decouple, prices diverge and the consumer continues to pay a structural premium higher than the European average.

What to do now

European energy policy should move in four directions. The first is the massive expansion of electricity interconnections. Projects that have already been identified must become a top priority for European spending, financed by common instruments on the model of the Next Generation EU. The second is the accelerated development of storage systems to solve the intermittency problem of renewables. The third is the deep reform of the electricity market, with long-term contracts and a European Capacity Market with phase-out clauses for fossil plants. The fourth, and most sensitive, is a pragmatic and temporary approach between accelerated renewables development together with gas infrastructure management as a combined discipline in transition.

Investments in existing gas infrastructure may still be justified for a 15-20 year horizon, but financial and contractual instruments are needed to incorporate phase-out already at the time of signing. For example, take-or-pay contracts can be reformulated with clauses for the gradual reduction of guaranteed volumes, which reduce revenue flows automatically when the gas is no longer structurally needed.

Project financing operations can also be adapted to the limited gas horizon through accelerated debt amortisation in the first years and then gradually reducing the residual exposure. Mandatory decommissioning funds would instead guarantee resources for decommissioning or reconversion.

This must be accompanied by a massive investment and grounding of green infrastructure, where we are still hopelessly lagging behind.

Energy has always been the driving force behind European integration: it was coal and steel that laid the foundations of the ECSC in 1951. 75 years later, it is energy again that is testing Europe's ability to team up. The alarm clock has sounded, we cannot afford further delays.

Pierpaolo Mastromarini, partner in the Banking & Finance Department of BIrd & BIrd

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