Quarterly reports

Eni: operating profit at EUR 4.1 billion, production runs (+6%). Descalzi: 'Results beyond expectations'

Exploration and production accounts boost group results as it revises some targets upwards and accelerates share buyback plan ahead of April 2025 deadline

by Celestina Dominelli

Nucleare, Pichetto: "Impegno Eni su fusione, investe 500 milioni in Usa"

5' min read

5' min read

Exploiting the strong pull of its usual 'engine', exploration and production, which closed the quarter with a 26% leap in adjusted pro forma operating profit, exceeding EUR 3.5 billion, Eni arrives at the halfway point of the accounts with results above analysts' estimates and with a significant growth in production (+6% compared to 2023), so much so that the group led by Claudio Descalzi has decided to revise upwards some of its 2024 targets, starting with adjusted pro forma ebit, raised to EUR 15 billion, and announced an acceleration of the buyback plan with respect to the April 2025 deadline.

The accounts for the quarter

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Returning to the numbers, the quarter closed with adjusted pro forma operating profit of EUR 4.1bn, down slightly from the year before (-3%) due to the normalisation of Ggp's (the Gas division) result and the reduction in Versalis's (the Chemicals division) margins, weighed down by difficult market conditions and the further downturn in the chemicals cycle in Europe. In the first half, the bar was set at EUR 8.2bn, down 19% from H1 2023. Adjusted pre-tax profit, adjusted for the effects of extraordinary transactions, stood at 3.4 billion, down 7% compared to Q2 2023. Adjusted net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.5 billion, down 21% compared to Q2 2023, and was impacted by an increase in the group tax rate to 55% (compared to 47% in the comparative quarter) due to the higher tax burden on consolidated pre-tax income from foreign countries.

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Cash flow and debt

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Ajusted cash flow before changes in working capital is 3.9 billion, thanks to robust industrial management supported by operational effectiveness, growth, our value assets and financial discipline. In H1 2024, the group generated adjusted cash flow from operations of 7.8 billion, covering capital expenditure requirements of 4.1 billion. Organic cash flow of EUR 3.7bn covered shareholder remuneration of EUR 2bn and together with proceeds from disposals relating mainly to Plenitude and Saipem of around EUR 1bn reduced debt to EUR 12.1bn after the high level that had accumulated in the first quarter of the year due to the acquisition of Neptune (EUR 2.3bn). As for leverage, it returned to a downward trend, amounting to 0.22 at the end of June.

Descalations: results exceed expectations

Eni's CEO Claudio Descalzi spoke of 'results that exceeded expectations', which demonstrate 'the significant progress made by Eni in multiple aspects of its strategy and business plan illustrated to investors last March. With respect to the clear development objectives of our business lines with competitive advantages - hydrocarbon production, biorefining and renewable generation capacity - we have achieved significant growth in each". The CEO emphasises the 'excellent financial results with 1.5 billion in adjusted net profits. In parallel with industrial growth, we are making better than expected progress in portfolio management activities in terms of both execution time and value generated'. We are improving, he added, 'the quality of the upstream portfolio, with the recent announcement of the divestment of non-strategic oil assets in Alaska and the ongoing completion of the sale of onshore assets in Nigeria, while we have finalised an agreement for the business combination between Ithaca Energy and our assets in the UK'.

The latest operations

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Then a passage on the most recent transactions. "Enilive has announced an exclusive agreement with the Kkr fund for a private capital infusion that, similar to the transaction finalised in Q1 related to Plenitude, will help fund growth and confirm the value we are creating in our transition-related businesses," he explains. Although the portfolio contribution was relatively small in Q2, net debt has decreased and, with divestments progressing, we expect leverage to be significantly lower than 0.2 at year-end, which is better than our initial expectations. This in turn will allow us to accelerate the EUR 1.6bn share buy-back plan, confirming our ability to deliver on both our business growth and shareholder remuneration objectives.

Sector trends

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Turning to the segments, Exploration & Production (E&P) posted pro forma adjusted operating profit of EUR 3.5 billion in the second quarter, up from the comparative quarter and on a sequential basis (+26% and +6% respectively) supported, as mentioned, by production growth (+6%) to 1.71 million barrels of oil equivalent per day and efficiency actions with positive effects on earnings. Global Gas & Lng Portfolio (Ggp) operating profit amounted to EUR 0.33bn in the second quarter thanks to ongoing portfolio optimisation initiatives in both gas and LNG. Enilive's pro forma adjusted operating profit was 0.12 billion, supported by higher organic processing and marketing contribution, partly offset by lower biofuel sales margins. Plenitude's pro forma adjusted operating profit was 0.15 billion, up 12% in the second quarter, and benefited from the improved performance of the retail business and the coming on stream of new installed capacity from renewable sources and related volumes produced.

Refining and Chemistry

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Turning to Refining, pro-forma adjusted operating profit was EUR 0.1 billion in Q2, up from Q2 2023, thanks to favourable refining margins and unchanged plant utilisation rates. Versalis' chemicals business, on the other hand, posted a loss of EUR 0.22bn due to particularly unfavourable market conditions.

The 2024 Outlook

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With regard to year-end targets, Eni has decided to accelerate on a number of fronts, revising upwards the forecasts for E&P and Ggp and confirming the annual forecast and the increase in installed capacity for Enilive and Plenitude. Specifically, in E&P, annual hydrocarbon production is forecast towards the upper limit of the announced range of 1.69 - 1.71 mln boe/d assuming a Brent price forecast of $86 per barrel. For Ggp, the pro-forma adjusted operating profit forecast is revised upwards to about 1 bn. As for Enilive and Plenitude, pro-forma adjusted ebitda of about 1 billion for each segment is confirmed, despite the negative scenario impact, and renewable energy installed capacity at 4 gigawatts at the end of 2024 (+30% year-on-year).

Adjusted pro forma ebit forecast upward

On the consolidated results front, the pro-forma adjusted ebit forecast is revised upward to about EUR 15 billion, while adjusted cash flow before changes in working capital is expected to be over EUR 14 billion. On the organic capital expenditure side, then, which was forecast at around EUR 9 billion, including an upward revision of the contribution of the ongoing divestment plan, capital expenditure net of cash inflows is optimised at less than EUR 6 billion.

The buyback

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Following the approval by the last shareholders' meeting of a dividend of EUR 1 per share for the financial year 2024, which represents a 6% increase compared to 2023, the first quarterly instalment for 2024 of EUR 0.25 per share will be paid on 25 September with ex-dividend date on 23 September. Finally, on the buyback side, the 2024 management's 1.6 billion management plan is confirmed, but the buyback plan is expected to be faster than originally assumed. Moreover, in line with the distribution policy, considering the lower expected level of net debt in light of the progress in the divestment plan, Eni is ready to consider a further increase up to the upper limit of 35% of the budget adjusted operating cash flow distribution range, which corresponds to a potential increase in the value of the buyback of EUR 500 million.

Leverage

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The leverage forecast also improved, which is expected to be well below 20%, compared to the initial forecast of 20-25%. On a pro-forma basis, taking into account operations identified but not yet completed, the bar, the group explains, could reach around 15%. Also thanks to the boost provided by the divestment plan, which is proceeding at a very rapid pace.

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