Letter to the saver

Esprinet, more services to companies and governments to boost margins

Hi tech. Group pushes value-added solutions and distribution. Artificial intelligence helps product demand. The knot of inflation

class="dinomecognome_R21"> Vittorio Carlini

6' min read

6' min read

On the one hand, the focus on Net Working Capital continues. On the other, the focus is on increasing the Solutions and Services business. Above all, in the area of enterprises and government tenders. These are among the priorities of Esprinet, whose Letter to the Saver heard from top management, to revive the company's margins.

The value-added distributor It was characterised in the first quarter of 2024 - in continuity with 2023 characterised by a difficult market environment - by declining revenues and profitability. The top line of the income statement settled at EUR 926.2 million, down by 9% compared to the same period last year. The adjusted ebitda, for its part, was 14.3 million (-7%). True! The rate of decline has slowed considerably compared to the fourth quarter of 2023, where normalised EBITDA was down 24% from 12 months earlier. And yet, the slowdown is in the numbers. Nonetheless, Esprinet has indicated guidance - again for Adjusted Ebitda and for year-end - of between EUR 66 million and EUR 71 million. That is to say: higher than the figure for the end of 2023, which had been 64.1 million. In other words, the objective and forecast is - precisely - the revival of profitability.

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TRIMESTRI A CONFRONTO

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The World of Screens

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Yes, boosting profitability. But through which strategies? To answer the question, it may be useful to look at the various types of products identified by Esprinet itself in the balance sheet. Starting with Screens (e.g. tablets, PCs and smart phones) whose sales fell by 12% in the last quarter. Here the group is betting on several aspects. First and foremost, agreements with suppliers who - by financing part of the purchases - are aiming at the recovery of the market for, among others, PCs and mobile phones. Not only that. Precisely with regard to PCs and tablets, it is expected - the first accounting effects should be felt in the last quarter of the year - that the replacement of products purchased en masse during Covid will begin. More. More on the medium term, Esprinet expects the boost of new demand related to Artificial intelligence (AI) on various devices. In this context, the group is optimistic: it expects the Screens division to be still volatile in 2024, but growing in 2025.

From Screens to Devices. Here, first of all, a distinction must be made between the world of printers and consumables and that of TVs and household appliances. The former, on closer inspection, have a rather stable dynamic as a result of a twofold trend: on the one hand, the better health of the sector linked to companies and professional offices; on the other hand, the weakness of the retail sector. The latter, on the other hand, were affected by the decline in purchasing power - particularly of households - following the jump in inflation. Now, however, the ECB has loosened its grip and the environment seems to be improving. In this sense, Esprinet on 2024 forecasts volatility for Devices (greater than that of Screens) and then an upward trajectory in the coming year.

RICAVI LORDI E GEOGRAFIE

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The Own Brands

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Somewhat different is the case with regard to the so-called Proprietary Brands. On this front, it should be remembered, the group had bet not a little. The strategy - also thanks to the take-over bid on CellularLine - was to accelerate the division's expansion. The take-over, however, was unsuccessful. So, now, the plan, on the one hand, envisages progressive growth by organic means; and, on the other, considers the Proprietary Brands a more residual activity than previously envisaged. Of course! There is no shortage of initiatives such as the launch of the Muitomas brand. A lifestyle brand offering products in the home, beauty, travel and utility segments. Beyond that, the lesser relevance compared to the valuations of some time ago remains.

Last but not least, there is the Solutions and Services segment. The one, to be clear, that can be traced back to V-Valley. In the first quarter of 2024, this area was characterised by revenues up 7% and a decline in adjusted EBITDA (-2%). This is the business segment in which Esprinet is looking most strongly - and with the greatest interest - to expand. In this sense, the company is aiming to offer more and more value-added services, especially to businesses and government agencies (for the type of users see box below the graphs). An example? Advanced logistics in the case of large batches. Here Esprinet - thanks to dedicated laboratories - configures and prepares the products to be subsequently delivered by it to the customer (collecting, then, the used goods of the same). More. The group is betting on digital services. Thus it can think of solutions that facilitate companies, among other things, in submitting cyber security bids for government tenders. More: the group recently created a newco (Zeliatech) focused on the double green and digital transition. In particular, the intention is to focus, on the one hand, on the world of solar components (from panels to inverters) and, on the other, on energy efficiency. An activity, this last one, the quwill be facilitated by the AI boom and the push to build data centres which, it is known, require a great deal of effort to reduce energy costs. Given such a scenario, it is easy to understand - therefore - why Esprinet relies heavily on the Solutions and Services segment. To date this is worth about 50 per cent of the adjusted EBITDA. The expectation is that the incidence - net of a possible acceleration of PCs and tablets - will grow as early as 2024 and then increase in future years..

REDDITIVITÀ E TIPOLOGIA DI PRODOTTO

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The risk of braking

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All as easy as plugging a plug into a socket, then? The reality is more complicated. The saver, pointing out the slowdown in business in the last quarter, emphasises that - in an industry with such low Ebitda margins - the drop in revenue is a major risk. Esprinet, although aware of the situation, rejects the fear. First of all, it points out, the drop in business in the first quarter of 2024 is mainly the consequence of two opposing dynamics. That is: in Italy the business, despite the 3% drop in the reference market, rose by 3%; in Spain, on the other hand, says Esprinet, the group performed in line with the sector (-12%). However, the expectation is for a recovery in the It sector. There are already the first signs of this and, also for this reason, the group confirms the adjusted Ebitda between 66 and 71 million at the end of 2024. With regard, instead, to the theme of the revenue trend and low margins, the group - reiterating that this is a characteristic of the entire sector - emphasises that the danger would only exist if there were high fixed costs. Which - says Esprinet - it is not. Its variable costs - the company concludes - are about 95 per cent of the total turnover.

STORIA DELLA REDDITIVITÀ

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Net working capital

But it is not only a question of Services or fixed costs. Another focus is on Net Commercial Working Capital (NCCC). Here the company continues the pressure to reduce it. The accounting indicator stood at 317.1 million at the end of the first quarter of 2024. This figure is down from a year earlier (504.5 million). This is the effect of efforts to reduce inventories and defer payments to suppliers. An effort that led the cash conversion cycle (time required to turn investments into inventory and other resources into cash flow from sales) to drop to 24 days (as at 31/3/2024). A value which by the end of 2024 - is the indication - is expected to fall further.

The Roce Indicator

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However, the saver - always considering the CCCN - turns his gaze to the Roce. That is: the ratio of adjusted after-tax EBIT (numerator) to invested capital (denominator). Well: the indicator, to which the company itself attaches great importance, is falling. At the end of the last quarter it was worth - pre Ifrs 16 - 6.4%. Only a year earlier it stood at 9.6%, and at the end of the first quarter of 2022, it was 15.2%. In other words: the numbers speak for themselves and the saver turns up his nose. The company, for its part, professes optimism. The Roce is also influenced by the trend of the CCCN, which contributes accounting for the invested capital. The described decrease, it is indicated, was mainly the consequence of the previous deterioration of the Net working capital. The context, however, has changed due to the company's own efforts. Working capital is shrinking. Therefore, says Esprinet, Roce - together with the expected improvement in profitability - is expected to rise again.

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