The new Stability Pact to the test

EU countries in search of funds but few yes to patrimonial assets

Only three countries in Europe currently tax wealth as a whole. Meanwhile, all except Denmark and Malta have postponed the presentation of their multiannual public finance plans

by our correspondent Beda Romano

Il premier francese Michel Barnier. Nei giorni scorsi ha ipotizzato una patrimoniale per rimettere in ordine i conti pubblici

3' min read

3' min read

LUXEMBOURG - It is a very tortuous path that European governments have taken in recent weeks, called upon to apply the new budgetary rules in a particularly uncertain political and economic context. While many member states have decided to postpone the presentation of the multi-year public finance plan, others are reflecting on the (controversial) hypothesis of introducing wealth taxes in order to put public accounts in order.

The latter hypothesis is not only discussed in Italy. It has also emerged in France. The new premier Michel Barnier announced in recent days a contribution from the richest, with the aim of recovering up to EUR 2 billion in 2025. "The effort", so he said, should concern 65,000 households, compared to the 20 million households paying income tax. This would be an additional taxation on top of the already existing tax on the real estate fortune.

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The Tax Foundation Europe study centre explains in a recent report that only three countries in Europe currently tax wealth as a whole: Norway, Spain, and Switzerland. Other countries tax only certain assets: France (real estate), Italy (financial and real estate assets held abroad), Belgium (financial portfolios worth more than EUR 1 million) and the Netherlands (which taxes wealth, excluding the house of first residence and certain particular assets).

LE PATRIMONIALI IN EUROPA

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According to information gathered on the sidelines of a meeting of finance ministers in Luxembourg, the idea of new wealth taxes does not seem to be at the centre of the national debate in other countries. On the other hand, the situation is patchy; not everyone has accounts in disarray like France or Italy. Above all, for years now, in the eurozone, taxation has been an instrument of competition to attract new investments or new residents.

That said, the 2025 budget is difficult for many. The new Stability Pact, which was approved at the beginning of the year, stipulates that member countries should have submitted their multi-year fiscal consolidation plans by 20 September. Only two countries - Denmark and Malta - met the deadline. All others requested a postponement. The European Commission expects most of the plans to be sent to Brussels together with the budget drafts expected by 15 October.

In this regard, Economic Affairs Commissioner Paolo Gentiloni recalled that on deadlines 'flexibility has a limit'. Recently, Brussels has warned governments that in the absence of multi-year plans for the consolidation of public accounts, the EU executive will recommend to the eight countries in excessive deficit procedure (including Italy) an adjustment path over four years and not seven (with the possibility of then correcting it once the plan is sent).

One has to wonder to what extent the unstable political scene and the coming to power of extremist parties will jeopardise the application of the new rules. In Spain the government is a minority one; in Belgium and Austria the governments are engaged in current affairs; in Slovakia, France and Finland the governments are supported by extreme right-wing parties. Is there a risk of a light application of the Pact? Hard to say. In Northern Europe, budgetary orthodoxy is often a banner of extremist parties.

Asked about the possibility of the new majorities taking the pact lightly, one European official simply said: 'Since the new system is at least as complicated as the previous one, by definition there is room for interpretation'. Eric Maurice, an analyst at the European Policy Centre, adds: 'The decision to postpone the presentation of public finance plans might just be a way of signalling to Brussels that they want to keep room for manoeuvre in the discussion'.

Returning to possible new wealth taxes, economic doctrine itself has ambivalent positions on the issue. According to a recent report prepared by the European Parliament's study centre, a wealth tax could be helpful in stimulating investment and reducing inequalities. At the same time, it could in fact prove to be a double taxation, cause capital flight and trigger new forms of tax evasion.


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