From the Financial Times

Fed, BlackRock's Rick Rieder emerges as candidate to succeed Powell

Rieder's shares on the forecasting site Polymarket jumped from 6% at the beginning of the week to 47% on Friday afternoon

Rick Rieder. (Reuters)

2' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

2' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

The news a few days ago was that US President Donald Trump had put the brakes on Kevin Hassett, his chief economic adviser, as one of the leading candidates for next Federal Reserve chairman to replace Jerome Powell. The race reopened. Now a strong new candidate is emerging, according to the forecasting site Polymarket relaunched by the Financial Times. The rising candidate would be Rick Rieder, manager of BlackRock.

Rieder's shares on the site jumped from 6% at the start of the week to 47% on Friday afternoon, based on bets that the US president will back a candidate with close Wall Street ties to replace Powell when his term ends in May. This sudden jump puts Rieder in first place on Polymarket.

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Powell (Fed): Indagini contro di me pretesto, pressioni da Trump sui tassi

Trump, who has repeatedly clashed with Powell, said this week that he would announce his choice "in the not too distant future". The rise of Rieder's odds on the betting markets marks the latest twist in a months-long saga over who the US president will choose as Fed chairman.

Treasury Department officials recently polled major investors about Rieder and former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh, considered another strong contender for the post.

The Treasury maintains regular contact with market participants, butquestions about Rieder have become more pointed recently, sources added. The Treasury did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

Rieder, who as Chief Investment Officer, supervises BlackRock's $2.4 trillion bond strategies, is a well-known veteran of the markets. He has worked at the asset management firm since BlackRock acquired its R3 Capital Partners company in 2009. Previously, he spent two decades at Lehman Brothers.

Trump attacca il capo della Federal Reserve Jerome Powell

White House economic adviser Hassett was long considered the clear favourite to win Trump's endorsement. But his odds have plummeted in recent weeks.

Several Republican senators have publicly expressed concern about the central bank's independence under Trump and privately wondered whether Hassett in particular would be too willing to bend to the president's whims. The Senate Banking Committee, where Republicans have a slim 13 to 11 majority, must hold confirmation hearings and vote on the president's choice before it can be considered by the full Senate.

Warsh, who fought for central bank reform after his term as Fed governor ended in 2011, was previously in pole position. His odds on Polymarket were 35% on Friday afternoon, down from 64% at the start of the week.

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