European Rules

Final Eurocamera green light for Stability Pact, Italian parties abstain. The intervention of Paolo Gentiloni

The directives for Europe's new economic governance were approved with 359 votes in favour, 166 against and 61 abstentions

by Beda Romano

3' min read

3' min read

FROM OUR CORRESPONDENT
BRUSSELS - MEPs approved today, Tuesday 23 April, the long-standing reform of the Stability and Growth Pact, after two years of heated negotiations among member countries and then between Parliament and Council. The text introduces new margins of flexibility compared to the previous structure. The attempt is to combine fiscal consolidation with new reforms and investments. One wonders, however, whether the reform will meet the EU's huge investment needs.

In today's vote, three in all, the Italian parties abstained, both those in the governing majority and those in opposition. Last December, when the Council approved its negotiating position, Finance Minister Giancarlo Giorgetti gave his approval, calling the new rules 'more realistic' (see Il Sole/24 Ore of 21 December 2023). The Council is expected to give its final go-ahead next Monday.

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Debt Reduction Plans

In fact, governments will have to present a medium-term debt reduction plan of four to seven years by 20 September. The trajectory will then be negotiated with Brussels. The benchmark will be public spending, rather than the deficit. However, the ceilings of 3% and 60% of GDP for deficit and debt remain in place. There are minimum consolidation levels to be introduced when a country is in excessive deficit.

The objectives

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In fact, the text stipulates that countries with a debt exceeding 90% of GDP are subject to an average debt reduction of 1% per year. The provision is less restrictive than the current requirement - never applied - according to which each country must reduce its debt above 60% of GDP by 1/20 per year (see Il Sole/24 Ore of 11 February). On a transitional basis between 2025 and 2027, mitigating circumstances, such as the cost of debt servicing, will allow the adjustment burden to be limited.

The safeguard

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At the same time, the text of the new Stability and Growth Pact provides for a controversial safeguard, which is to provide a safety margin below the 3% of GDP deficit reference value of the treaty, in order to create budgetary reserves. The margin will be 1.5 per cent of GDP. The aim is to ensure that in the event of an economic shock a country can have room for manoeuvre on the public spending side without having to exceed the deficit ceiling.

Gentiloni: a good compromise

Speaking yesterday in Strasbourg, Economic Affairs Commissioner Paolo Gentiloni recalled some particularities of a reform that he called a "good compromise". He noted "the exclusion from the net expenditure indicator of national co-financing in Union programmes" (amounting to EUR 29 billion, according to research by the Green parliamentary group). He also emphasised that the new measure 'pays more attention to social aspects'.

The reform provoked mixed reactions. It won the favour of the Populars, the Socialists and the Liberals (minus a few francophiles). Negative were the Greens, the radical left, and the nationalist right. This agreement 'will require countries to reduce their debt quickly and in a way that is economically and socially unsustainable: it will mark a return to austerity', wrote the Belgian, French, Italian and Spanish trade unions in a letter published before the vote.

The investment node

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On this front, many question whether the space for new public investments will really be sufficient in view of the huge costs expected in the digital, climate and energy sectors. The Commission estimates a gap of EUR 450 billion per year. Because it is limited compared to the previous set-up, the reform of the Stability Pact should prove to be a new prick in the side of the Twenty-Seven to pursue more market integration in order to fully exploit private savings.

Three texts were presented in the chamber. The first on the preventive arm got 367 yes, 161 no, and 69 abstentions. The one on the corrective arm had 368 yes, 166 no, and 64 abstentions. Finally, a third text had 359 yes, 166 no, and 61 abstentions. As mentioned, most Italian MEPs abstained or voted against. In the vote on the preventive arm in favour were Lara Comi (Forza Italia) and Herbert Dorfmann (Svp) for the Popular Group, Marco Zullo and Sandro Gozi among the Liberals.

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