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Flat tax payers, benefits up to 22,000 euro for those who do not leave the flat tax system

Between January and March, 74 per cent of new personal VAT numbers chose the flat rate. Few self-employed come close to the 85,000 euro limit

class="conParagraph_R21">by Dario Aquaro and Cristiano Dell'Oste

(Adobe Stock)

4' min read

4' min read

For the Italian tax authorities, it is a small record: in the first three months of the year 74% of natural persons who opened a VAT number chose the Flat Tax Regime. Flat tax at 15% (or 5% for new businesses), no VAT and flat-rate costs: with these ingredients, the success of the flat tax is no surprise. Especially for those taking their first steps as free professionals or entrepreneurs (51% of new openings come from under-35s, according to the Mef Observatory).

The advantages compared to ordinary taxation are obvious. Let us take, for example, an IT technician with an income equal to the average income declared in 2024 in his sector: starting from remuneration of 35,000 euro, with the flat-rate scheme he has a net of 23,286 euro, after deducting tax and contributions; with ordinary taxation he sees his income shrink by almost 6,000 euro (assuming actual costs of around 4,000 euro and 380 euro tax deductions).

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Partite Iva, al via il concordato per il biennio 2025-2026: come aderire e a chi conviene

The ceiling to growth

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The convenience of the flat tax clearly grows along with the turnover up to the EUR 85,000 revenue and fee ceiling, beyond which the flat rate cannot be applied. And herein arises one of the problems: who would ever want to issue an invoice that takes him over the 85,000 euro mark, knowing that from the following year he will be out of the flat rate? Let's leave aside the case of those who exceed EUR 100,000 and immediately leave the regime, because it is very rare and linked to exceptional circumstances. For an IT technician like the one in the previous example, going from 85 thousand euro in lump sum remuneration to 86 thousand in ordinary taxation means reducing the net by almost 23 thousand euro.

Granted that calculations must be made on a case-by-case basis, in the world of professionals the figures do not change decisively if one examines other typical figures (see graphic below). A psychologist would see his net decrease by around 22 thousand euros and a lawyer by 19 thousand. A retailer and a bricklayer, on the other hand, would see a less pronounced contraction - in the order of 7 thousand euro - because they have different coefficients for determining income and usually incur higher costs.

It is in this drop in the 'net' that one sees the brake on growth of which the lump-sum regime has often been accused. The issue had already arisen years ago with the old minima (which were designed for initial or marginal activities and had a limit of EUR 30,000). And it would also arise if the current flat-rate threshold were to be increased, as requested in vain by the League in the last budget session. The heart of the matter is how to accompany the development and aggregation of individuals, perhaps with a smooth transition to ordinary taxation or incentives for those operating in organised forms.

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Light on the tax regime

Those who want to dismantle the criticism of the growth brake point out that the bulk of flat-rate taxpayers are far from the 85,000 euro mark. And in fact the latest Finance Department figures - published on 27 May - say that theaverage declared income in 2024 is 17,092 euro. To which, even with the lowest coefficient, corresponds income of at most around 42 thousand euro. Moreover, these are figures that could conceal more or less marked under-invoicing. And on this front the Inland Revenue has also turned a spotlight.

Specific analyses would then be needed to understand how many lump sum payers are ex-employees operating under a mono-committance regime or ex-partners who have split up. Situations that are not prohibited, if genuine, but which testify to the strength of the lump sum in shaping economic reality.

A radical critique of the essence of the regime is   newly arrived in recent days from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), which suggested eliminating the 'favourable flat tax' on the incomes of the self-employed: a measure that would improve 'fairness and avoid tax revenue losses'.

It is a recommendation that, with the current political majority, will fall on deaf ears. Proof of this is that the latest manoeuvre has raised the limit of employee or pension income for 2025 from 30,000 to 35,000 euro to remain in the lump sum. And it introduced a 50% rebate on contributions for new artisans and traders.

Mass flat tax (but without concordat)

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But touching the flat tax would also be complicated for different majorities. In the 2024 tax returns, the number of adherents exceeded 1.9 million: more than 110 thousand over 2023. And in the 15 months up to 31 March - not yet photographed by the declarations - 335 thousand were added among the new VAT numbers. Even considering the turn over, this is a massive flat tax. Which for many taxpayers it is now inconceivable to give up.

As for the unfairness of the flat rate - denounced by the IMF - it is difficult to explain to an international observer why a lawyer with 65,000 euro in flat tax fees has a net income of almost 15,000 euro higher than a colleague with 95,000 euro in ordinary fees (see examples again). But on theaverage income levels the tax saving from flat tax is almost always in the order of 2-5 thousand euro and has enabled the self-employed - often exposed to client insolvency and with little bargaining power with clients - to defend themselves in a time of crisis.

One experiment that will not be repeated for the forfeitters is the tax concordat. Applied only for 2024 with adhesions by October, it favoured those who already knew they had rising revenues (an almost consumptive, rather than preventive, concordat). The corrective decree approved last Wednesday in the Council of Ministers officiallyrepealed it from 2025.


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