A third quarter of recovery for the Italian leather industry
The period ended with a decline of 1.4%, which was smaller than in previous quarters. We look forward to the EU-Mercosur agreement, which could open up new and interesting markets
Signs of recovery for the Italian leather industry in the third quarter of the year: according to data from Confindustria Accessori Moda, the federation representing the sectors of the Italian leather supply chain, the period under review closed with a 1.4% drop, a more contained descent compared to the -4.3% drop in the second quarter and the -6.4% drop in the first three months of the year. It is therefore estimated that 2025 will close with a decline of 3.2%, which would bring the sector's turnover to just over Euro 29 billion. 2024 closed with a sector turnover of just over Euro 30 billion (Euro 2.8 billion less than in 2023, a decline of 8.6%).
With regard to the opinion on the trend of the volumes produced in the first 9 months of the year, the Rapid Conjunctural Survey of the Study Centre of Confindustria Fashion Accessories shows an improvement with respect to the difficulties of the current moment: in fact, compared to the first quarter (when the same question was asked), the percentage of negative indications - then 64% - has dropped to 50%, signalling an increase in production rhythms. The dynamics are confirmed by the ISTAT index of industrial production, corrected for calendar effects, which for the Ateco CB 15 heading 'Manufacture of leather and similar articles' shows a drop of 11.8% in the first nine months, less severe than in the first quarter of 2025 (-19.8%) and in the first half of the year (-13.2%).
Export, historically a key driver for companies in the supply chain, posted a value of EUR 16 billion in the first 8 months of 2025, slightly lower (-0.9%) than in pre-pandemic 2019, but down 4.1% compared to the same period in 2024. The negative trend affected, albeit with varying degrees of intensity, almost all sectors of the industry: only fur is bucking the trend, with +9% on January-August 2024.
The analysis bygeographical macro-area of destination shows a slight increase in exports to Europe (+0.4% on January-August 2024), with opposing dynamics for France (-2.7%) and Germany (+9.5%). Significant signs of growth in the top 15 for the Arab Emirates (+21.3%) and Turkey (+15.7%). On the other hand, there was a decrease (-7.5%) for non-EU outlets: the Far East fell, with -25.1% for China, -10% for Japan and -13.4% for South Korea. The USA held up, at least in value (+2.6%).
As for Russia and Ukraine, more than three and a half years after the start of the conflict, the trends diverge, with Russia seeing a slowdown in 2025 (-17.6%) and Ukraine instead continuing on a recovery path, with an increase of 1.8%, still far from pre-conflict levels, which highlights the repercussions of the war on trade.

