The estimate

Fuel: here’s how much the cut in excise duty on diesel and petrol could be worth

The estimates compiled by Codacons and the situation at petrol stations monitored by Staffetta Quotidiana

Aumento dei prezzi del carburante. In 3 settimane il prezzo medio del gasolio è salito di 27,9 centesimi di euro sula rete ordinaria, con una impennata che sfiora il +15%, e di 26 centesimi in autostrada, mentre la benzina è rincarata di 16,5 centesimi", sottolinea il Codacons, parlando di "aumenti che portano un pieno di gasolio a costare 14 euro in più rispetto al 3 luglio scorso (+13,95 euro per la precisione), quando è scaduto il taglio delle accise (+13 euro in autostrada), mentre un pieno di benzina costa 8,25 euro in più"  - Venerdì, 24 Luglio , 2026. News  (Photo by Marco Alpozzi/Lapresse) LAPRESSE

4' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

4' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

A full tank of diesel now costs 15 euros more than at the start of July. This is according to Codacons, which has released figures on the impact of the government’s proposed excise duty cuts on household budgets. Since 3 July, when the latest excise duty cut expired, the average price of diesel has risen by 30.3 euro cents at ordinary petrol stations, a surge of +16 per cent, and by 28.7 euro cents on motorways, whilst petrol has risen by 17.9 euro cents.

These increases mean that a full tank of diesel now costs 15.15 euros more than on 3 July (+14.35 euros on the motorway), whilst a full tank of petrol costs 8.95 euros more – according to Codacons’ calculations. The association also says it is in favour of a differentiated cut in excise duties between diesel and petrol, a measure that is expected to be approved at today’s Cabinet meeting. The figures show that diesel prices have risen significantly more than petrol, penalising owners of diesel-powered cars – explains Codacons.

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Discount scenarios

According to our calculations, a possible cut in excise duty of 8 euro cents per litre, taking VAT into account, would result in a saving of just 4.88 euros on a full tank and, given current prices at the pump, would bring the cost of diesel down to 2.087 euros per litre at standard service stations. If the reduction were 10 cents, the saving on a full tank would rise to 6.1 euros (with the price of diesel falling to 2.063 euros per litre), whilst in the event of a 15-cent excise duty cut – again, taking VAT into account – the saving would rise to €9.15 per full tank (with the average price of diesel standing at €2.002 per litre). Finally, if the government were to opt for a 24-cent reduction, as has been reported in recent hours, a full tank would cost €14.64 less, with the average price of diesel falling to €1.892 per litre, provided, of course, that the reduction is passed on in full to the price at the pump – concludes Codacons.

As well as being the most expensive, diesel is also the most widely used fuel. As reported in recent days, on an average day in Italia just under 110 million litres are consumed, and with 76.8 million litres, diesel accounts for around 70 per cent of purchases. At this rate, the price rises seen so far in July amount to an additional cost at the pump of around 28.4 million per day, or 880 million per month. A somewhat positive note may come from August’s consumption figures, which – despite the multicoloured stickers used to gauge traffic intensity on holiday routes – are on average lower than in other months due to the summer break in manufacturing and restrictions on lorry traffic. The cost of the Middle East crisis to motorists’ wallets is expected to be around 800 million next month, compared with prices at the start of July.

The Government will try to keep prices below the symbolic threshold of two euros per litre.

Price dynamics

Fuel prices at the pump rose sharply until Saturday, before gradually stabilising between yesterday and today, thanks to the sharp fall in prices recorded on Friday following signs of a truce in the Middle East. Petrol exceeded €1.98, its highest level since 5 October 2023, whilst diesel reached €2.18, its highest since 18 March 2022, in the wake of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, very close to the all-time high of €2.229 reached on 17 March 2022, which led the Draghi government to cut excise duties.

This morning, 27 July, the average price of self-service fuel across the national road network stands at €1.982 per litre for petrol (+14 thousandths compared with Friday), €2.185 per litre for diesel (+24), €0.743 per litre for LPG (down 1) and €1.603 per kg for natural gas (up 8). On the motorway network, the average self-service price is €2.071 per litre for petrol (up 12), €2.255 per litre for diesel (+27), €0.877 per litre for LPG (-2) and €1.606 per kg for natural gas (+10).

According to the regular survey by Staffetta Quotidiana, Q8 has increased its recommended petrol prices by one cent per litre and its diesel prices by two cents. For Tamoil, the increase is +2 cents on petrol and +3 cents on diesel. Looking at the details by sales channel and brand, based on data recorded at 8 am yesterday morning – taking into account all of the approximately 20,000 outlets that report prices to the Price Observatory of the Ministry of Enterprise and Made in Italy (covering both local roads and motorways) – these are the average prices calculated by La Staffetta: self-service petrol at 1.984 euro/litre (oil companies 1.988, independent stations 1.975), self-service diesel at 2.186 euro/litre (oil companies 2.186, independent stations 2.1865). Served petrol at 2.118 euros per litre (oil companies 2.157, independent stations 2.045), served diesel at 2.321 euros per litre (oil companies 2.355, independent stations 2.257). LPG at 0.752 euros per litre (petrol station chains 0.762, independent pumps 0.743), CNG at 1.601 euros/kg (petrol station chains 1.590, independent pumps 1.609), LNG at 1.445 euros/kg (petrol station chains 1.447 euros/kg, independent stations 1.444 euros/kg). For self-service petrol, Eni is at 1.980 euros/litre (2.187 for served); IP at 1.994 (2.170 with service); Q8 at 1.990 (2.145 with service); Tamoil at 1.986 (2.062 with service); for self-service diesel, Eni is at 2.157 (2.365 with service); IP at 2.195 (2.361 served); Q8 at 2.198 (2.359 served) and Tamoil at 2.190 (2.269 served).

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