Macroeconomics

Germany, orders grow (+1.5%) more than estimated (+0.3%), driven by transport and military equipment

A recovery is considered essential to overcome the weakness that has led to the contraction of gross domestic product in 2023 and 2024

epa12569347 Drone di fabbricazione tedesca presentato alla fiera Spectra Challenge a Erding (Baviera), in Germania, il 4 dicembre 2025.  EPA/ANNA SZILAGYI

2' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

2' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

German factory orders increased more than analysts' forecasts in October: in the month they grew by 1.5% on a monthly basis, against an average estimate of 0.3%. In September, the index was up a net 2%. The annual index remains negative: -0.7%.

Today's Bundestag vote on the pension reform package

A vote on the pension reform package proposed by the coalition supporting Chancellor Friedrich Merz's government between Cdu/Csu and Spd is expected in the Bundestag today. The result of the vote is expected to be announced after 1pm this afternoon. The package consists of three pieces of legislation, one of which remains controversial even within the ranks of the coalition.

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In particular, the youngest wing of the Conservatives anticipated voting against, denouncing the unsustainable future costs, with an addition of 100 billion euros in pension costs. But even in this case, the reform should pass thanks to the decision of the La Sinistra party to abstain from the vote (abstentions do not count for the calculation of the simple majority required).

German factory orders increase by 87% in transport equipment

German factory orders rose sharply in October, reinforcing the outlook that Europe's largest economy will grow in the final quarter of the year.

The improvement was driven by large-scale orders - in particular an 87% increase in the transport category, which includesairplanes, ships, trains and military vehicles, said the statistics office.

A recovery is seen as crucial to overcome the weakness that led to the contraction of the gross domestic product in 2023 and 2024. Germany's problems stem from tighter tariffs imposed by the US, increasing competition from China, and long-standing problems such as excessive bureaucracy.

GDP remained stagnant in the third quarter and the country narrowly avoided recession. The Bundesbank and most other analysts expect output to expand again in the last three months of the year, with the economy gaining momentum due to increased government spending and interest rate cuts by the European Central Bank.

However, according to Peter Leibinger, president of the influential business lobby BDI, manufacturers of all goods, from cars to steel to chemicals, are facing 'a dramatic low point' as the end of the year approaches. "The economy is in freefall, but the government is not responding strongly enough," he warned this week.

France: +0.2% industrial production in October, +1.7% year-on-year

Industrial production in France grew by 0.2 per cent month-on-month in October. This was reported by the national statistics institute Insee. On a trend basis, the increase was 1.7 per cent. Manufacturing production was down 0.1 per cent month-on-month and up 1.5 per cent year-on-year.

Spain: +1.2% year-on-year

Spain's seasonally and calendar-adjusted industrial production increased by 1.2% in October compared to the same month a year earlier, according to official data from the country's national statistics institute (INE) released today.

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