Retail

Grocery in Europe grows thanks to M&A operations

According to Savills, investments in the sector exceeded 6 billion, up 16% and marking the first increase since 2020. But in Italia, unlike other markets, there is a lack of quality assets in which to invest and so the market is not very liquid

by Laura Cavestri

L’interno di un supermercato

2' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

2' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

Investments in the European grocery sector exceeded EUR 6 billion, up 16% and marking the first increase since 2020, driven by a 35% growth in portfolio volumes. At the same time, M&A activity in the sector grew by around 30% since 2020, highlighting how retailers are reacting to a prolonged profitability squeeze, fierce price competition and the need to strengthen their balance sheets.

This is captured in Savills' latest report on investments in this specific retail segment. Large-scale operations, strategic acquisitions and cross-border divestments have helped reshape an increasingly concentrated market. There was also strong growth in sale and leaseback transactions, which accounted for almost 21% of total investments in grocery - the highest level in 13 years - confirming operators' need to generate liquidity and strengthen their presence in core markets.

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Over the past five years, many operators have absorbed higher levels of inflation than is typical of an economic cycle, with significant impacts on margins. This scenario, coupled with intensified competition and changing retail formats, has prompted retailers to review their strategies: from network diversification, to the development of new strategies and the search for operational efficiencies.

Discounters continue to represent the main transformational force in the sector. Over the past ten years, retailers in this segment have recorded an average annual revenue growth (CAGR) of 5.2 per cent, significantly outperforming traditional supermarkets (+3.2 per cent). Their expansion in urban areas is redefining the competitive dynamics at European level.

francesca Cattagni, head of retail agency, explained: "A strategic rationalisation of networks based on consumption and new trends is underway, with growth in proximity supermarkets and discounters testing reduced and neighbourhood formats. Consumers are more attentive to quality, health and sustainability, but also to price, with less brand loyalty in favour of better value for money and consumer trends".

The report shows that returns remained stable in 2025, with average returns of prime supermarkets at 5.8 per cent. Although investment activity has increased, much of the volume has been concentrated in multi-asset transactions, limiting signs of sharper price corrections. As liquidity widens, Savills expects yields to compress over the next 12 months, supported by renewed interest in international capital, particularly from US investors active in income products and long-term contracts.

"The resilience of cash flows and the solidity of the major retail operators," added Marco Montosi, head of investment, "confirm the grocery as one of the most defensive asset classes in Italia as well, and one that is sought after by investors looking for long-term stability. However, unlike other European markets, the Italia context is characterised by a marked scarcity of investable product, against a high interest in real estate fundamentals and the industrial quality of tenants. The limited availability of prime assets, often held in core portfolios and rarely subject to divestment, narrows the perimeter of opportunities and accentuates competition among institutional capital. In this scenario, the few transactions on grocery portfolios and the rationalisation processes of the distribution networks take on a strategic role, limiting an offer that could be broader'.

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