Beverage

Heineken slips on Chinese beer devaluation

Group raises guidance for year-end, but falls short of expectations in the first half of the year

Photo by Robin Utrecht/ABACAPRESS.COM

3' min read

3' min read

Heineken failed to meet analysts' expectations for operating profit (+12.5% versus an expected +13.2%) in the first half of the year and was forced to take a heavy write-down for its Chinese subsidiary, which led to a loss; despite this, however, it raised its profit growth target for the end of the year. Heineken ended the first half of the year with revenues increasing by 2.2% to EUR 17.82 billion. Net sales were EUR 14.8 billion, an organic increase of 6%, mainly due to growth in Nigeria, Mexico, Brazil, Vietnam and India. Due to depreciation, the net loss was EUR 95 million.

Heineken posted an EUR 874 million writedown as the valuation of its stake in China's largest brewer fell as consumer spending in that key market and in the US came under pressure. At the opening of trading on the Amsterdam Stock Exchange, the brewer's shares lost more than 7%.

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Heineken acquired a 40% stake in the Hong Kong-listed parent company of China Resources Beer, for $3.1 billion in 2018. The deal gave Heineken a partner with local distribution reach to navigate the world's largest beer market. In turn, it allowed the Chinese company to expand into the premium beer segment.

At the time of the investment, China's consumer market was still growing, but spending struggled to recover after the pandemic blockades and the real estate crisis. The crisis put a strain on European companies in a number of sectors.

However, the world's second-largest brewer, whose brands include Tiger and Sol, said that a solid performance across its business during the first half of the year, as well as plans to increase investment, gave it the confidence to raise its profit forecast for the full year.

It now expects to achieve organic growth in operating profit of between 4% and 8% in 2024, compared to the previous forecast of low to high-single digit growth.

"We are overall very satisfied," said Heineken's CEO and President Dolf van den Brink, adding that the company has planned investments in key markets and brands and expects to cultivate further growth in volumes and revenues.

Investors have been looking forward to Heineken updating its guidance since it disappointed the market in February by setting a wide-ranging outlook for earnings growth.

Some investors felt that Heineken was overly cautious at a time when its rivals were optimistic and there was widespread optimism about the brewers' prospects.

Heineken's new guidance remains below the 8.2% growth currently expected by analysts.

CFO Harold van den Broek said that this reflected a weak June and July in Europe, with bad weather affecting Heineken's performance, and with expected benefits from sporting events failing to materialise.

Heineken wrote down the value of its 40% stake in China Resources Beer, resulting in a net loss, although van den Broek said the write-down was only related to the value of the company's share price and not to the quarterly performance, which had been good.

The shares of many Chinese companies have been hit by concerns about weak consumer demand. Should the situation reverse, Heineken could increase its value again, executives said.

For 2024, the company revises its estimate for organic net profit growth so that it 'is more in line with the expected growth in operating profit'.

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