The Manager's Word

'Here are the companies to choose between financiers and industrialists'

From private equity fund Kkr to Kla Corporation, Uber and Arthur J. Gallagher

3' min read

3' min read

There may be volatility in the markets during the course of the year, but there are segments of the US market, such as healthcare and industrials, that are poised for a recovery in the second half of this year. This is explained by Karina Funk, manager of Brown Advisory.

How do you interpret the bullish trend in the US market? Will it continue?

The trend was not unique. The market for large cap stocks, represented by the Russell 1000 Growth index, showed several trends, including increasing concentration, extreme tightness and persistent short-term volatility. Investors have shown confidence in two secular themes: generative Ia and Glp-1 inhibitors. Remarkably, the ten largest companies in the index (including Microsoft, Nvidia, Amazon, Google and Eli Lilly) account for 54% of its weight and have contributed 84% of returns in the first four months of this year. This level of concentration has not been seen since the internet bubble of the 1990s.

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IL TITOLO IN BORSA

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And now?

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Given ongoing geopolitical conflicts, supply chain issues, inflation, rate uncertainty and elections, volatility is likely to persist throughout the year.

Between the US and Europe, where is the best place to be right now?

While European equities look discounted relative to their US counterparts and historical valuations, the strength of the economy and leadership in growth sectors support continued growth in US equities. Beyond secular trends, we believe there are large segments of the US market, such as healthcare and industrials, that look poised for a rebound in the second half of this year.

I COMPARABLES

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Gold has been breaking record after record in recent times. What are its ratings?

Investors tend to turn to gold for defensive purposes in periods of uncertainty such as the current one. Fixed income, cash and cash equivalents, gold and other assets can play a role in a diversified asset allocation, but should also be balanced by a healthy exposure to equities and other assets that have the potential to generate alpha.

How can rising geopolitical tensions change market dynamics?

Geopolitical tensions create uncertainty. In capital markets, uncertainty manifests itself as volatility, during which markets tend to trade inefficiently, which can create opportunities. As bottom-up managers with a long-term horizon, we do not base our thesis on macroeconomic or geopolitical dynamics, nor do we try to predict the direction or magnitude of these forces, but we remain active during these periods to take advantage of short-term price dislocations that can present interesting trading opportunities.

IL CONFRONTO

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How do you manage volatility?

Short-term volatility can present interesting trading opportunities when stocks trade above or below our price targets for reasons that have nothing to do with the fundamentals and long-term growth potential of a company. This applies both to new ideas and to names we already own in our portfolio.

Which areas do you prefer?

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We do not have a sectoral approach. We actively look for interesting stocks across the entire equity market, which leads to over- or underweights that may differ from other growth managers. While most managers favour IT and communication services, our strategy underweighs these two sectors, while we overweight financials, industrials and healthcare. This is not because we like or dislike these sectors, but only because of where we find the best companies.

And which companies do you find most interesting and why?

Kkr, a private equity firm and alternative asset manager, has a solid business model with recurring revenues, attractive margins and robust free cash flow. Its unique strategy is to invest alongside outside investors using its balance sheet and track record. Kla Corporation plays a key role in semiconductor manufacturing. Their solutions improve quality and yield by inspecting, testing and measuring circuits on smaller substrates. This sustainable business advantage reduces costs and waste and contributes to the company's growth rate. Uber has a dominant position in the mobility market, coupled with growth potential in the delivery and transportation sectors. Brand reinforcement and proprietary data collection create opportunities for advertising partnerships and logistics optimisation. Arthur J. Gallagher, a global insurance brokerage and risk management company, its mission-critical value proposition supports businesses in the mid-market and technical sophistication enables effective competition against smaller brokers. Airbnb: a travel platform, it connects travellers with short-term accommodation hosts. Their marketplace is beneficial for both homeowners and travellers have access to cheap and personalised options. The sustainable tourism model also has measurable environmental benefits.

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