Residential market

Houses, demand to buy grows but rental demand falls

According to the Immobiliare.it Insights analysis, the growth in rents (+6 per cent) penalises potential tenants. Sales prices also rise, but more moderately (+2.6 per cent)

4' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

4' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

In the third quarter of 2025 (July-September), the dynamics that the real estate market has shown in the last period are confirmed: in terms of demand pressure, the rental sector shows a contraction, while the sales sector reaffirms the encouraging signs that have been evident since the second half of last year. Compared to the same three months of 2024, demand pressure for houses for sale has in fact increased by 12.4 per cent, while that for rentals has decreased by 16.5 per cent.

These are some of the findings from the Quarterly Observatory of the Residential Market conducted by Immobiliare.it Insights.

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The supply of properties for sale contracted compared to 12 months ago (-1.3 per cent), while the supply of properties for rent grew by 29.3 per cent.
Looking at prices, there was growth in both sectors during the quarter, but rents increased by more than twice as much as sales: the former rose by 6 per cent, the latter by 2.6 per cent. Currently, an average of EUR 2,114 per square metre is needed to buy a property in the country, while renting requires an average of EUR 14.3 per square metre.

"Now almost at the end of the year, we can draw up an initial balance sheet of how the real estate market has moved in this 2025," explained Paolo Giabardo, general manager of Immobiliare.it. "The trend is now clear: purchases and sales have restarted with greater momentum, supported by renewed confidence on the part of buyers, slightly improved credit conditions and greater general economic stability. These are important signs, indicating a gradual but solid recovery after a period characterised by uncertainty and expectations. On the contrary, the rental market is going through a slowdown, marking a first setback after the boom recorded in the post-pandemic years. Market tensions are being felt, resulting from an increase in rents more than proportional to the increase in wages, especially in the big cities.

Letting: trends in the various macro-areas of the country

Driving up rental prices is above all the Centre, which in the third quarter of this year recorded an increase of more than 10 per cent compared to 12 months ago. The increases in the North-West (+4.6 per cent) and the Islands (+4.2 per cent) were more moderate compared to the national average. The Centre is also the area in which demand pressure fell the most in the period considered (-19.6 per cent), while the smallest decrease occurred once again in the Islands (-6.9 per cent).

Significant differences in the behaviour of rental prices and demand are also noticeable between large and small towns: demand pressure drops much more dramatically in the former (-26.4 per cent) than in the latter (-8.8 per cent). However, prices have risen more in small towns (+5 per cent) than in large ones (+3.7 per cent).

Supply, on the other hand, rose everywhere by double digits during the period, with increases of almost 40 per cent in large cities and more than 20 per cent in small ones. Among the different macro-areas of the Peninsula, the North-East is the one where the stock has increased the most in the last year (+36.6 per cent).

L’AFFITTO

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Sales: trends in the various macro-areas of the country

Turning to sales, the discourse is the opposite of that for rents. In fact, demand pressure has increased everywhere in the third quarter of the year, with increases always above +10%. The Islands even reached +15.3%, while the most contained rise occurred in the North-East (+10.8%).
It is precisely this last area, however, in which prices have grown the most in 12 months, +4.6%. On the contrary, one notes an almost absolute stability both in the South (+0.9%) and in the Islands (+0.7%).

Unlike in the case of rentals, large cities and small towns behave similarly in terms of demand in sales, with increases in both cases of around +12.5 per cent. Prices, however, only rose much more in the former case (+5 per cent) than in the latter (+2.1 per cent).
In terms of supply, the South and the Islands diverged from the national downward trend, with +4 per cent and +1.2 per cent respectively. Instead, very similar decreases, between -2 per cent and -3 per cent, were seen in the North-West, North-East and Centre.

L’ACQUISTO

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The current situation in regions and cities

In terms of rents, Valle d'Aosta is still the most expensive region to rent a house in Italy, with rents that have broken through the ceiling of 22 euros per square metre following an increase of 14.1 per cent in the last year. In second place is Lombardy (18.7 euros per square metre on average). Basilicata, on the other hand, remains the cheapest region in absolute terms (7.1 euros per square metre) and rents are down sharply compared to the third quarter of 2024 (-9.4 per cent).

Among the regional capitals, Milan remains unbeatable (22.5 euro per square metre), and is also the most expensive city on the Peninsula, but there has been no change over the past year (+0.1 per cent). Florence, on the other hand, which is in second place with 21.3 euro per square metre, continues to rise (+5.3 per cent over the period). Rome remains third (18.2 euro per square metre, up 11.2 per cent over the quarter) ahead of Bologna (17.1 euro per square metre).

In terms of buying and selling, on the other hand, Trentino-Alto Adige still holds the record as the most expensive region to buy a property, with an average of €3,573 per square metre (+3.8% in 12 months), while Calabria remains the cheapest, at €953 per square metre. Milan also leads the league table in terms of sales prices (€5,564 per square metre on average), up 2.3% compared to 12 months ago. Florence is second here too (€4,669 per square metre, up 9% in a year), while Bologna is just ahead of Rome (€3,685 per square metre compared to €3,641 per square metre).

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