A word from the operator: Kraneshares

‘I like Schaeffler – it focuses on precision engineering’

“Other companies of interest include Magna International, Monolithic Power Systems, TE Connectivity and Symbotic”

Derek Yan, Senior Investment Strategist di KraneShares.

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

Artificial intelligence remains one of the main drivers of the equity markets, but the focus is shifting from digital infrastructure to real-world applications. It is here – in robotics, automation and components – that, according to Derek Yan, senior investment strategist at KraneShares, the most interesting opportunities for investors are emerging.

Global stock markets continue to be driven by AI-fuelled euphoria. Is this a structural paradigm shift, or is there a risk of a correction?

We believe that AI represents a structural paradigm shift, but this does not eliminate the risk of corrections. The first phase centred on digital AI: models, cloud infrastructure and semiconductors. The next phase concerns physical AI, with machines capable of sensing, moving and working in the real world. Valuations can become excessive when expectations outpace earnings, so it is normal to see volatility. But the long-term question is not whether AI is important or not; rather, it is which parts of the value chain will succeed in converting the adoption of this technology into sustainable revenues and margins.

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I COMPARABLES

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What message do the current quarterly results convey?

Earnings figures show that demand for AI is extending beyond a small group of companies. Cloud service providers, chip manufacturers, data centre providers, software platforms and industrial automation firms all cite AI as a genuine driver of investment. Investors are becoming more selective. Companies must demonstrate not only exposure to AI, but also growth in orders, pricing power, operational leverage or clear monetisation. This is a healthy sign, as it encourages the market to focus on fundamentals.

Volatility in the semiconductor sector has reignited concerns about demand for AI and the sustainability of Big Tech’s capital expenditure. Is the market worried about a delay in AI’s monetisation, or is this simply normal profit-taking?

Both. Following a sharp rise, profit-taking is to be expected. Investors are also wondering when the massive infrastructure investments in AI will translate into cash flows for the rest of the economy. We consider the capital expenditure cycle to be reasonable, as AI requires greater computing power, memory, energy, networks and cooling systems. However, the market may stop rewarding solely those companies that produce components for the ‘brain’ of AI and instead shift its focus to the system as a whole: interconnections, energy, components, sensors, robotics and applications.

IL TITOLO IN BORSA

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From data centres to AI applications, Chinese companies are growing significantly and expanding rapidly beyond the domestic market. How does this affect competition with other countries, particularly the US?

This makes AI a more global and competitive field. The US remains strong in foundational models, cloud platforms and high-end semiconductors. China is increasingly dominant in applied AI, production scale, robotics supply chains and cost-effective implementation. In humanoid robotics and physical AI, this aspect is crucial, as success requires not only software but also motors, sensors, batteries, precision components and manufacturing capacity. We expect competition to intensify, but also to accelerate innovation, reduce costs and expand global adoption

Investors’ attention, however, remains focused on the US and the IPOs of American tech companies. What might prompt them to look to China?

Investors may turn their attention to China if three factors are in place: a recovery in earnings, clearer political support and global competitiveness in new technologies. Many companies are trading at lower valuations than their US counterparts, whilst offering exposure to key growth themes. If investors are seeking exposure to AI beyond US tech mega-caps, China can offer a range of differentiated opportunities, particularly in physical AI and supply chain innovation.

IL CONFRONTO

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Across the AI value chain, in which sectors are the greatest opportunities to be found?

We see interesting opportunities where AI meets the physical world. Digital AI requires infrastructure: semiconductors, data centres, energy, networks and cloud platforms. But the next frontier is ‘embodied’ intelligence: machines that use AI to perceive, decide and act. Humanoid robotics sits right at the intersection of AI, automation and advanced manufacturing. According to estimates by Morgan Stanley, the total potential market for humanoids could reach 5,000 billion dollars by 2050. There are opportunities in the ‘body’ of the robots – the companies supplying components such as actuators and gearboxes – but also in the ‘brain’, i.e. chip suppliers, and in the ‘integrators’, who are responsible for assembling the humanoids.

Which shares do you find most interesting?

 Schaeffler has specialist expertise in motion control, precision engineering and industrial components – key areas for the ‘body’ of robots. Magna International has global experience in the automotive and manufacturing sectors, which may prove relevant now that humanoid robots are moving from prototypes to large-scale production. Monolithic Power Systems is a leader in power management semiconductors; efficient power delivery is essential as robots become more capable, mobile and energy-intensive. Finally, TE Connectivity and Symbotic play a significant role in the wider humanoid robotics ecosystem.

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